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Trump, the CIA, and our disorienting Iranian policy ride
Photo by Olivier Doulier - Pool/ Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Trump, the CIA, and our disorienting Iranian policy ride

    Understanding President Donald J. Trump’s position on Iran over the two remaining months until the November election is no feat for the fainthearted. Depending on the source to which one subscribes, Trump is either provoking conflict with Iran or working a secret back channel to secure a deal, both variables purportedly intended to support his election prospects. So which is it? Or can it be both?

    September 16, 2020

    The Iranian government’s risky stock market bet
    Photo by ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Iranian government’s risky stock market bet

    Following the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) took a different path than the rest of the financial world. As markets around the globe plunged, the TSE soared to new heights. There has been a recent reversal, however, with the index falling sharply from its peak in early August and losing around 20 percent of its value over the course of a month. The story of the TSE is about the extreme measures a desperate government is willing to take to make ends meet. 

    The many faces of Fairuz in Iran
    ​​​​​​​Photo by ANWAR AMRO/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The many faces of Fairuz in Iran

    Love for Fairuz has proven that Iranians, despite their intense political differences, can have a common interest. After the deadly explosion in Beirut — which killed more than 190 people and displaced about 300,000 — the first thing Iranians thought of to express their sympathy was Fairuz’s famous song “Li Beirut,” which became a trending hashtag on Persian Twitter.

    September 8, 2020

    Gender Politics in Oman: Between State, Sect, and Tribe
    (MOHAMMED MAHJOUB/AFP via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Gender Politics in Oman: Between State, Sect, and Tribe

    The issue of female (dis)empowerment in the Middle East lies at the very core of the Arab-Islamic world’s contemporary troubles. Most economists agree that significant levels of income inequality negatively impact economic growth and development, so why is it not commonly considered how significant inequality between genders might also diminish social and political outcomes? This essay explores this question of gender inequality and socio-political outcomes in the Sultanate of Oman and parses between the state, sect, and tribe to discuss the sources of reform and resistance to women’s empowerment.

    September 8, 2020

    Election 2020: Challenges and Opportunities for US Policy in the Middle East
  • Analysis
  • Election 2020: Challenges and Opportunities for US Policy in the Middle East

    In a new briefing book released ahead of the U.S. elections in November, entitled Election 2020: Challenges and Opportunities for US Policy in the Middle East, MEI scholars lay out key issues across the region, highlight the U.S. interests at stake, and provide policy insights and recommendations for the path forward. 

    Iran’s “#MeToo” moment
    Photo by ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s “#MeToo” moment

    The ripple effects of the 2017 “#MeToo” movement shook Iranian social media this week as rape allegations were levelled against some of the country’s most prominent figures. The movement, which has led to the arrest of at least one alleged rapist so far, has triggered a broader conversation around sexual violence and harassment — an unspoken topic in Islamic Iran.

    August 28, 2020

    Oman’s regional role in a time of challenge and change
    Photo by ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Oman’s regional role in a time of challenge and change

    Oman’s independent and creative foreign policy has been a boost to a region fraught with instability, but the combination of a new sultan and an adverse regional environment means Muscat’s trademark foreign policy may be diminished.

    August 26, 2020

    Conflict in the South Caucasus
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Conflict in the South Caucasus

    Tom de Waal, Nicole Grajewski, and Theodore Karasik join host Alistair Taylor to discuss the recent border hostilities between Azerbaijan and Armenia and the role that Russia, Turkey, and Iran are playing in the geostrategically important South Caucasus.

    August 21, 2020

    Reimagining the Middle East
    Regional map
  • Analysis
  • Reimagining the Middle East

    As the people of Iran and the region rise up against the regime in Tehran, it is time to prepare for what comes next and imagine what could lead to the region’s next renaissance: a Middle Eastern cooperative organization.

    August 19, 2020

    The Impact of Middle East Regional Competition on Security and Stability in the Horn of Africa
    Photo by Volkan Furuncu/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Impact of Middle East Regional Competition on Security and Stability in the Horn of Africa

    The relationship between the Middle East and the Horn of Africa is centuries-old and complex. While the world’s attention is focused mainly on the “great power competition” in the region, primarily between the U.S. and China, the Horn of Africa has also become a central battleground for influence among competing regional players, principally Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Turkey, Qatar, Iran, and Egypt. As they pursue their interests in the region, from Ethiopia and Sudan to Somalia and Djibouti, these competing states are the main drivers of tension and instability in the Horn of Africa.

    August 18, 2020

    As Tehran looks East, can it forge stronger ties with Moscow?
  • Analysis
  • As Tehran looks East, can it forge stronger ties with Moscow?

    Iran’s high leadership has come to a consensus on an eastward shift in its foreign policy, and Russia is a salient part of that. Recent indications suggest that, at least for now, the Russians do not want to enlarge their footprint in Iran. Yet Iran wants a more proactive Russia.

    August 18, 2020

    Russia, Iran, and economic integration on the Caspian
    Photo by Iranian Presidency / Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Russia, Iran, and economic integration on the Caspian

    In recent weeks, reports of a potential 25-year, $400-billion deal between Iran and China have dominated the conversation about Tehran’s options for freeing itself from the punishing U.S.-imposed sanctions regime on the country. But China is not alone in seeing an embattled Iran as a major geopolitical and commercial opportunity — Russia too has ambitions of strengthening ties with Iran.