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A Post-War Model for Verifying Iran’s Missile Arsenal
  • Report
  • A Post-War Model for Verifying Iran’s Missile Arsenal

    This study proposes a model for constraining and verifying Iran’s ballistic missile arsenal by employing a layered Strategic Verification Model with seven components: comprehensive baseline declarations; missile test and launch monitoring; intrusive inspections; quantitative and qualitative limits on missile capabilities; production controls, especially on solid-fuel manufacturing; a robust enforcement and compliance architecture; and regional confidence building measures.

    A New US-Iraq Relationship?
  • Analysis
  • A New US-Iraq Relationship?

    The US administration appears to have great expectations for Iraq’s new prime minister, Ali Falah al-Zaidi. But the expectations need to be tempered.

    June 25, 2026

    The Gulf Cannot Afford to Retreat from Lebanon
  • Analysis
  • The Gulf Cannot Afford to Retreat from Lebanon

    The 2026 Iran war has made Lebanon a core Gulf security concern, and Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Qatar now have a narrow opportunity to curb Hizballah’s influence by leading reconstruction, strengthening Lebanese state institutions, and tying economic re-engagement to reform.

    June 25, 2026

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    The New Iraqi Prime Minister: A Change in Style or Substance?
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • The New Iraqi Prime Minister: A Change in Style or Substance?

    During his first week in office, Iraq’s new prime minister, Haydar al-Abbadi, has made a number of significant announcements, ranging from highly symbolic moves to more wide-ranging initiatives. Signs of divergence between Abbadi and his predecessor, Nuri al-Maliki, are clearly visible.

    September 17, 2014

    A Coalition of Uncertainty
  • Analysis
  • A Coalition of Uncertainty

    One way to grasp the immense difficulty facing President Obama as he tries to forge an effective international coalition to oppose the Islamic State is to examine the difference between this effort and the last time the United States led a diverse group of countries to take on a conflict in the Middle East: Operation Desert Storm, in 1991.

    September 15, 2014

    The Huthi Ascent to Power
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • The Huthi Ascent to Power

    After capturing Amran in mid-summer, the emboldened Huthi movement (Ansar Allah) began a fall campaign against the national capital, surrounding Sana‘a with armed camps, organizing large demonstrations around government buildings inside the city, and demanding that the government repeal its recent decision to lift fuel subsidies before resigning. Tensions turned bloody on September 9 when gunfire broke out as Huthi demonstrators tried to force their way into the Prime Minister’s office in downtown Sana‘a.[1]

    September 15, 2014

    Iran and Saudi Arabia: Detente on the Horizon?
  • Analysis
  • Iran and Saudi Arabia: Detente on the Horizon?

    This article first appeared in The National Interest.

    After a year of hesitation, Iranian president Hassan Rouhani is signaling his readiness to reach out to Tehran’s chief regional rival—Saudi Arabia. Last week, a top official was sent to Riyadh; he was the most senior Iranian visitor to the country since Rouhani’s election in June 2013.

    ISIS strategy check: Rule out a U.S. war
  • Analysis
  • ISIS strategy check: Rule out a U.S. war

    This op-ed was first published in the New York Daily News.

    The United States might not have had a strategy for battling ISIS last week, but it does now. The NATO summit in Wales produced one. It reflects President Obama’s instincts and his ability to corral fractious allies.

    It also says nothing about the use of force by the United States.

    September 8, 2014

    How U.S. can help Syria drive out ISIS
  • Analysis
  • How U.S. can help Syria drive out ISIS

    Read the full article on CNN.

    American airstrikes might be needed in Syria, but that would not be the most important tactic for success, nor would more material aid to the rebels be sufficient to contain the Islamic State over the long term. As in Iraq, there has to be a political angle as well.

    The Fall of Amran and the Future of the Islah Party in Yemen
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • The Fall of Amran and the Future of the Islah Party in Yemen

    As the world’s attention was riveted on the lightening conquests of the Islamic State in Iraq, Yemen’s al-Huthi movement made an equally stunning but largely unnoticed military advance on Amran Governorate and captured the provincial capital, Amran, in July. The fall of Amran has extraordinary political significance: The al-Huthi advance dislodged the al-Ahmar family’s grip on the leadership of the Hashid tribal confederation, a central political pillar of the Yemeni Republic since 1962, and threatens the survival of the Islah Party itself.

    August 25, 2014

    A Strategy Against the Islamic State
  • Analysis
  • A Strategy Against the Islamic State

    The outlines of a US strategy to roll back ISIS, or the ‘Islamic State’ as it styles itself, in Iraq have become relatively clear, even if success is uncertain.

    August 22, 2014

    Mosul During the Caliphate
  • Analysis
  • Mosul During the Caliphate

    One hundred and sixty-three years before the Islamic State’s band of thugs rolled into the city, terrorizing the city’s minorities, my Protestant missionary ancestor, his wife, and two children settled in Mosul, a long way from the home they left behind in Utica, New York.

    August 12, 2014

    Obama Raises the Bar in Iraq
  • Analysis
  • Obama Raises the Bar in Iraq

    Paul Salem, MEI’s vice president for policy and research, examines President Obama’s decision to step up US intervention against the Islamic State (also known as ISIS) in Iraq, and what it implies for broader US policy in the region, in this Expert Q&A.

    How do you read the import and impact of President Obama’s recent announcements of airstrikes and humanitarian intervention in Iraq?

    August 11, 2014

    Read the Middle East Journal

    The oldest peer-reviewed publication dedicated to the study of the modern Middle East, MEI’s flagship journal covers politics, society, and culture in the region.