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Research & Commentary Results

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The dust has not yet settled ahead of Turkey’s elections
 Photo by Muhammed Selim Korkutata/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images.
  • التحليل
  • The dust has not yet settled ahead of Turkey’s elections

    We’re only in May but it’s safe to say that 2023 has been one of the longest years in the history of Turkish politics. The main issues in the presidential and parliamentary elections on May 14 are the deteriorating economic conditions and identity politics. For the first time in two decades President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is heading into an election not in the lead.

    May 8, 2023

    Turkey's 2023 Elections: Perspectives on a Critical Vote
    Photo by OZAN KOSE/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Turkey's 2023 Elections: Perspectives on a Critical Vote

    It is a cliché for politicians to claim that an upcoming election is the most critical vote in the history of the country. In Turkey’s case, however, the presidential and parliamentary elections on May 14 are indeed the most consequential ever. The prospects for Turkey’s democratic future are at stake.

    Turkish Election Watch: The Week of April 30-May 7
    معهد الشرق الأوسط
  • تعليق
  • Turkish Election Watch: The Week of April 30-May 7

    Catch up with the latest developments about Turkey’s May elections with weekly updates from MEI’s Turkey Program. In this week’s installment of Turkish Election Watch: more signs of opposition strength, the stoning of İmamoğlu’s campaign bus in Erzurum, Babacan’s economic role, and the ruling coalition takes off the gloves.

    May 8, 2023

    The IRGC’s enmity toward Israel is an aberration in Iranian history
    الصورة من مورتزا نيكوبزل/نورفوتو عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • التحليل
  • The IRGC’s enmity toward Israel is an aberration in Iranian history

    Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) is at its core an ideological army, not a national one, and its notorious enmity toward Israel is an aberration in Iranian history. But many Israelis to this day think Iran could be a natural partner as long as the country gave up its pursuit of ideologically driven regional dominance, disavow calls for the destruction of Israel, and were instead to again allow the regular army, the Artesh, to pursue Iranian national interests.

    May 3, 2023

    The Turkish Elections and the Future of Northwest Syria: Scenarios and Policy Implications
    Photo by Murat Kocabas/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The Turkish Elections and the Future of Northwest Syria: Scenarios and Policy Implications

    The Syrian conflict has had a major impact on Turkey’s internal political discourse, with much of the discussion centering around the conflict itself, Turkey’s role in northern Syria, and the refugee crisis. This paper employs a scenario analysis methodology to explore potential outcomes that may impact Northwestern Syria following the upcoming Turkish presidential and parliamentary elections on May 14.

    2 مايو 2023

    Russia and Iran Have High Hopes for Each Other
  • تعليق
  • Russia and Iran Have High Hopes for Each Other

    One of Russian President Vladimir Putin’s special envoys keeps visiting Iran. Igor Levitin, Putin’s advisor, has visited Tehran twice in 2023, totaling five visits in the last six months. During his latest visit, Levitin met with top Iranian figures, including Mohammad Mokhber, first vice president and top economic coordinator, and Ali Shamkhani, secretary of the Supreme National Security Council.

    السياسة الكمومية في الشرق الأوسط
    الصورة من جاك جيز/وكالة فرانس برس عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • التحليل
  • السياسة الكمومية في الشرق الأوسط

    تركزت جميع النزاعات التاريخية والحديثة في الشرق الأوسط حول الاعتبارات الإقليمية الكلاسيكية المتعلقة بفقدان الأراضي أو استعادتها. وللخروج من هذه الدوامة، كان من الضروري الابتعاد عن أحد الأسباب الجذرية الرئيسية للنزاع: الجغرافيا. وقد تكون التغيرات الحالية في المنطقة، التي تتميز بتوجه كبير نحو تخفيف حدة التوتر واستعداد متزايد للانفصال بشكل دوري عن الحلفاء التقليديين، مؤشرات على حدوث تحول جذري عميق نحو "السياسة الكمومية".

    1 مايو 2023

    Monday Briefing: People power — the Israeli version
  • تعليق
  • Monday Briefing: People power — the Israeli version

    اقرأ تقرير MEI الأسبوعي الذي يتضمن تحليلات الخبراء للتطورات الإقليمية الرئيسية للأسبوع المقبل.

    1 مايو 2023

    Turkish Election Watch: The Week of April 23-30
    Photo by Burak Kara/Getty Images
  • تعليق
  • Turkish Election Watch: The Week of April 23-30

    Catch up with the latest developments about Turkey’s May elections with weekly updates from MEI’s Turkey Program. In this week’s installment of Turkish Election Watch: Erdoğan falls ill, Kılıçdaroğlu rallies in an AKP stronghold, Erdoğan dials up the culture war, concerns grow over election security, and what the polls tell us.

    US-Japan relations and the Persian Gulf
    Photo by Toru Hanai/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • US-Japan relations and the Persian Gulf

    When Saudi Arabia suddenly announced in early April that it would reduce its oil production by 500,000 bpd, followed shortly thereafter by several other OPEC+ members, bringing the total cut to 1.1 million bpd, Japan was greatly concerned. In spite of Japan’s serious efforts to work toward a carbon-neutral society, the country is still heavily dependent on oil, the overwhelming majority of which comes from the Persian Gulf.

    April 25, 2023

    Turkish Election Watch: The Week of April 16-23
    Photo by Muhammed Selim Korkutata/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • تعليق
  • Turkish Election Watch: The Week of April 16-23

    Catch up with the latest developments about Turkey’s May elections with weekly updates from MEI’s Turkey Program. In this week’s installment of Turkish Election Watch: The Kılıçdaroğlu campaign gets exciting, Erdoğan adds natural gas discount to pre-vote handouts and dials up the tension, and the top electoral body makes a surprising decision.

    Naturalized Syrians are in the spotlight ahead of Turkey’s upcoming elections
    Photo by Valeria Ferraro/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Naturalized Syrians are in the spotlight ahead of Turkey’s upcoming elections

    The most consequential elections in Turkey’s recent history are less than a month away, set to be held on May 14. While the more than 200,000 Syrians who have been granted Turkish citizenship since their arrival in the wake of the Syrian war will not play a significant role in determining the outcome given their numbers, migration is a top campaign issue, putting them at the heart of the vote.

    April 19, 2023

    Monday Briefing: Military power struggle explodes in Sudan
  • تعليق
  • Monday Briefing: Military power struggle explodes in Sudan

    اقرأ تقرير MEI الأسبوعي الذي يتضمن تحليلات الخبراء للتطورات الإقليمية الرئيسية للأسبوع المقبل.

    April 17, 2023

    Turkish Election Watch: The Week of April 9-16
    Photo by OZAN KOSE/AFP via Getty Images
  • تعليق
  • Turkish Election Watch: The Week of April 9-16

    Catch up with the latest developments about Turkey’s May elections with weekly updates from MEI’s Turkey Program. In this week’s installment of Turkish Election Watch: Erdoğan launches his re-election campaign, Kılıçdaroğlu announces pledges for the first 100 days, and İnce’s difficult week.