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Research & Commentary Results

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The role of algorithms in the persistent US-Iranian impasse
Costfoto/Barcroft Media via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The role of algorithms in the persistent US-Iranian impasse

    Even if we assume that there is goodwill between the U.S. and Iran to improve relations, the power of algorithms will place major stumbling blocks in the way of efforts toward future normalization. A priori programming of foreign policy options and lines of argument have led to immutable algorithms causing the relationship between the two countries to calcify. On both sides, the key personalities who define national security, interpret events, and shape policies toward one another have had virtually no direct contact or experiences with each other’s country. They interpret events, extract meanings, react to one another, and delineate policies through prisms, images, metaphors, binaries, groupthink, and in the lexicon of artificial intelligence, algorithms.

    April 16, 2021

    The China-Iran deal and the reinvention of the Iranian revolution
    Photo by THOMAS PETER/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The China-Iran deal and the reinvention of the Iranian revolution

    The announcement of the Comprehensive Strategic Partnership (CSP), a 25 year-long economic and development agreement between China and Iran, has immediately added to the intensifying discourse concerning US-China Geostrategic Competition. Nonetheless, a closer look at its implications suggests that it may be useful in achieving some U.S. goals with Iran: particularly regime modernization.

    13 أبريل 2021

    فيما يتعلق بإحياء خطة العمل الشاملة المشتركة، لدى روسيا خطة ذات مسار مزدوج ومصلحة ثلاثية الأبعاد
  • تعليق
  • فيما يتعلق بإحياء خطة العمل الشاملة المشتركة، لدى روسيا خطة ذات مسار مزدوج ومصلحة ثلاثية الأبعاد

    “يبدو الحفاظ على النسخة الأصلية من “خطة العمل الشاملة المشتركة” هو أفضل السُبُل لروسيا لمواءمة هذه الاعتبارات الثلاثة”.

    April 7, 2021

    The cyclical futility of governance by TikTok in the Middle East
    Photo by FAROOQ NAEEM/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The cyclical futility of governance by TikTok in the Middle East

    When headlines flashed this month about the Peshawar High Court’s decision in Pakistan to yet again ban the controversial video-sharing app TikTok, you might have been tempted to scroll away in boredom. After all, who hasn’t banned TikTok these days?

    March 31, 2021

    ندرة المياه مشكلة إقليمية وتحتاج إلى حل إقليمي
  • تعليق
  • ندرة المياه مشكلة إقليمية وتحتاج إلى حل إقليمي

    “بينما تعد ندرة المياه في إيران وبقية دول الشرق الأوسط مشكلة طويلة الأمد، فإن بعض الجهود للتعامل معها تبدو محاولات يائسة ولم يتم التخطيط لها دائمًا بعناية”.

    Water scarcity could lead to the next major conflict between Iran and Iraq
    Photo by Feriq Ferec/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Water scarcity could lead to the next major conflict between Iran and Iraq

    Iran and Iraq are frequently at odds over water issues. Iraq depends on the Tigris and Euphrates rivers for nearly all of its water. But Iran is building dams to redivert some of that water, causing alarm and creating major water shortages for Iraq.

    March 18, 2021

    Seats at the Table: How other world powers figure into the Biden Administration's Afghanistan policy
  • التحليل
  • Seats at the Table: How other world powers figure into the Biden Administration's Afghanistan policy

    What U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken’s letter to Afghan President Ashraf Ghani makes clear is the declining domestic support in the U.S. for continued military involvement in Afghanistan. With his message, Blinken also signaled the demise of the Doha negotiations between the Afghan Taliban and the Afghan government and the start of a new phase. Facing domestic political disagreements and the Covid-19 pandemic, the Biden Administration was left with no option but to finalize and implement a viable Afghan strategy.

    March 17, 2021

    Biden’s Options in Afghanistan
  • تعليق
  • Biden’s Options in Afghanistan

    The United States and Pakistan must work together to secure the country’s future.

    March 17, 2021