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The growing threat of ISIS in Syria’s Badia
Photo by: GEORGE OURFALIAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The growing threat of ISIS in Syria’s Badia

    When the American-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) captured the village of al-Baghouz in late
    March 2019, ISIS’s self-proclaimed “caliphate” came to an end. The largest multinational military
    coalition in modern history spent four-and-a-half years methodically rolling back ISIS’s control of an
    expanse of territory the size of Britain, stretching across Syria and Iraq.

    Saudi-Russia oil price war — paused, but not over
    Photo by Yegor AleyevTASS via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Saudi-Russia oil price war — paused, but not over

    The April 12 OPEC+ deal to cut oil production that ended the disastrous five-week Saudi Arabia-Russia price war is a short-term fix for the global industry, but will not resolve the larger problem of over-production. The price war heightened animosity between Riyadh and Moscow and calls into question whether the OPEC+ partnership will ever be the same again. 

    April 17, 2020

    Qatar plots its AI future
    Photo by Valery SharifulinTASS via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Qatar plots its AI future

    In an effort to boost its economic competitiveness, Qatar is hedging its bets on emerging technologies. The Gulf sheikhdom, eager to diversify its gas-dependent economy, is cultivating various technological areas, notably artificial intelligence (AI).

    April 16, 2020

    “A Force They Haven’t Seen Before”: Insurgent ISIS in Central Syria
    Photo by STRINGER/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • “A Force They Haven’t Seen Before”: Insurgent ISIS in Central Syria

    Immediately after the Syrian regime and its allies captured central Syria in late 2017, ISIS began waging an effective and deadly insurgency in the area. It first targeted urban centers along the western Euphrates before shifting focus in spring 2018 to the transport lines and mountains running along the M20 from Khunayfis to Shoula. These wide-ranging operations have killed a minimum of 860 pro-regime fighters of all ranks, units, and types. This report tracks self-reported regime losses in the region, as indicated on loyalist Facebook pages, community pages, and unit pages, from Nov. 10, 2017 through March 31, 2020.

    April 15, 2020

    Iran and the economic fallout of COVID-19
    Photo by Majid Saeedi/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran and the economic fallout of COVID-19

    COVID-19 presents a major threat to the global economy and the health of millions of people around the world, but its impact on Iran, one of the early epicenters of the outbreak, has been particularly severe.

    April 14, 2020

    Iraq’s new prime minister: The rocky road ahead
    Photo by SABAH ARAR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Iraq’s new prime minister: The rocky road ahead

    Despite his support, al-Kadhimi’s path to obtain confirmation of his cabinet from the Council of Representatives is riddled with challenges.

    April 13, 2020

    COVID-19, the oil price war, and the remaking of the Middle East
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • COVID-19, the oil price war, and the remaking of the Middle East

    The Middle East is facing an unexpected turning point. The region will not look the same after COVID-19 as it did before it. The geoeconomics and geopolitics of the world are in free fall because of COVID-19, the oil price war, and a severe economic shutdown. For the Middle East and the Gulf monarchies in particular, the oil price war against Russia and U.S. shale and the shutdown of economies around the world have increased the pressure on the Gulf’s already-depleted financial resources, which usually act as a safety valve for the turbulent region.

    Can Saudi Arabia win the oil price war?
    Photo by Sefa Karacan/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Can Saudi Arabia win the oil price war?

    Saudi Arabia’s recent decision to call for an urgent OPEC+ meeting was driven by a simple logic. In spite of its obvious advantages over other oil producers, the kingdom is still taking serious risks as it pursues an oil price war.

    The grim year ahead
    Photo by HUSSEIN FALEH/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • The grim year ahead

    The COVID-19 crisis could be deadlier than all the wars and civil wars in the modern Middle East. This should spur regional leaders to act urgently and cooperatively.

    April 6, 2020