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Iran’s Unconventional Alliance Network in the Middle East and Beyond
Photo by Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s Unconventional Alliance Network in the Middle East and Beyond

    The Islamic Republic’s unconventional alliance network reaches far and wide, and its workings have only intensified since the killing of Gen. Qassem Soleimani in early January 2020. The systematic effort to consolidate these alliances, indicated by the swift appointment of Gen. Esmail Qaani and his new deputy Gen. Mohammad Hosseinzadeh Hejazi to lead the Quds Force, is about much more than just retaliation and revenge against the United States. It is also, and perhaps more importantly, a calibrated response to the Trump administration’s reckless and escalatory changes to the established “rules of engagement” between Washington and Tehran.

    April 7, 2020

    Blurring the lines: The case of the Nakhsa Warriors
    Photo by Rouzbeh Fouladi/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Blurring the lines: The case of the Nakhsa Warriors

    Blurring the lines between the physical world and the online one, the Iranian group known as the “Nakhsa Warriors” remains cloaked in mystery. Their identity and status are unclear. Are they a military force that carries out operations, an online group of like-minded individuals that share content, part of an Iranian disinformation campaign — or perhaps something else altogether?

    April 7, 2020

    How Iran and Turkey are coping with COVID-19
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • How Iran and Turkey are coping with COVID-19

    Gonul Tol and Alex Vatanka join host Alistair Taylor to discuss how the coronavirus pandemic is affecting Iran, one of the first countries hit by the outbreak, and Turkey, where it arrived later but has since spread rapidly.

    April 3, 2020

    Continuity and Change in US Policies towards the Caspian Region
  • Analysis
  • Continuity and Change in US Policies towards the Caspian Region

    The U.S. government agenda for Central Asia and the South Caucasus has regularly included a multitude of goals. Whereas in the 1990s, U.S. policy focused on state building, economic development, WMD elimination, and democracy promotion, in the 2000s, counterterrorism rose to the forefront of the U.S. agenda.

    April 2, 2020

    COVID-19 and Iran’s misplaced priorities
  • Analysis
  • COVID-19 and Iran’s misplaced priorities

    COVID-19 is undoubtedly the biggest health crisis in our lifetime. Pundits around the world, but also a long list of policymakers from Washington to Abu Dhabi to Beijing, wonder about the long-term implications of this deadly pandemic. While there is plenty of speculation about how this crisis might re-balance global power dynamics, other foreign policy implications are more immediately tangible. In the case of the Middle East, the swift support shown by the UAE towards Iran, the most affected country in the region, has been refreshing.

    The fight for Syria’s skies: Turkey challenges Russia with new drone doctrine
    Photo by Muhammed Enes Yildirim/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The fight for Syria’s skies: Turkey challenges Russia with new drone doctrine

    In retaliation for an airstrike that killed 33 Turkish soldiers at the end of February, Ankara launched “Operation Spring Shield” (OSS) against the Syrian regime and the pro-Iranian militias supporting it. Despite being unable to rely on its fleet of F-16s due to Russia’s control of the Syrian airspace over Idlib, Turkey managed to successfully wipe out a large portion of Assad’s army in the area within just a couple of days by making innovative use of drones.

    March 26, 2020

    The role of women in building Iran’s future
    A woman walks past a mural with the Iranian national flag in Tehran, on February 20, 2020 on the eve of parliamentary election.
  • Analysis
  • The role of women in building Iran’s future

    For more than a century, Iranian women have worked for change and fought for their freedom. Under the system in place in the Islamic Republic, however, they continue to face systematic, widespread legal discrimination. Despite the hurdles they currently face, with organization, unity, and common purpose, Iranian women are capable of changing history and building a new future for their country.

    March 24, 2020

    How the Democrats can reclaim Syria policy
    American soldiers patrol on the M4 highway in the town of Tal Tamr in the northeastern Syrian Hasakeh province on the border with Turkey on January 24, 2020.
  • Analysis
  • How the Democrats can reclaim Syria policy

    Democrats ought to build a moral firewall around Syria policy, establishing a framework for understanding the Syrian conflict and debating policy options.

    March 18, 2020

    Iran and Russia: A tale of unfulfilled economic potential
    Iran's Minister of Economic Affairs and Finance, Masoud Karbasian (L) and Russias Energy Minister Alexander Novak shake hands at a signing ceremony following a meeting of the Russian-Iranian intergovernmental commission for trade and economic cooperation at Moscow's President Hotel
  • Analysis
  • Iran and Russia: A tale of unfulfilled economic potential

    The outbreak of a Russian-Saudi oil price war earlier this month might offer some comfort to Iran, a country which has in recent years become unnerved by the increasingly close ties between Moscow and Riyadh. However, it is premature to see an Iranian geopolitical win emerging from the Russian-Saudi spat, and history should give Tehran plenty of reservations about Moscow’s ability to deliver on its economic promises to Iran. While Iran and Russia will likely continue to pay lip-service to the idea of an economic partnership, each side will remain preoccupied with larger concerns. This is a tale of unfulfilled economic potential.  

    The puzzling outcome of the Moscow Summit
    Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan (L) and Russia's President Vladimir Putin at a press conference following their meeting at the Moscow Kremlin.
  • Analysis
  • The puzzling outcome of the Moscow Summit

    In changing the balance of power on the ground and forcing hostilities to a stalemate, Turkey’s military intervention in Idlib had produced its desired effect. On March 5, Vladimir Putin and Erdogan sat together for six hours and announced to the world a comprehensive cease-fire and the establishment of a secure corridor spanning six kilometers on the north and south sides of the M4 highway.

    US-Russia standoffs in northeast Syria: Just getting started
    A Russian soldier looks through binoculars on the key M4 highway in Syria's northeastern Hasakeh province on January 20, 2020. (Photo by Delil SOULEIMAN / AFP) (Photo by DELIL SOULEIMAN/AFP via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • US-Russia standoffs in northeast Syria: Just getting started

    As Syria’s war reaches its ninth anniversary, Russian and U.S. soldiers are increasingly finding themselves face to face — quite literally — in the country’s northeast. A spate of confrontations over the last two months has opened questions about the fate of Syria’s north in the coming year.

    March 16, 2020