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Research & Commentary Results

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مصر: عام جديد ووقت للخيارات الصعبة
  • تعليق
  • مصر: عام جديد ووقت للخيارات الصعبة

    مثل الكثير من دول العالم، وقعت مصر في مُستنقع الجائحة في عام 2020. ومع ذلك، فإن قدرتها على إخراج نفسها من المُستنقع ستعتمد بشكل شبه كامل على حكومتها، وعلى الطريقة التي تختار بها مُعالجة مجموعة المُشكلات المُؤسسية التي كشفتها الجائحة.

    Turkey Faces Asia
    معهد الشرق الأوسط
  • التحليل
  • Turkey Faces Asia

    Turkey lies at the crossroads of Europe and Asia. Fueled by a dynamic economy, Turkey has emerged in recent years as an important geopolitical actor not just within the surrounding region but in the global arena as well. Turkey’s foreign and economic policy horizons today extend to the Far East. These essays explore the development of cultural, political, and economic links between Turkey and Asia.

    January 1, 2021

    An Emboldened Horn of Africa Axis and an Unfolding Humanitarian Crisis Await the Biden Administration
  • التحليل
  • An Emboldened Horn of Africa Axis and an Unfolding Humanitarian Crisis Await the Biden Administration

    As Joe Biden prepares to take office on January 20th of 2021, the U.S. and the world are facing multiple crises. Now is one of the worst times in American history as the country struggles through a major economic recession and a pandemic that has taken more than 300,000 American lives.In the Horn of Africa, his upcoming administration will grapple with longstanding challenges. However, this time, he will have to deal with the emboldened and unchecked leaders of the Horn of Africa — Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed of Ethiopia, President Mohamed Abdullahi (Farmaajo) of Somalia, and President Isaias Afwerki of Eritrea. Recently, the three leaders have formed an axis through the Horn of Africa Cooperation (HoAC) deal to consolidate security, stability, and economic integration.

    December 23, 2020

    2020 Year in Review
  • تعليق
  • 2020 Year in Review

    A look back at the year’s most important developments with analysis from Paul Salem, Alex Vatanka, Randa Slim, Gerald Feierstein, Gonul Tol, Jonathan M. Winer, Khaled Elgindy, Marvin G. Weinbaum, Mirette F. Mabrouk, Grace Wermenbol, Syed Mohammad Ali, Robert S. Ford, and Khaldoun Khelil.

    الجغرافيا السياسية وحقوق الإنسان في دائرة الضوء أثناء زيارة الرئيس السيسي لفرنسا
  • تعليق
  • الجغرافيا السياسية وحقوق الإنسان في دائرة الضوء أثناء زيارة الرئيس السيسي لفرنسا

    إعادة التفكير في الحقوق المدنية يجب أن يكون من أولويات الحكومة المصرية، لأسباب داخلية ودولية أيضا”.

    DIY futures in the Middle East: What if small got bigger?
    Photo by Marwan Naamani/picture alliance via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • DIY futures in the Middle East: What if small got bigger?

    It’s difficult to look at the Middle East and consider its future optimistically. Much of the analysis of the region centers on crisis and collapse. There is plenty of both, fueled by wars and civil conflicts, poverty, extremism, and more. Given the human toll, focusing on all this is natural. It is also necessary if solutions to deeply rooted problems are ever to be developed, leading to a better future.A related risk is becoming blinded to “weak signals” — early indicators of what could become features of potential alternative futures. Weak signals are developments that are emerging outside the dominant norms and trends of today. In the Middle East, probably the most dominant norm is the inability of governments throughout the region to provide security and prosperity for their citizens. The COVID-19 pandemic is making this even more apparent, and markedly worse. It is not just the obvious failed states — as Steven Cook recently observed, “sometimes state failure is a more chronic condition.” But in the midst of this — and fueled by it — there is evidence of activities at the local level to create what is missing. Could these be signals of a future different than the one it is so easy to expect for the region?

    December 1, 2020

    Turkey and the Biden administration
    معهد الشرق الأوسط
  • Podcast
  • Turkey and the Biden administration

    MEI’s Gonul Tol and Robert Pearson join host Alistair Taylor to discuss prospects for US-Turkey relations and regional policy under the Biden presidency.

    November 23, 2020

    Iran’s strong hand in the Arab world is missing in the Caucasus
    Photo by ANDREY BORODULIN/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Iran’s strong hand in the Arab world is missing in the Caucasus

    Iranian military advisers and pro-Iran foreign proxy groups are present from Yemen and Iraq to Syria and Lebanon. Tens of thousands of armed men operating across the Middle East look to Tehran for guidance and patronage. This sort of sway has made Iran into a regional power broker — at least in the Arab world. But Tehran’s deep ideological and financial investments in Arab states have come at the expense of neglecting Iranian interests closer to home. 

    A Sea Change?: China's Role in the Black Sea
  • التحليل
  • A Sea Change?: China's Role in the Black Sea

    Through its Belt and Road Initiative, China seeks to play a larger role in the Black Sea region. China has been wooing littoral states in hopes of securing new markets for its goods and investing in infrastructure projects. But some worry that there is more to Chinese actions in the region than meets the eye. The worry is that China will increase its political and diplomatic clout in a region that is considered vital for Russian interests and create tension between Moscow and Washington. Despite the uneasiness in the West about China’s increasing presence in the Black Sea, there is not enough focus on the issue in the scholarly debates in Western capitals. The MEI’s Frontier Europe Initiative aims to contribute to the debate on the role of China in the Black Sea. We hope the articles in this report will help to address several important unaddressed questions.

    November 18, 2020

    Turning the Tide: How Turkey Won the War for Tripoli
  • التحليل
  • Turning the Tide: How Turkey Won the War for Tripoli

    The War for Tripoli, launched by Gen. Khalifa Hifter in April 2019, came to an abrupt end in June 2020 after extensive Turkish military capabilities were introduced to the theater at the beginning of the year. This research paper seeks to drill down into the military, logistical, and technological aspects of the war, highlighting the unique role of drones, soft-kill and hard-kill air defense technologies, private military contractors, and extraterritorial military professionals in determining its final outcome. 

    November 10, 2020