The Latest from Ibtihel Bouchoucha
النزاع على سد النهضة يذهب إلى الأمم المتحدة، لكن الحل لا يزال بعيد المنال
“في النهاية، كانت النتيجة متوقعة: دعّم أعضاء مجلس الأمن جهود وساطة الاتحاد الإفريقي وأوصوا باستئناف المفاوضات بأسرع ما يمكن”.
The Saudi-Emirati OPEC rift might be local, but the core dispute is global
In spite of the growing political distance between Riyadh and Abu Dhabi, it was economic factors that played the key role in the UAE decision not to support the extension of the OPEC+ agreement until the end of 2022, thus putting on hold the cartel’s decision to increase production in the coming months. The OPEC+ agreement in place since December 2016 may have finally run its course. The medium term will see a changed landscape among oil producers, not just in the GCC, but globally as they compete for customers in emerging markets, the only place where oil demand is expected to increase after 2030, and as they attempt to transform their businesses across energy products. The national oil companies that can access capital, attract new investment, offload assets, and be nimble enough to grow across energy lines, whether it be hydrogen, solar, or even natural gas, will be the ones that thrive. Producers like Libya, Iraq, Iran, and even Russia and Saudi Arabia may be at a disadvantage in accessing new investment and pursuing transformation. The future of OPEC and its ancillary partners is one of intense competition and divergent time horizons for hydrocarbon exploitation.
The coming US and Middle East energy collision
The Biden administration’s goals in climate policy, renewable energy infrastructure investment both domestically and globally (the Build Back Better World, or B3W, initiative), and its Middle East policy may be on the verge of a collision. While the administration would like to dial back its engagement in the Middle East at least militarily, the region will be essential to meeting U.S. foreign and domestic energy goals.
Jardin d’Afrique: A moving memorial to forgotten migrants
In Zarzis, on Tunisia’s southern coast, Algerian artist Rachid Koraichi has created a moving memorial to the thousands of migrants who have died crossing the Mediterranean. A hybrid of graveyard, garden, and art installation, Jardin d’Afrique has become the final resting place for over 300 souls whose bodies washed up on the shore of this tourist town.
Consolidating Saudi-Omani relations under Sultan Haitham
Sultan Haitham bin Tariq al-Said arrived in Neom, Saudi Arabia, on July 11, 2021, in his first foreign trip since becoming the sultan of Oman on Jan. 11, 2020. At the start of his two-day visit to the kingdom he was met by King Salman and accompanied by a high-level Omani delegation. A slew of new agreements were signed across commerce, culture, and transport.
حلقة 38: آراء (18) – أزمتان وفرصة أمام النظام الإيراني
ما هي الأزمات والفرص أمام النظام الإيراني بعد انتخابات الرئاسة؟ يستعرض إبراهيم الأصيل رأياً لأليكس فاتانكا في حلقة آراء من واشنطن لهذا الأسبوع. — Ibrahim Al-Assil Alex Vatanka
حلقة 39: الفن السوري في ليلة مظلمة — مع عروبة ديب ومحمد الحافظ
يقدّم معهد الشرق الأوسط معرضاً بعنوان “في هذه الليلة المظلمة: الفن السوري ما بعد الثورة” ، ويناقش إبراهيم الأصيل اثنين من هؤلاء الفنانين للإطلاع أكثر على فنّهم وأعمالهم ورسائلهم ومصادر إلهامهم. — الضيوف: عروبة ديب محمد الحافظ — فنانو المعرض: هبة الأنصاري، عمار البيك، نور عسلية، تمام عزام، خالد بركة، بادي دلول، عروبة ديب، أسامة السيد، لارا حداد، محمد الحافظ، نغم حذيفة، عصام عمادي، كيڤورك مراد — الأعمال: https://www.mei.edu/arts-and-culture-center المعرض: https://mei.viewingrooms.com/artworks/
Mr. President, keep the military advisers in Afghanistan
Even the most ardent supporters of President Joe Biden’s decision to withdraw all American troops from Afghanistan recognize the inherent tension in his policy. Biden promised Afghanistan’s top leaders in a recent meeting at the White House that he would maintain U.S. material support to the country. But ensuring a “sustained” partnership with a politically fragile Afghan government requires first and foremost an Afghan force that’s capable of defending that government, providing some security across the country, containing the Taliban, and preventing terrorists from once again setting up shop and plotting attacks worldwide like they did on 9/11.
Monday Briefing: Biden slams the door on Afghanistan
اقرأ تقرير MEI الأسبوعي الذي يتضمن تحليلات الخبراء للتطورات الإقليمية الرئيسية للأسبوع المقبل.
Russkyi Mir in the Black Sea Region
Russkyi Mir is an ideological construct and foreign policy concept defined in the first mandate of President Vladimir Putin. While not regulated through legislation or policy, the concept is popular among Russian political thinkers and ideologists as a way to shape Russia’s relationship with the world. It is also often referred to in speeches by the president, head of the Russian Orthodox Church, and other key figures.
Going back to school on Palestinian textbooks
It would be an understatement to say that the Georg Eckert Institute for International Textbook Research in Germany has written the book on how to analyze textbooks. The Institute has actually published many books — ones that are meticulous, detailed, and dispassionate. Now the Institute has published one more, this time on Palestinian textbooks.
Views from the Hill: A Conversation with Rep. Tom Malinowski
Exploring the rising workforce participation among Saudi women
In the past few months, several articles have been written on the significant rise in the Saudi female labor force participation rate (LFPR) from 17.7% in Q2, 2016 to 33.2% in Q4, 2020. Interestingly, this increase in female LFPR was not coupled with a rise in unemployment, which often occurs when workforce participation rises for a particular group. In fact, the unemployment rate among female nationals declined to its lowest level in four years, at 24.4% in Q4, 2020. However, it still remains over twice as high as that for male nationals. Another positive labor market indicator, albeit one receiving little attention from analysts, is the significant change in the employment rate among Saudi women. In other words, Saudi women not only increased their share in the workforce, but were also able to gain jobs once they entered the labor force.
Serbia’s best friend in the Arab world: The UAE
On July 1, 2021, Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić, accompanied by Mohamed Alabbar, an entrepreneur and the chairman of UAE real estate firm Eagle Hills, attended a ceremony in Belgrade. It commemoratedthe final work on a tower within Waterfront Belgrade, a major real estate project funded by the UAE. The ceremony was an illustration of the growing ties between Serbia and the UAE, which over the past nine years has become Belgrade’s primary partner in the Arab world. The UAE has also emerged as a source of cash and an instrument of domestic political promotion for the Serbian leadership.