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Research & Commentary Results

تصفية حسب
736 Results
A new era for the Turkish economy?
Photo by ADEM ALTAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • A new era for the Turkish economy?

    Turkey’s new economic team may take a more hawkish tone when it comes to tackling inflation and preserving financial stability through fiscal and monetary measures. However, investors and policymakers should not be naïve, as this approach will only be temporary or partial, aimed at winning the upcoming local elections.

    June 21, 2023

    Iran and the GCC connectivity agenda: Implication for Washington’s Iran policy
    الصورة من وكالة فرانس برس عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • التحليل
  • Iran and the GCC connectivity agenda: Implication for Washington’s Iran policy

    The prevailing political spirit in the Gulf region is presently one of de-escalation. In the case of the UAE and Iran, a number of existing connections could help hasten the process of de-escalation and enable it to happen faster than anywhere else in the region.The outcome should be of interest not only to the UAE and Iran but also to the U.S. given the latter’s long-standing efforts to shape Iranian policies.

    Amid calls for refugee returns, Assad’s property grab continues
    Photo credit GEORGE OURFALIAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Amid calls for refugee returns, Assad’s property grab continues

    While calls for the immediate return of Syrian refugees have increased at the regional and international levels, it is imperative to closely examine the direct link between the regime’s policy of property confiscation and the possibility of refugee returns. Property confiscation does not only impact the direct owners and their immediate families’ livelihoods but also hinders the ability of thousands of displaced Syrians to return while leading those who still reside under regime rule to consider migration.

    Beijing to Baghdad: China’s growing role in Iraq’s energy sector
    Photo by ASAAD NIAZI/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Beijing to Baghdad: China’s growing role in Iraq’s energy sector

    Chinese companies are well positioned to participate in Iraq’s efforts to expand its oil production capacity and develop domestic gas supplies, as they are actively engaged in various energy-related undertakings throughout the country. However, if indeed China’s strategy is, as some have suggested, to become the dominant player in Iraq’s economy, achieving that objective will likely prove difficult given Iraq’s challenging operating environment and contentious politics.

    War as a catalyst for greater Black Sea-Gulf interconnectivity
    Photo by Saudi Foreign Ministry / Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • War as a catalyst for greater Black Sea-Gulf interconnectivity

    Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine has destabilized and distressed the entire Black Sea neighborhood. Yet despite the war, or perhaps because of it, strategically important foreign direct investments into Black Sea littoral countries, including from the Gulf, have endured or even grown.

    Turkey 2030: How did we get here?
    Photo by Julian Stratenschulte/picture alliance via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Turkey 2030: How did we get here?

    To analyze the crossroads Turkey faces in the 2023 elections, it could prove useful to “look back from the alternative futures” and explore how the possible outcomes might play out. What could it look like if we look back from 2030 to another victory by Erdoğan? And how might have the last seven years played out had the opposition won?

    May 24, 2023

    هل الدين العام الأردني يسير على مسار مستدام؟
    الصورة من Artur Widak/NurPhoto عبر Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • هل الدين العام الأردني يسير على مسار مستدام؟

    في السنوات القليلة الماضية، أصبح الدين العام الأردني مصدر قلق سياسي كبير للحكومة والمجتمع الدولي والمانحين الرئيسيين الذين يدعمون عمّان. فقد ارتفع الدين العام بشكل كبير خلال السنوات الخمس عشرة الماضية، مما أثار العديد من التساؤلات حول مستقبل الاستقرار الاقتصادي الكلي في الأردن، وقدرة الحكومة على تمويل مشاريع التنمية.

    15 مايو 2023

    Is blue the new green? Opportunities for developing a climate-resilient blue economy in the MENA region
    Photo by Ferdi Uzun/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Is blue the new green? Opportunities for developing a climate-resilient blue economy in the MENA region

    The blue economy can offer huge potential in climate change mitigation and resilience, given the fact that marine habitats, such as mangroves, tidal marshes, and seagrass meadows, provide significant protection from erratic climate events. MENA countries would benefit from developing the blue economy to aid in reversing natural resource degradation, sustaining inclusive economic development, and building resilience to climate change.

