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The US strike on al-Qaeda leader al-Zawahiri
  • Podcast
  • The US strike on al-Qaeda leader al-Zawahiri

    On this week’s episode, host Alistair Taylor explores the ramifications of the CIA drone strike that killed al-Qaeda leader Ayman al-Zawahiri in Kabul, Afghanistan on July 31. Joining the program are three MEI experts — Mick Mulroy, Javid Ahmad, and Douglas London — who bring with them a variety of perspectives, from intelligence to diplomacy. 

    August 9, 2022

    Afghanistan adrift one year after the Taliban takeover
    Photo by WAKIL KOHSAR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Afghanistan adrift one year after the Taliban takeover

    Even prior to al-Qaeda leader Ayman al-Zawahiri’s death in a CIA drone strike on July 31, the last few months have mostly underscored the Taliban’s global isolation and the anguish of the Afghan people. A year on from the Taliban’s takeover of Kabul in August 2021, no foreign government has officially recognized the regime.

    August 9, 2022

    Refugees First: A New Approach to Middle East Peace
    Photo by Khaled Omar/Xinhua via Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • Refugees First: A New Approach to Middle East Peace

    According to UNRWA, there are approximately 6.3 million registered Palestinian refugees across the Arab world. The majority of these are the descendants of the 750,000 Palestinians who were displaced between 1947 and 1949 over the course of Israel’s creation, an event known among Palestinians as the Nakba or “catastrophe.” This paper aims to evaluate past proposals on the refugee question and promote a new refugee-first framework that could produce tangible solutions for Palestinian refugees and for the conflict at large.

    August 2, 2022

    Strike on al-Qaeda leader Zawahiri is a major win for US counterterrorism
    Photo by Visual News/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Strike on al-Qaeda leader Zawahiri is a major win for US counterterrorism

    The death of al-Qaeda leader Ayman al-Zawahiri in a U.S. drone strike outside Kabul over the weekend is a major counterterrorism achievement — and a much-needed triumph for the Biden administration, for whom anything to do with Afghanistan has become an issue of acute discomfort. Since late 2019, Zawahiri has been thought to have been based in eastern Afghanistan, and a number of U.S. officials have suggested that in public. That by itself would seem to indicate a certain level of awareness of his probable whereabouts, but his death in the capital Kabul is astounding.

    Israel’s new Iran strategy complicates regional security
    Photo by MANDEL NGAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Israel’s new Iran strategy complicates regional security

    The decades-long confrontation between Israel and Iran is now arguably becoming more dangerous. Amid a lack of consensus among Israeli leaders on how to address this perceived existential threat, calls for applying greater pressure are gaining momentum. The two countries have been engaged in a shadow war for years that includes assassinations, sabotage, kidnappings, and cyber operations, but a new phase of tensions may only bring them closer to a full-scale conflict.  

    July 27, 2022

    The India-Middle East Food Corridor: How the UAE, Israel, and India are forging a new inter-regional supply chain
    Photo by MANDEL NGAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The India-Middle East Food Corridor: How the UAE, Israel, and India are forging a new inter-regional supply chain

    The India-Middle East Food Corridor developed organically among the three Asian countries themselves, through private sector, joint venture investments carefully cultivated via bilateral public-private partnerships. The United States’ participation in the corridor could prove beneficial as the U.S. seeks to bolster its presence in the strategic architecture of the Indo-Pacific.

    Monday Briefing: Biden’s realist roadshow
  • Commentary
  • Monday Briefing: Biden’s realist roadshow

    Read MEI’s weekly briefing featuring expert analysis of key regional developments for the week ahead.

    July 18, 2022

    Egypt as an Eastern Mediterranean power in the age of energy transition
    Photo by KHALED DESOUKI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Egypt as an Eastern Mediterranean power in the age of energy transition

    The emergence of Egypt as an Eastern Mediterranean energy hub resulted from a culmination of years of deliberate efforts. Increasingly, Egypt will be able to re-export Israeli natural gas or convert it into blue hydrogen, generate green electricity for export, or utilize its growing wind and solar power capacity to produce green hydrogen.

    Hossein Taeb’s removal was not only about Israel
    Photo by HAMED MALEKPOUR/TASNIM NEWS/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Hossein Taeb’s removal was not only about Israel

    The departure of Hossein Taeb from his post as the head of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps’ Intelligence Organization triggered a wave of reshuffling in the command structure of the guardsmen. But the story is more than just a reaction to Iran’s unsuccessful terrorist targeting of Israelis in Turkey and counterintelligence lapses. There are internal power struggles and a natural maturation of the Islamic Republic’s security structure that also likely figured into the decision to remove Taeb.

    June 30, 2022

    Fearing a collapse: Palestinian refugees and UNRWA’s worsening financial crisis
    Photo by SAID KHATIB/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Fearing a collapse: Palestinian refugees and UNRWA’s worsening financial crisis

    In early June 2022, the Advisory Commission of the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestinian Refugees in the Near East met in Beirut. Facing a $100 million budget deficit and the indifference of donor countries, UNRWA’s future is uncertain.

    June 30, 2022

    Staying the course … for now: Germany’s MENA policy under the Scholz government
  • Analysis
  • Staying the course … for now: Germany’s MENA policy under the Scholz government

    After 16 years under Angela Merkel, Olaf Scholz’s assumption of Germany’s chancellorship on Dec. 8, 2021 marked a new chapter in the nation’s politics. Within the “traffic light” coalition government formed by the Social Democrats, the Free Democratic Party, and the Greens, Annalena Baerbock heads the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Before taking office, the co-leader of Alliance 90/The Greens was known for both her welcoming attitude toward immigrants and her full-throated condemnation of human rights violations by authoritarian governments. The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region has no shortage of the latter: According to the Economist Intelligence Unit’s Democracy Index, 17 out of the 20 countries in the region are “authoritarian” and not one is characterized as a “full democracy.” Beyond human rights, other key MENA policy issues for the new government include Iran, Turkey, ongoing conflicts in the region, and immigration. The challenges are numerous, if well-known, but how will Berlin respond? Is Germany’s policy toward MENA likely to change or remain the same under the new government?

    June 22, 2022