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HTS and al-Qaeda in Syria: Reconciling the irreconcilable
Photo by OMAR HAJ KADOUR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • HTS and al-Qaeda in Syria: Reconciling the irreconcilable

    HTS launched multiple raids on SBS, forcing its factions to close their military bases and banning the formation of any new factions or operations rooms. In doing so, it has killed two birds with one stone: demarcating new redlines for its rivals and demonstrating its usefulness to its Turkish “partner” and the international community in their war on terrorism.

    July 15, 2020

    The road to justice for Syria goes through Europe
    Photo by THOMAS LOHNES/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The road to justice for Syria goes through Europe

    The road to accountability in Syria will undoubtedly be long, difficult, and imperfect. However, in recent years and even months, there have been tangible steps taken toward criminal accountability, particularly in Europe.

    July 14, 2020

    Russia’s approach to Responsibility to Protect in the Black Sea and Syria
  • Analysis
  • Russia’s approach to Responsibility to Protect in the Black Sea and Syria

    Where most of the international community sees R2P as a mechanism for protecting human rights when a state cannot or will not ensure them, Russia’s take on the same concept focuses on the protection of national sovereignty at any cost. However, Moscow’s commitment to the notion of sovereignty has been selectively applied to the states of the Middle East and the Black Sea.

    July 14, 2020

    US-Russia rift exacerbates Afghanistan’s crisis of confidence
    Photo by MANNY CENETA/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • US-Russia rift exacerbates Afghanistan’s crisis of confidence

    Multiple signs point to a crisis of confidence in Afghanistan. Ever since the publication of a sensational report alleging that a Russian military intelligence unit secretly offered bounties to the Taliban to kill American soldiers, there has been an intense debate about the possibility of peace in Afghanistan following the U.S. exit.

    July 10, 2020

    Investing in Syria: “Photo ops” outweigh real change
    Photo by LOUAI BESHARA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Investing in Syria: “Photo ops” outweigh real change

    As in other countries, not all announced investments come to fruition. But the ratio in Syria is particularly staggering. Of the 118 projects approved by the Syrian Investment Agency in 2018, only 46 percent have taken any serious steps toward implementation as of early 2020.

    July 9, 2020

    Life inside Syria’s al-Hol camp
    Photo by DELIL SOULEIMAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Life inside Syria’s al-Hol camp

    After the fall of ISIS in 2019, many relatives of fighters who were detained or killed, including 10,000 families of foreign fighters, were housed in camps like Roj and al-Hol in territory controlled by the Syrian Democratic Forces. Like any closed society, the foreigners’ annex in al-Hol has its own dynamic and life there is much more complicated than is often portrayed.

    July 9, 2020

    Moscow’s Evolving Southern Strategy
  • Analysis
  • Moscow’s Evolving Southern Strategy

    Despite the collapse of the Soviet Union, the newly independent states of the Caspian and Russia are still deeply intertwined in each other’s economies, security, and cultures. Moscow has continued to wield considerable military, political, and economic influence in the region.

    July 1, 2020

    Iran’s influence in Afghanistan
    Photo by WAKIL KOHSAR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s influence in Afghanistan

    Despite strong religious and cultural ties and a long shared border, Iran has a somewhat complicated relationship with Afghanistan. Since the Soviet Union’s invasion of Afghanistan some four decades ago, Iran’s attempts to preserve its interests in conflict-ridden Afghanistan have not received much attention from the outside world, but it remains one of the most important neighboring countries for Tehran’s foreign policy.

    June 23, 2020

    Is Ahmad al-Oda winning the “hearts and minds” of Daraa’s people?
    Photo courtesy of the author
  • Analysis
  • Is Ahmad al-Oda winning the “hearts and minds” of Daraa’s people?

    On June 20 a bus carrying soldiers from the Eighth Brigade of the Fifth Corps, travelling from Latakia to Busra al-Sham, hit a roadside IED near the town of Kahil in eastern Daraa, leaving nine dead and 13 injured. The following day, the funeral for the nine soldiers who died in the IED attack quickly turned into the largest protest Daraa has seen since 2018, including both Eighth Brigade fighters and hundreds of civilians from several nearby areas.

    Syria: The Caesar Act takes effect amid unprecedented economic turmoil
    Photo by LOUAI BESHARA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Syria: The Caesar Act takes effect amid unprecedented economic turmoil

    While the regime and its allies have cast the current crisis as the result of Western sanctions, Syria’s economic troubles are largely due to the regime’s “Assad or we burn the country” policies.

    June 22, 2020