    May 10, 2023

    Joining the pieces together: Toward a comprehensive EU maritime approach for the Northwestern Indian Ocean, Persian Gulf, and Red Sea
    Photo credit: ROBIN UTRECHT/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Joining the pieces together: Toward a comprehensive EU maritime approach for the Northwestern Indian Ocean, Persian Gulf, and Red Sea

    Until recently, the EU has favored a piecemeal approach toward the Northwestern Indian Ocean, the Gulf, and the Red Sea, despite their close interdependence and inter-connectedness in the security, political, and economic realms. But the EU is now signaling a growing desire to steer its naval policy toward a more holistic and organic process, creating an opportunity for Brussels to become a more relevant security actor in the waters off the Arabian Peninsula.

    May 9, 2023

    The economic impact of Turkey’s elections: Six potential scenarios
    Photo by Kerem Uzel/Bloomberg via Getty Images.
  • التحليل
  • The economic impact of Turkey’s elections: Six potential scenarios

    As Turkey heads to the polls for presidential and parliamentary elections this month, the consequences for its troubled economy are likely to be significant and wide-ranging. Financial stability, business confidence, purchasing power, and asset prices all depend on whether President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s two-decade-long rule will continue; at the same time these factors will also determine his chances for re-election. There are a number of potential election outcomes that could lead to greater uncertainty and volatility rather than clarity and stability.

    May 8, 2023

    Biden must thwart French folie in Lebanon
    Photo by CHRISTOPHE SIMON/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
  • تعليق
  • Biden must thwart French folie in Lebanon

    Lebanon is on the verge of complete collapse, and if Washington is serious about preventing not just another failed state but a growing normalization of unchecked authoritarianism in the Middle East, it must stop outsourcing leadership on Lebanon to France.

    السياسة الكمومية في الشرق الأوسط
    الصورة من جاك جيز/وكالة فرانس برس عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • التحليل
  • السياسة الكمومية في الشرق الأوسط

    تركزت جميع النزاعات التاريخية والحديثة في الشرق الأوسط حول الاعتبارات الإقليمية الكلاسيكية المتعلقة بفقدان الأراضي أو استعادتها. وللخروج من هذه الدوامة، كان من الضروري الابتعاد عن أحد الأسباب الجذرية الرئيسية للنزاع: الجغرافيا. وقد تكون التغيرات الحالية في المنطقة، التي تتميز بتوجه كبير نحو تخفيف حدة التوتر واستعداد متزايد للانفصال بشكل دوري عن الحلفاء التقليديين، مؤشرات على حدوث تحول جذري عميق نحو "السياسة الكمومية".

    1 مايو 2023

    تونس وصندوق النقد الدولي والبدائل
    الصورة من صامويل كوروم/بلومبرغ عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • التحليل
  • تونس وصندوق النقد الدولي والبدائل

    أثار تصريح الرئيس قيس سعيد خلال خطاب ألقاه في 6 أبريل/نيسان، والذي ادعى فيه رفضه للشروط، أو "الإنفاذ"، كما أسماها، المرتبطة بقرض محتمل من صندوق النقد الدولي، جدلاً واسعاً. ويبدو أن ردود الفعل على الخطاب وكذلك الإجراءات التي اتخذها المسؤولون التونسيون قبله وبعده تتعارض مع مقصده، مما تسبب في إرباك حول ما إذا كانت الصفقة لا تزال قائمة. وفي الوقت نفسه، اعتبر آخرون الخطاب علامة على أن تونس تدرس بجدية إمكانية وجود بدائل لتمويل صندوق النقد الدولي أو حتى إعادة توجيه جيوسياسي.

    28 أبريل 2023

    Getting ahead of the Middle East’s climate refugee conundrum
    Photo by Hazem Turkia/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Getting ahead of the Middle East’s climate refugee conundrum

    Over the coming decades, the worsening effects of climate change will increasingly displace many millions of vulnerable people in the Middle East and North Africa, and many of these refugees will attempt to relocate to the Global North. To avert such a monumental looming problem requires pragmatic solutions and their swift implementation.

    April 26, 2023