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Turkey Should Avoid Getting Involved in the Saudi-Iran Row
  • Analysis
  • Turkey Should Avoid Getting Involved in the Saudi-Iran Row

    Turkey’s reaction to the latest spat between Saudi Arabia and Iran spells more trouble for Ankara at a time when it is already at loggerheads with many of its neighbors. Initial remarks by Deputy Prime Minister Numan Kurtulmus criticizing both sides were an attempt to keep Turkey out of the rift. He was upstaged, however, by Turkey’s foreign ministry, which followed up with a statement singling out Iran for condemnation.

    Saudi-Iran Tensions Place Pressure on Smaller GCC States
  • Analysis
  • Saudi-Iran Tensions Place Pressure on Smaller GCC States

    The recent escalation in tension between Saudi Arabia and Iran is throwing the GCC into a crisis of unity. Riyadh’s actions in particular are built on the frustration of the Yemen war and the perception of Iranian encroachment in Arab lands that the Saudi kingdom believes is its domain. King Salman and his son, Deputy Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman, feel the kingdom is being ignored by the international community in other hot zones, namely Syria, where the outcome of the war is being determined by Washington and Moscow.

    January 11, 2016

    The Three Faces of Turkey
  • Analysis
  • The Three Faces of Turkey

    Washington and Ankara are in yet another difficult phase in a relationship cycle that runs from very good to very bad. American public opinion about another country forms slowly, but persists through time once set. As Turkey changes, we keep trying to fit new evidence into the old paradigm. At some point, the contradictions are too obvious to explain away, and the new narrative emerges. Right now, Americans are caught in that dilemma regarding Turkey. Unless we have a better idea of which Turkey we are dealing with, we are certain to make bad choices.

    Mega Projects and the Limits of Urban Planning in Megacities: The Case of Istanbul in the AKP Era
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • Mega Projects and the Limits of Urban Planning in Megacities: The Case of Istanbul in the AKP Era

    This essay examines the politics of the Istanbul Master Plan, which was created by the Istanbul Metropolitan Planning and Urban Design Center (IMP), focusing on the role of non-governmental organizations. The essay addresses three main questions. First, to what have NGOs been involved in the formulation, implementation, and oversight of the Istanbul Master Plan? Second, what form has their activism taken and what has been the response of the AKP government? And third, what are the prospects for achieving the balance between conservation and development originally envisioned by the Istanbul Master Plan?

    December 1, 2015

    Governing Megacities in the MENA and Asia
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • Governing Megacities in the MENA and Asia

    According to the UN’s World Urbanization Prospects 2014, there are 28 “megacities” worldwide (i.e., urban agglomerations with populations in excess of 10 million). By 2030 another dozen will likely be added to their ranks.

    November 7, 2015

    In Turkey, a New ‘Deep State’ With Same Foes
  • Analysis
  • In Turkey, a New ‘Deep State’ With Same Foes

    Read the full commentary on The New York Times.

    Since the early days of the republic, Turkey’s deep state has been seen as the clandestine defender of the Turkish establishment and the secular and nationalist ideology established by Turkey’s founder, Mustafa Kemal Ataturk.

    The AKP’s Surprising but Pyrrhic Victory
  • Analysis
  • The AKP’s Surprising but Pyrrhic Victory

    In a stunning electoral comeback that has surprised everyone, including its own legislators, Turkey’s ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) captured almost 50 percent of the votes, but well over 50 percent of parliamentary seats, in Sunday’s elections. There are many lingering questions. Considering that even the pro-government pollsters did not foresee such a victory, many have asked whether the elections were free and fair. If so, how did the AKP manage to reverse its electoral fortunes in just five months in a country that has been mired in chaos and violence during that time?

    The Raised Stakes of Turkey’s Do-Over Election
  • Analysis
  • The Raised Stakes of Turkey’s Do-Over Election

    The Turkish electorate is going to the polls on Sunday for the second time in just over five months. After 13 years in power, the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) failed to secure enough votes in June to form a majority government. In the hope another vote could deliver a parliamentary majority to his party, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan called for snap elections. But polls indicate that Erdogan might not get what he wants.

    Erdogan Changes His Tune on Assad
  • Analysis
  • Erdogan Changes His Tune on Assad

    Turkish Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu is at the United Nations in New York, making another push for Turkey’s long-standing demand for a safe zone in northern Syria, while President Recep Tayyip Erdogan seems to have realized that it might be a long shot given recent developments.

    The Rise of Turkish Foreign Aid
  • Analysis
  • The Rise of Turkish Foreign Aid

    A recent public opinion poll conducted by Ipsos suggests that the Turkish public is supportive of foreign aid, with around 45 percent of those surveyed indicating that Turkey should spend 3 to 10 percent of its national budget on such assistance. Material and ideological factors rather than moral imperatives play a role in this opinion.

    The Sectarian Crisis in Yemen: Damage from a Divisive Storm
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • The Sectarian Crisis in Yemen: Damage from a Divisive Storm

    The military campaign called Operation Decisive Storm pits Saudi Arabia and most of the GCC states, along with the United States, Britain, Egypt, Jordan, Pakistan, and several other minor players, against the Houthis in Yemen, which possess only moral support from the real target in this proxy war, Shi‘i Iran. How did such a lopsided war come about? Why has Yemen become the new battleground in a Sunni-Shi‘i fault line emerging as an ideological rival to the Cold War mentality that saw Soviet communism versus Western capitalism? What precisely is this sectarian crisis all about?

    September 29, 2015

    No Winners in Yemen
  • Analysis
  • No Winners in Yemen

    Hadi flip-flopped again. On Thursday, September 10, Yemeni President Abdu Rabbu Mansour Hadi announced that the government would meet with the Houthi rebels directly and without any conditions at the UN-sponsored negotiating table. As the military buildup for the assault on Sana reaches its final stages, Hadi’s announcement came with a sense of relief that Sana, having endured six months of bombardment from the Saudi Air Force, would be spared a ground assault. But two days later, Hadi reversed and

    September 28, 2015

    In Turkey, Rolling Back Protections for Women
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • In Turkey, Rolling Back Protections for Women

    Tens of thousands of women, angry at what they say is the government’s latest step to “Islamify” Turkey, recently signed a petition against the rise of religious marriages in lieu of civil unions.

    September 18, 2015

    Turkey’s Risky War with the Kurds
  • Analysis
  • Turkey’s Risky War with the Kurds

    With less than two months left until the parliamentary elections in November, Turkey is engulfed in deepening chaos and growing violence. The peace process between Turkey and the PKK that began in 2013 collapsed in July when the PKK killed two Turkish policemen it believed were linked to the Islamic State. The PKK attack was in retaliation for an Islamic State bombing that killed 32 student activists at Suruc on their way to Kobani.

    What’s Next for Turkey’s HDP Party?
  • Analysis
  • What’s Next for Turkey’s HDP Party?

    Despite enduring a contentious campaign in its fight to get the ten percent of the national vote necessary to enter parliament, Turkey’s Peoples’ Democratic Party (HDP)—part of the same political movement as the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK)—ran on a fundamentally optimistic platform. It articulated democratic hopes for the so-called “peace process,” that is, the Turkish government-led, long-stuttering negotiations to end the PKK insurgency that has killed more than 40,000 people since 1984.

    September 8, 2015