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Research & Commentary Results

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351 Results
The Gulf looks over the cliff and retreats
 Saudi Arabian King Salman bin Abdulaziz al-Saud chairs the 40th Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) annual summit in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia on December 10, 2019.
  • تعليق
  • The Gulf looks over the cliff and retreats

    The steps the Saudis have taken in 2019 may help to ease international pressure on the kingdom’s leadership and restore its image as a constructive player in the world.

    December 16, 2019

    Turkey doubles down on Libya
    President of Turkey, Recep Tayyip Erdogan (R) meets chairman of the Presidential Council of Libya, Fayez Al-Sarraj (L) at Dolmabahce Office in Istanbul, Turkey on November 27, 2019.
  • التحليل
  • Turkey doubles down on Libya

    On Nov. 27 the GNA signed an MoU with Turkey seeking to create a shared maritime boundary in the Mediterranean Sea between southwestern Turkey and northeastern Libya. In an overt quid pro quo, this maritime agreement was signed along with a separate MoU to expand security and military cooperation. Thus, it seems clear that Turkey was only able to persuade the GNA to agree to the maritime deal in exchange for increased security support for the GNA-aligned forces fighting the self-styled LNA in Tripoli.

    December 10, 2019

    Blockchain adoption in the Gulf states
  • التحليل
  • Blockchain adoption in the Gulf states

    The subject of extensive international interest and attention over the past few years, blockchain technology is regarded as a key component of the fourth industrial revolution. This article seeks to shed light on the use of blockchain technology in the Gulf states by analyzing current trends of blockchain adoption in the region compared to those internationally. In so doing, it will determine Gulf institutions’ capacity for keeping pace with the changes and developments blockchain adoption has introduced.

    December 10, 2019

    Seized Russian-printed dinars highlight an opportunity to reform Libya’s civil war economy
     Libyans gather during the funeral of fighters loyal to the Government of National Accord (GNA) in the capital Tripoli, on April 24, 2019, after they were reportedly killed during clashes with forces loyal to strongman Khalifa Haftar in al-Hira region, about 70 kilometres south of Tripoli.
  • التحليل
  • Seized Russian-printed dinars highlight an opportunity to reform Libya’s civil war economy

    The Nov. 1 seizure by Malta of two 2000-cubic-foot containers full of Libyan currency printed by the Russian state printer, Goznak, that was intended for delivery to Libya’s non-internationally recognized eastern government, highlights the continuing importance of the economic aspects of Libya’s ongoing civil war.

    The UN deliberately (albeit mistakenly) accorded sovereignty to post-Gadhafi Libya’s economic institutions
    Libya's General National Congress (GNC) deputy president Saleh al-Makhzoum (C-R), the new national government head, Prime Minister, Fayez al-Sarraj (C) and the head of the Tobruk-based House of Representatives Mohammed Ali Shoeb (C-L) celebrate after signing a deal on a unity government on December 17, 2015, in the Moroccan city of Skhirat.
  • التحليل
  • The UN deliberately (albeit mistakenly) accorded sovereignty to post-Gadhafi Libya’s economic institutions

    The crux of today’s Libya problem in international foreign policy lies in an underappreciated UN misstep in the most important international treaty concerning Libya, the 2015 Skhirat Agreement, and the decision to vest sovereignty in the heads of independent and semi-independent sub-state institutions like the Central Bank of Libya. The negative implications of this decision must now be addressed and it is time to move onto something new, after Skhirat.

    September 26, 2019

    How Libya’s economic structures enrich the militias
    Members of the Tripoli Protection Force, an alliance of militias from the capital city, patrol an area south of the Libyan capital on January 18, 2019, during clashes with the Seventh Brigade group from the town of Tarhuna.
  • التحليل
  • How Libya’s economic structures enrich the militias

    Largely overlooked in international policymaking toward Libya’s current conflict is the role of corruption as a key driver of violence, as opposed to merely its byproduct. The high-level debate on Libya at the UN General Assembly (UNGA) in late September and the proposed follow-on international conference to be hosted by Germany in October or November are the perfect opportunities to correct this oversight.

