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Operation Peace Spring: The Situation in Northeastern Syria
Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Operation Peace Spring: The Situation in Northeastern Syria

    MEI Senior Fellow W. Robert Pearson and Non-resident Scholar Elizabeth Dent join host Alistair Taylor to discuss the Turkish incursion into northeastern Syria following the sudden withdrawal of US troops from the Turkish-Syrian border earlier this week.

    October 11, 2019

    Russia’s efforts to expand the Astana process in Syria
     President of Turkey Recep Tayyip Erdogan (C), President of Russia Vladimir Putin (L) and President of Iran Hassan Rouhani (R) pose for a photo after the joint press conference held within the Turkey-Russia-Iran trilateral summit at Cankaya Mansion in Ankara, Turkey on September 16, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Russia’s efforts to expand the Astana process in Syria

    On Sept. 16, the presidents of Russia, Iran, and Turkey met in Ankara to discuss the resolution of the Syrian civil war. In all three countries, the Ankara summit was hailed as a major success, as negotiations on the formation of a Syrian constitutional committee concluded and progress was made toward resolving other outstanding challenges, such as the future of northeastern Syria and the ongoing struggle for Idlib.

    October 7, 2019

    Trade, Reform, and Revitalization: Toward a US-Egypt Free Trade Agreement
  • Analysis
  • Trade, Reform, and Revitalization: Toward a US-Egypt Free Trade Agreement

    A question as to the value of a U.S.-Egypt Free Trade Agreement (FTA) misses the point. The question should not be whether an FTA would be in the interest of both parties since there is abundant evidence that it would. The question is what kind of FTA would best suit the needs, both short and long term, of the two parties: shallow integration or deep integration? This report argues that notwithstanding several hurdles, it is in the interest of both countries to move swiftly and decisively toward a deep FTA.

    Trump greenlights Turkish incursion into northeastern Syria
    A Syrian boy watches as Turkish military vehicles, part of a US military convoy, take part in joint patrol in the Syrian village of al-Hashisha on the outskirts of Tal Abyad town along the border with Turkey, on October 4, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • Trump greenlights Turkish incursion into northeastern Syria

    A unilateral Turkish military operation will worsen the already toxic mood vis-à-vis Erdogan on the Hill and might prompt a new round of sanctions at a time when Trump was trying to convince the Congress to hold off on punishing Turkey.

    Turkish-backed Syrian armed opposition groups to unite under one banner
    Syrian National Army and National Independence Front merge
  • Commentary
  • Turkish-backed Syrian armed opposition groups to unite under one banner

    After a long-drawn-out series of negotiations, Turkey has successfully convinced more than 40 armed opposition groups in northern Syria to unite under a single umbrella, directly under the command of the Syrian Interim Government’s Ministry of Defense.

    A better path forward for Syrian refugee return
    Syrian refugees wait in queue to enter to the Kahramanmaras refugee camp after coming from shopping on September 19, 2019 in Kahramanmaras, Turkey.
  • Analysis
  • A better path forward for Syrian refugee return

    Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan used his speech at the UN General Assembly to advocate for a plan that would see the return of over one million Syrian refugees from Turkey to a strip along the Turkish border in northeastern Syria. While Turkey should not have to indefinitely host its 3.6 million Syrian refugees, the plan proposed by Erdogan would entail large-scale deportations of refugees, demographic re-engineering, and the destabilization of northeastern Syria. A better path forward would be to facilitate the return of refugees from northeastern and eastern Syria to their homes by investing in reconstruction of the area and encouraging political reforms.

    October 1, 2019

    A political lifeline for Netanyahu as coalition talks continue
    Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (L), President Reuven Rivlin (C) and Benny Gantz, leader of Blue and White party, attend a memorial ceremony for late Israeli president Shimon Peres, at Mount Herzl in Jerusalem on September 19, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • A political lifeline for Netanyahu as coalition talks continue

    Last Wednesday, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was cast another political lifeline. Reuven Rivlin, the Israeli president, gave Netanyahu the first chance to form a coalition government; formally, he has 28 days to do so. Netanyahu’s task will prove difficult.

