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Sovereignty, the Hezbollah Model, or Dissolution: Managing Factional Forces in Iraq
  • Analysis
  • Sovereignty, the Hezbollah Model, or Dissolution: Managing Factional Forces in Iraq

    When the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) overran Mosul last June, Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, the preeminent Shi‘i cleric in Iraq, called for voluntary jihad. The outlook for the central government was bleak. Reports from the battlefronts, as well as threatening statements by ISIS leaders, suggested that the capital Baghdad could also fall to ISIS. The group repeatedly massacred its captives and systematically destroyed important religious and cultural sites.

    February 13, 2015

    The Case for Aiding Anbar
  • Analysis
  • The Case for Aiding Anbar

    I ran into some Anbaris in Washington this week. All of them have lost friends or relatives in the fight against Islamist extremism in one form or another. They had interesting things to say.

    January 23, 2015

    Forget ISIS: Shia Militias Are the Real Threat to Kurdistan
  • Analysis
  • Forget ISIS: Shia Militias Are the Real Threat to Kurdistan

    This article first appeared in The National Interest.

    In Iraq, the Islamic State (ISIS) is no longer on the offensive. That is particularly true on the Kurdish front in the north where the ISIS onslaught is now contained.

    The Iraqi Kurdish military, the Peshmerga, proved to have the capability to repel the extremist Sunni fighters from ISIS and to hang on to recaptured territory. They have done so largely without many resources or support from West.

    The Israeli-Palestinian Conflict and Obama’s Legacy
  • Analysis
  • The Israeli-Palestinian Conflict and Obama’s Legacy

    This paper is part of an MEI scholar series, titled “Obama’s Legacy in the Middle East: Passing the Baton in 2017.” Click here to view the full project, or navigate using the table of contents to the right.

    The Israeli-Palestinian conflict has gone through a number of different phases in its long history. It is possible—though only time will tell—that a new phase is beginning now, but not a particularly hopeful one.[1]

    November 14, 2014

    Soft Islam: Indonesia’s Interfaith Mission for Peace in the Middle East
  • Analysis
  • Soft Islam: Indonesia’s Interfaith Mission for Peace in the Middle East

    Historians and anthropologists have focused on Muslim networks of scholars, merchants, and pilgrims that connect the Middle East with Southeast Asia. Especially with respect to the study of Islam in Indonesia, where political scientists and anthropologists approach Islam largely in terms of national politics and local cultures, this burgeoning body of literature on global Muslim networks offers both ethnographic insights into actual practices and an historical appreciation for the longue durée. The importance of this scholarship notwithstanding, much of this work focuses on formal networks of migration, trade, learning, and pilgrimage. In this respect, the cultural and political work of Islam has been largely confined to the study of either Muslim scholars or lay Muslims who participate in trade, travel, study, and migration. Here I shift the focus to a religious diplomacy tour that connected Muslims with states, citizen-believers, and global politics.

    November 12, 2014

    Gaza’s Economic Revival to be Addressed at Cairo Conference
  • Analysis
  • Gaza’s Economic Revival to be Addressed at Cairo Conference

    This summer’s war between Israel and Hamas, like the previous rounds — Operation Cast Lead in 2008-2009 and Operation Pillar of Cloud in 2012 — exacted a terrible cost not only in human lives (more than 2,100 Palestinians and 73 Israelis[1]) but also in the wholesale destruction of Gaza’s infrastructure.  The Palestinian Authority estimates reconstruction and rehabilitation costs of the recent conflict to exceed $4 billion, more than two times Gaza’s GNP.[2]

    October 10, 2014

    Defeating the Islamic State Militarily is Only Half the Battle
  • Analysis
  • Defeating the Islamic State Militarily is Only Half the Battle

    In his speech on September 10 President Obama characterized the Islamic State (ISIS) as a terrorist group.[1] There were clear political benefits to using this label, not the least of which was to facilitate the formation of a broad-based military coalition against the organization.

    Testimony: US Strategy To Defeat ISIS
  • Analysis
  • Testimony: US Strategy To Defeat ISIS

    The following is the written testimony prepared and delivered by Amb (ret) Robert S. Ford for the Senate Foreign Relations Committee hearing held on September 17, 2014. Click here to watch video of the full hearing (Amb. Ford’s testimony begins at the 3 hours and 26 minutes mark).

    Iran’s Approach to Extreme Sunni Militants
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s Approach to Extreme Sunni Militants

    This article was first published by The National Interest.

    The conventional wisdom in Washington is that Tehran regards Sunni-jihadist movements as ideologically incompatible rivals. This is not surprising, as the bulk of Sunni-jihadist literature makes it clear that Shia-majority Iran is considered to be the embodiment of apostasy. To most Sunni jihadists, including those from ISIS, Iran is an archenemy surpassing both Israel and the United States.

    The New Iraqi Prime Minister: A Change in Style or Substance?
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • The New Iraqi Prime Minister: A Change in Style or Substance?

    During his first week in office, Iraq’s new prime minister, Haydar al-Abbadi, has made a number of significant announcements, ranging from highly symbolic moves to more wide-ranging initiatives. Signs of divergence between Abbadi and his predecessor, Nuri al-Maliki, are clearly visible.

    September 17, 2014