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Research & Commentary Results

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How northern Syria’s triple water crisis is exacerbating its people’s woes
  • التحليل
  • How northern Syria’s triple water crisis is exacerbating its people’s woes

    As the humanitarian, political, and economic challenges in Syria are occurring simultaneously with increasingly hot and dry summers, conflict- and climate-related factors have compounded, resulting in the emergence of a so-called “triple water crisis.”

    September 19, 2023

    إحاطة يوم الاثنين: انطلاق أسبوع الجمعية العامة للأمم المتحدة بتبادل أسرى بين الولايات المتحدة وإيران
  • تعليق
  • إحاطة يوم الاثنين: انطلاق أسبوع الجمعية العامة للأمم المتحدة بتبادل أسرى بين الولايات المتحدة وإيران

    اقرأ تقرير MEI الأسبوعي الذي يتضمن تحليلات الخبراء للتطورات الإقليمية الرئيسية للأسبوع المقبل.

    After an uprising and violent crackdown, Syria’s Deir ez-Zor is at a critical juncture
    Photo by DELIL SOULEIMAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • After an uprising and violent crackdown, Syria’s Deir ez-Zor is at a critical juncture

    On Sept. 8, the Kurdish-led SDF, a key U.S. ally, announced the end of its “Operation Security Enhancement” in Deir ez-Zor in northeast Syria. While framed as an operation targeting ISIS sleeper cells and criminals, it aimed at quashing an armed uprising led by Arab tribesmen, particularly members of the Akidat tribe. While multiple factors may have contributed to fueling the uprising, the importance of the region’s longstanding grievances cannot be overstated.

    September 14, 2023

    Deir ez-Zor torn between Arab tribes’ struggle for independence and the SDF’s efforts to subdue them
    Photo by Bekir Kasim/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Deir ez-Zor torn between Arab tribes’ struggle for independence and the SDF’s efforts to subdue them

    On Sept. 8, the Syrian Democratic Forces were able to enter the villages and towns of Deir ez-Zor’s eastern countryside, stretching from al-Tayyanah to al-Baghouz, regaining control of all of the areas that had witnessed an uprising against their forces beginning on Aug. 27. But what sparked the fighting in the first place, how did things play out, and what might it mean for the region going forward?

    صراع ديرالزور بين دفاع العشائر عن الاستقلالية ومخطط "قسد" للإخضاع
    Photo by Bekir Kasim/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • تعليق
  • صراع ديرالزور بين دفاع العشائر عن الاستقلالية ومخطط "قسد" للإخضاع

    تمكنت قوات سوريا الديمقراطية في الثامن من أيلول/سبتمبر، من الدخول إلى قرى وبلدات ريف ديرالزور الشرقي الممتد من بلدة الطيانة حتى الباغوز، بذلك أعادة السيطرة على جميع المناطق التي شهدت حالة تمرد ضد قواتها، التي بدأت في السابع والعشرين من شهر آب/ أغسطس الماضي.

    Deir ez-Zor’s tribes reach a breaking point
    Rami Alsayed/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Deir ez-Zor’s tribes reach a breaking point

    Years of simmering tensions between the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) and local populations in northeast Syria have exploded this week into still-expanding battles across much of Deir ez-Zor. Conflict resolution requires the international coalition to engage with the Kurdish administration on deep political and administrative reforms. However, the violence in Deir ez-Zor may demand a more creative and locally driven approach to the northeast to foster a more resilient governance and security structure.

    September 1, 2023

    بعد بريغوزين: مستقبل فاغنر وأنشطة المنطقة الرمادية الروسية في منطقة الشرق الأوسط وشمال أفريقيا
    المساهم/Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • بعد بريغوزين: مستقبل فاغنر وأنشطة المنطقة الرمادية الروسية في منطقة الشرق الأوسط وشمال أفريقيا

    نظرًا لوجود مجموعة فاغنر العسكرية الراسخ في سوريا وليبيا والسودان، فإن القضاء على قيادتها العليا سيكون له تداعيات خطيرة على نفوذ روسيا في منطقة الشرق الأوسط وشمال إفريقيا. من غير المرجح أن يغادر المتعاقدون العسكريون التابعون لفاغنر، لأنهم يحرسون منشآت نفطية وتعدينية ذات قيمة استراتيجية؛ ولكن من المرجح أن يتم دمجهم بسرعة في القوات المسلحة الروسية النظامية.

    31 أغسطس 2023

    A dangerous escalation in Syria’s Deir ez-Zor
    الصورة من تصوير رامي السعيد/NurPhoto عبر Getty Images
  • تعليق
  • A dangerous escalation in Syria’s Deir ez-Zor

    The SDF has always been a diverse coalition of localized actors. Over the past eight years, it has managed to contain these persistent frictions, but that may now be coming to an end. In the past three days, at least 50 people have been killed in fighting between Arab tribal fighters and the SDF in the region where Syria’s Khabur and Euphrates rivers meet. The catalyst for this fighting occurred late on Aug. 27, when Ahmed al-Khubayl, the leader of the SDF’s Deir ez-Zor Military Council, was lured north to Hasakah for a purported meeting, only to be arrested alongside his brother and four other commanders.

    Pakistan’s interim government: A challenging road ahead
    BANARAS KHAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Pakistan’s interim government: A challenging road ahead

    After the conclusion of the 16-month rule of the Pakistan Democratic Movement (PDM), the appointment of a new caretaker government has created uncertainty. This raises doubts about whether Pakistan will smoothly transition to another democratic government or if the caretaker setup will exceed its constitutional mandate.

    August 29, 2023

    تقرير يوم الاثنين: التقارب السعودي الإيراني وسط تحولات إقليمية وعالمية
  • تعليق
  • تقرير يوم الاثنين: التقارب السعودي الإيراني وسط تحولات إقليمية وعالمية

    اقرأ تقرير MEI الأسبوعي الذي يتضمن تحليلات الخبراء للتطورات الإقليمية الرئيسية للأسبوع المقبل.

    Making sense of the Taliban’s counterterrorism assurances
    (Photo by Mohammad Noori/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Making sense of the Taliban’s counterterrorism assurances

    Two years on from the Taliban’s takeover of Kabul, Afghanistan’s neighbors are increasingly concerned that their return to power has emboldened terrorist groups and networks, which are using the hospitable environment to regroup, rearm, and recruit substantially. The main question now for Afghanistan’s neighbors in the region, and the international community more broadly, is just how reliable the Taliban’s counterterrorism assurances to other states really are.

    August 18, 2023

    Impossible choices and routine tragedies: The Syrian refugee crisis at 13
    Photo by Ali Hashisho/Xinhua via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Impossible choices and routine tragedies: The Syrian refugee crisis at 13

    There are currently over 5.34 million Syrian refugees dispersed in camps, collective shelters, and poor neighborhoods across Lebanon, Turkey, Iraq, Jordan, and Egypt. Many make desperate attempts to find refuge in Europe. Instead of adopting repressive measures and discriminating against these individuals, the U.S. and European countries should work with regional partners and non-governmental organizations to limit the danger to refugees and IDPs.

    16 أغسطس 2023