    September 30, 2019

    Erdogan pins his hopes on a meeting with Trump at UNGA
    President of Turkey Recep Tayyip Erdogan holds up a map of the safe zone Turkey in in favor of while speaking to the United Nations General Assembly at UN headquarters on September 24, 2019 in New York City.
  • Commentary
  • Erdogan pins his hopes on a meeting with Trump at UNGA

    The Turkey-U.S. relationship has been going through one of the most difficult periods in its history. Yet, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is still hopeful. He has put all his eggs in President Trump’s basket and thinks it will pay off. He pinned his hopes on a meeting with Trump on the sidelines of the UNGA to iron out differences.

    A UNGA without Netanyahu
    Russia's Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov (L) and Israel's Foreign Minister Yisrael Katz shake hands during a meeting on the sidelines of the 74th session of the UN General Assembly at the headquarters of the United Nations in Manhattan.
  • Commentary
  • A UNGA without Netanyahu

    For the first time in a decade, the upcoming UNGA will be held in the absence of the outgoing Israeli prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu.

    Monday Briefing: Middle East takes center stage at UNGA
  • Analysis
  • Monday Briefing: Middle East takes center stage at UNGA

    This week’s briefing on recent news and upcoming events in the region featuring Gerald Feierstein, Alex Vatanka, Eran Etzion, Gonul Tol, Amal Kandeel, Marvin G. Weinbaum, Michael Sexton and Eliza Campbell.

    From regime change to rapprochement? Turkey’s shifting Syria policy
    President of Turkey Recep Tayyip Erdogan (C), President of Russia Vladimir Putin (L) and President of Iran Hassan Rouhani (R) shake hands as they pose for a photo after a joint press conference following the Turkey-Russia-Iran trilateral summit at Cankaya Mansion in Ankara, Turkey on September 16, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • From regime change to rapprochement? Turkey’s shifting Syria policy

    At a trilateral summit in Ankara earlier this week, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan sat back and ate treats as Iranian President Hassan Rouhani told the world that efforts to topple the Assad regime have failed. The scene was a stark reminder of how far Turkey’s Syria policy has shifted.

    The Ongoing Divide: Palestinian Participation in Israeli Elections
    An Arab-Israeli woman waits in line before voting in the northern Israeli village of Maghar January 22, 2013.
  • Analysis
  • The Ongoing Divide: Palestinian Participation in Israeli Elections

    Despite constituting about 20 percent of the Israeli population, Israel’s Palestinian minority does not wield significant political power; throughout Israeli history Palestinian parties have played the role of the permanent opposition. While low Israeli-Palestinian electoral participation and the resulting disproportionate parliamentary representation have hampered political influence, these factors are merely one part of a multi-faceted and multi-causal picture. This report seeks to provide a comprehensive analysis of the exogenous and endogenous drivers of reduced Palestinian political engagement. It is concerned with the structural obstacles –– primarily put in place and sustained by the Israeli right wing –– that seek to impede Palestinian influence at the polls and in the Knesset.

    September 16, 2019

    Monday Briefing: Attack on Saudi oil facilities has an impact far beyond the kingdom
  • Analysis
  • Monday Briefing: Attack on Saudi oil facilities has an impact far beyond the kingdom

    This week’s briefing on recent news and upcoming events in the region featuring Ruba Husari, Paul Salem, Gerald Feierstein, Amal Kandeel, Grace Wermenbol, Robert S. Ford, Charles Lister, and Gonul Tol.

    September 16, 2019

    Israeli elections: Sound and fury — signifying little
    A general view of an election campaign banner depicting Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (R), head of the Likud Party, shaking hands with US President Donald Trump, ahead of the snap Israeli legislative election, scheduled to take place on 17 September 2019
  • Analysis
  • Israeli elections: Sound and fury — signifying little

    Israel’s upcoming election, set for Sept. 17, dragged on through the summer and looked set to be a repeat of its predecessor on April 9, when Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu failed by a single Knesset vote to put together a majority coalition. It has indeed been a largely sleepy affair, with the centrist Blue-White party dueling with the Likud for the crucial top spot and most other parties barely budging in the polls. This somnolence ended explosively the week before the election with a series of events whose impact is still unclear.

    September 12, 2019