    September 23, 2019

    Libya’s Hifter and the false narrative of authoritarian stability
    Self-proclaimed Libyan National Army (LNA) Chief of Staff, Khalifa Haftar arrives for a conference on Libya on November 12, 2018 at Villa Igiea in Palermo. - Libya's key political players meet with global leaders in Palermo on November 12 in the latest bid by major powers to kickstart a long-stalled political process and trigger elections. (Photo by Filippo MONTEFORTE / AFP) (Photo credit should read FILIPPO MONTEFORTE/AFP/Getty Images)
  • التحليل
  • Libya’s Hifter and the false narrative of authoritarian stability

    Khalifa Hifter has managed to garner outside support by appealing to foreign states’ desire for a stable Libya, but this rogue former general and would-be authoritarian has proven a troublesome proxy. In supporting his ongoing offensive on Tripoli, foreign states are undermining their own narrative of authoritarian stability.

    September 3, 2019

    Oman's new embassy in Palestine
    In this handout from the Palestinian Press Office, Palestinan President Mahmoud Abbas (R) meets with Oman's Sultan Qaboos bin Said on January 14, 2010 in Muscat, Oman.
  • التحليل
  • Oman's new embassy in Palestine

    The news came eight months after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu paid a visit to the Omani capital for surprise talks with Sultan Qaboos in October 2018, and four months after Minister Responsible for Foreign Affairs Yusuf bin Alawi bin Abdullah met with Netanyahu in Poland during the Trump administration’s “Peace and Security in the Middle East” summit.

    August 12, 2019

    Divided over narratives: The new fault line in the Arab World
    a helicopter flying over flags at the Ithra center during the 29th Summit of the Arab League in Dhahran in Eastern Province, Saudi Arabia on April 15, 2018.
  • التحليل
  • Divided over narratives: The new fault line in the Arab World

    Many of the divisions in the Arab World today are ideological and revolve around narratives — carefully constructed ontological representations of both how the world works and how it is supposed to work conforming to clearly set out interests and values. While the old sectarian narratives might still play an underlying role, what divides Arabs from Morocco to Oman are different grand-strategic visions of the region’s future after the Arab Spring.

    July 24, 2019

    OPEC+ agrees to production-cut extension and new charter amid rising Middle East tensions
    Oil ministers attend the 176th meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) conference and the 6th meeting of the OPEC and non-OPEC countries on July 1, 2019 in Vienna, Austria.
  • التحليل
  • OPEC+ agrees to production-cut extension and new charter amid rising Middle East tensions

    OPEC+ nations have ended speculation about whether they would continue oil production cuts by agreeing to a nine-month extension. Led by the global petroleum powers Saudi Arabia and Russia, the group agreed on July 2 to extend the current level of cuts until the second quarter of 2020.

    July 24, 2019

    Freshwater Resources in the MENA Region: Risks and Opportunities
    A young Palestinian draws water from a tank
  • التحليل
  • Freshwater Resources in the MENA Region: Risks and Opportunities

    A reliable supply of freshwater is a prerequisite for sustainable socioeconomic development, as well as for sociopolitical stability and human prosperity, especially in semi-arid and arid regions of the world. The Middle East and North Africa’s freshwater resources are under immense pressures and are facing significant risks to their sustainability due to overexploitation, climate change, and interstate competition over their use that extends beyond the region’s boundaries.

    July 10, 2019

    Interconnected: Trade, food security, and stability in the GCC and MENA
    An Emirati man reads the front of a package of Indian Basmati rice in a supermarket in Dubai on July 19, 2008. Faced with the scarcity of fertile land and water, and the surging world prices of food, the wealthy Gulf states are seeking to secure food supplies through agricultural investments abroad.
  • التحليل
  • Interconnected: Trade, food security, and stability in the GCC and MENA

    It is easy to overlook the fact that food security could be an issue of concern in the Gulf Cooperation Council. After all, its member states have some of the world’s highest per capita income levels. Food supplies in the Gulf are normally abundant and stable. Were they to be disrupted, however, it could lead to food security challenges and a chain of adverse consequences for human security throughout the region.

    July 9, 2019

    Is ISIS the real winner of Hifter’s Tripoli offensive?
    Libyan national security forces stage a show of strength after clashes against Daesh in the town of Sabratha, Libya on February 28, 2016.
  • التحليل
  • Is ISIS the real winner of Hifter’s Tripoli offensive?

    The launch of General Khalifa Hifter’s campaign to retake Tripoli in April has intensified Libya’s political upheaval and created the conditions for a potential resurgence of ISIS. The onset of the Libyan civil war in mid-2014 gave rise to a power vacuum that enabled the group to establish an initial presence in Libya, and while ISIS was eventually driven out at the end of 2016, the current political instability could give it an opportunity to regroup and re-establish itself — with major ramifications for the country and the broader region.

    May 30, 2019