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Research & Commentary Results

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Earthquake devastates southern Turkey, brings calamity to war-torn Syria
Photo by Zana Halil/ dia images via Getty Images
  • تعليق
  • Earthquake devastates southern Turkey, brings calamity to war-torn Syria

    Southern Turkey and northern Syria were struck by a crippling 7.8 magnitude earthquake at 4:17 AM, on Feb. 6. Twelve hours later, at least 2,400 people are known to have perished, with death tolls rapidly rising. This natural disaster could not have come at a worse time or struck a more vulnerable region — with notoriously poor construction in southern Turkey and the effects of more than a decade of brutal conflict still afflicting northern Syria.

    Something has to give in postwar Syria
  • تعليق
  • Something has to give in postwar Syria

    Syria’s crisis is set to enter its 13th year in March. Although the level of violence across the country remains relatively low today compared with earlier years, the crisis is a long, long way from over. Within Syria, at least six distinct conflicts involving internal actors and foreign governments are ongoing to this day, and all of them show more signs of escalating than calming down.

    Taking stock of the first 100 days of Iraq’s new government
    Photo by Bernd von Jutrczenka/picture alliance via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Taking stock of the first 100 days of Iraq’s new government

    In its first 100 days in office, the government of Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed al-Sudani has already left warning signs about what might lie ahead for the country. Although it is still in its early days, government actions have largely strayed from the promises Sudani made before taking office and resulted in setbacks on several fronts.

    January 31, 2023

    Kurdistan gas and diversification
    Photo by Reza/Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Kurdistan gas and diversification

    The issue of diversification is difficult but urgent, given increasingly tight global climate policies, the advances of non-fossil technologies, and the limited lifespan of the KRI’s oil resources. Harnessing the region’s natural gas productively is the first step to a cleaner and more diversified economy.

    January 20, 2023

    Turkish-Syrian Re-engagement: Drivers, Limitations, and US Policy Implications
    Photo by Rami Alsayed/NurPhoto via Getty Images.
  • التحليل
  • Turkish-Syrian Re-engagement: Drivers, Limitations, and US Policy Implications

    A little over two weeks ago, the defense and intelligence chiefs of Turkey and Syria met face-to-face in Moscow — the first such meeting in over a decade. On the surface, this latest flurry of engagement with Assad’s regime is a major development. Were Turkey to decisively shift its Syria policy, the effects would be dramatic. Beyond the hype and speculation, Turkey’s decision to participate in the Moscow meetings is not altogether surprising and it does not represent a wholesale policy reversal. What has changed more recently is Turkey’s impending elections — and with them Erdoğan’s political calculations.

    Keeping up appearances: The Ukraine war’s effect on Russian deployments in Syria
    Photo by DELIL SOULEIMAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Keeping up appearances: The Ukraine war’s effect on Russian deployments in Syria

    As Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine turned into protracted positional and attrition warfare, often speculative reports emerged about the imminent reduction of the Russian military presence in Syria. Several factors may explain the changes in the Russian military presence in Syria and its future.

    The spider of Khanasir and the rising star of Syria’s Hussam Luka
    الصورة مقدمة من المؤلف
  • التحليل
  • The spider of Khanasir and the rising star of Syria’s Hussam Luka

    Despite his rural Sunni roots, one general has managed to play a part in nearly every step of the regime’s counter-revolution, all while building a web of networks across much of Syria as he worked his way up the complex internal ladders of the mukhabarat: Maj. Gen. Hussam Luka.

    December 8, 2022

    ISIS leader’s death raises intriguing questions
    Photo by JOSEPH EID/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • ISIS leader’s death raises intriguing questions

    On Nov. 30, the Islamic State announced that its leader, Abu al-Hassan al-Hashimi al-Qurayshi, had been killed in battle and that his successor, Abu al-Hussein al-Husseini al-Qurayshi, was now in place. Hours later, the United States military’s Central Command confirmed the death of Abu al-Hassan, adding that it had occurred in Daraa, in southern Syria, in mid-October at the hands of “the Free Syrian Army.”

    داعش" إلى العلن في الجنوب السوري"
    Photo by LOUAI BESHARA/AFP via Getty Images
  • تعليق
  • داعش" إلى العلن في الجنوب السوري"

    أطلقت المجموعات المحلية في مدينة درعا البلد ، وهي مجموعات عسكرية كانت تتبع للجيش السوري الحر، و بقيت في المحافظة بعد توقيع أتفاقية المصالحة مع النظام السوري برعاية روسية في يوليو / تموز عام 2018، عملية عسكرية واسعة على مجموعات هفو _ الحرفوش في أحياء طريق السد والمخيم داخل درعا البلد.

    ISIS is back in the open in southern Syria
    Photo by LOUAI BESHARA/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • ISIS is back in the open in southern Syria

    On Oct. 31, local units previously affiliated with the FSA launched a large-scale military operation against the al-Hafo-Harfoush group in the southern Syrian city of Daraa al-Balad. The operation followed a suicide bombing targeting the house of Ghassan al-Akram Abazid, a former FSA leader, that left four dead and several others wounded, on Oct. 28, in Daraa al-Balad. The attack was only the latest in a string of similar operations in southern Syria conducted by the group over the past year targeting military factions affiliated with the opposition.

    فهم المنطق خلف عنف النظام السوري
    Photo by LOUAI BESHARA/AFP via Getty Images
  • تعليق
  • فهم المنطق خلف عنف النظام السوري

    على الرغم من التوثيق الجيد لاضطهاد الدولة السورية وعنفها ضد السكان من خلال الكم الهائل من شهادات الضحايا طوال النزاع المسلح الذي استمر أكثر من ١١ عامًا في عموم البلد، يبقى المنطق خلف هذا العنف مفهوماً بشكل أقل – من هم المستهدفين من قبل النظام وما هي الأضرار الناتجة هذا الاستهداف؟ ولماذا يستمر العنف والاضطهاد ضد بعض الجماعات حتى بعد انخفاض الأعمال العدائية المباشرة، أو حتى بعد لجوء هذه الجماعات خارج البلاد؟