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The Middle East Beyond the Iran War
  • Report
  • The Middle East Beyond the Iran War

    This article is part of a collection of short essays written by the Fellows of the Middle East Institute to explore aspects of the ongoing war with Iran. The intent of the collection is to help readers see new and unexpected elements of the dynamics and impact of the ongoing hostilities and to think harder, deeper, and broader about the implications of the conflict.

    September 28, 2026

    Turkey: Ankara’s Nuclear Ambitions in the Post-Iran War Environment
  • Analysis
  • Turkey: Ankara’s Nuclear Ambitions in the Post-Iran War Environment

    In February 2026, Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan suggested that shifting international dynamics could push Turkey to acquire nuclear weapons. That rhetoric, combined with Turkey’s civilian nuclear energy and research programs and its indigenous surface-to-surface missile development projects, has fueled concerns that these capabilities could eventually form the backbone of a Turkish nuclear weapons program.

    Syria: Opportunity Amid Regional Adversity
  • Analysis
  • Syria: Opportunity Amid Regional Adversity

    When the US and Israel launched military action against Iran on February 28, 2026, it set in motion a chain of events that saw violence spread across the Middle East. Yet as the region found itself engulfed in conflict, Syria has experienced its most peaceful months in 15 years, and the government in Damascus appears determined to stay its course toward recovery.

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    HTS and al-Qaeda in Syria: Reconciling the irreconcilable
    Photo by OMAR HAJ KADOUR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • HTS and al-Qaeda in Syria: Reconciling the irreconcilable

    HTS launched multiple raids on SBS, forcing its factions to close their military bases and banning the formation of any new factions or operations rooms. In doing so, it has killed two birds with one stone: demarcating new redlines for its rivals and demonstrating its usefulness to its Turkish “partner” and the international community in their war on terrorism.

    July 15, 2020

    Lebanon is standing on one leg; the US needs to support it
    Photo by ANWAR AMRO/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Lebanon is standing on one leg; the US needs to support it

    Over the past decade, the two main pillars of Lebanon’s stability have been the country’s army and its banking sector. Today one of those pillars — the banking sector — has all but fallen and Lebanon is standing on one leg: its army.

    July 15, 2020

    The road to justice for Syria goes through Europe
    Photo by THOMAS LOHNES/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The road to justice for Syria goes through Europe

    The road to accountability in Syria will undoubtedly be long, difficult, and imperfect. However, in recent years and even months, there have been tangible steps taken toward criminal accountability, particularly in Europe.

    July 14, 2020

    Lebanon Policy Paper: Recommendations for a Sustainable Bilateral Relationship
    Photo by Marwan Naamani/picture alliance via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Lebanon Policy Paper: Recommendations for a Sustainable Bilateral Relationship

    Lebanon is on the brink of collapse due to its domestic economic and political crises, exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic. Another failed state in the Middle East would negatively impact strategic U.S. interests in the region. Lebanon requires a thorough reorientation towards stability and renewed socio-economic sustainability which entails fundamental domestic reforms and targeted international support led by the U.S.

    July 14, 2020

    Russia’s approach to Responsibility to Protect in the Black Sea and Syria
  • Analysis
  • Russia’s approach to Responsibility to Protect in the Black Sea and Syria

    Where most of the international community sees R2P as a mechanism for protecting human rights when a state cannot or will not ensure them, Russia’s take on the same concept focuses on the protection of national sovereignty at any cost. However, Moscow’s commitment to the notion of sovereignty has been selectively applied to the states of the Middle East and the Black Sea.

    July 14, 2020

    The eastern Mediterranean heats up as conflicts over energy move onshore
    Photo by Mustafa Kamaci/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The eastern Mediterranean heats up as conflicts over energy move onshore

    Not too long ago, the Mediterranean was described as “NATO’s lake” — a sleepy backwater in a world dominated by conflict. Today, Israel’s quarrels with Lebanon, Palestine, and Syria are viewed — and minimized — as legacy conflicts, overshadowed by a new and unstable strategic environment centered upon competing visions of offshore energy and security in the eastern Mediterranean.

    July 14, 2020

    أردوغان و "الحرب الرمزية" على آيا صوفيا
  • Commentary
  • أردوغان و "الحرب الرمزية" على آيا صوفيا

    بقلم  سيرين سيلفين كوركماز

    “في غياب سياسات ملموسة للتعامل مع المشاكل الاقتصادية والسياسية التي تواجهها البلاد، يجد أردوغان الخلاص في الشعبوية”.

    أصدر الرئيس رجب طيب أردوغان مرسوما يوم الجمعة يأمر اسطنبول بتحويل متحف آيا صوفيا التاريخي إلى مسجد. آيا صوفيا الكاتدرائية البيزنطية التي اكتمل بناؤها عام 537 تم تحويلها إلى مسجد من قبل السلطان محمد الثاني بعد الفتح العثماني عام 1453. وفي عام 1934، في عهد الرئيس مصطفى كمال أتاتورك، تم تحويلها إلى متحف بموجب مرسوم حكومي.

    July 13, 2020

    Investing in Syria: “Photo ops” outweigh real change
    Photo by LOUAI BESHARA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Investing in Syria: “Photo ops” outweigh real change

    As in other countries, not all announced investments come to fruition. But the ratio in Syria is particularly staggering. Of the 118 projects approved by the Syrian Investment Agency in 2018, only 46 percent have taken any serious steps toward implementation as of early 2020.

    July 9, 2020

    Life inside Syria’s al-Hol camp
    Photo by DELIL SOULEIMAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Life inside Syria’s al-Hol camp

    After the fall of ISIS in 2019, many relatives of fighters who were detained or killed, including 10,000 families of foreign fighters, were housed in camps like Roj and al-Hol in territory controlled by the Syrian Democratic Forces. Like any closed society, the foreigners’ annex in al-Hol has its own dynamic and life there is much more complicated than is often portrayed.

    July 9, 2020

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    The oldest peer-reviewed publication dedicated to the study of the modern Middle East, MEI’s flagship journal covers politics, society, and culture in the region.