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Research & Commentary Results

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US engagement in the Black Sea and Middle East. What more can be done?
  • التحليل
  • US engagement in the Black Sea and Middle East. What more can be done?

    US support for the Black Sea and the Middle East has been through several phases in recent years, with President Donald Trump’s generals having the biggest impact on policy change. While there has been increased engagement in the region, much more is needed from the US – as well as NATO and the EU – to ensure Black Sea security.

    How Iran and Turkey are coping with COVID-19
    معهد الشرق الأوسط
  • Podcast
  • How Iran and Turkey are coping with COVID-19

    Gonul Tol and Alex Vatanka join host Alistair Taylor to discuss how the coronavirus pandemic is affecting Iran, one of the first countries hit by the outbreak, and Turkey, where it arrived later but has since spread rapidly.

    April 3, 2020

    Whither the MFO? The US presence in Sinai has seen its best days
    Photo by Bettmann/Contributor via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Whither the MFO? The US presence in Sinai has seen its best days

    The Sinai-based Multinational Force & Observers (MFO) will soon celebrate its 41st anniversary. Like most of what the MFO does, recognition will be low key and understated. The MFO has always operated under the radar, but this may soon be changing. 

    April 1, 2020

    The Black Sea and COVID-19
  • التحليل
  • The Black Sea and COVID-19

    As with the rest of the world, COVID-19 is likely to wreak havoc across the Black Sea region in a very short period of time. With the outbreak projected to peak in April or May – and with some predicting the pandemic will last two years and infect 60 to 70 percent of the global population – it is difficult to fathom the potential consequences for this region. 

    March 31, 2020

    What does COVID-19 mean for Egypt’s economy?
    Photo by KHALED DESOUKI/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • What does COVID-19 mean for Egypt’s economy?

    COVID-19 has disrupted both supply and demand around the world. Egypt is not immune to the recessionary trends caused by the sudden halt in supply chains and the sharp decline in demand, domestically and globally, resulting from the rapid spread of the virus.

    March 26, 2020

    The fight for Syria’s skies: Turkey challenges Russia with new drone doctrine
    Photo by Muhammed Enes Yildirim/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The fight for Syria’s skies: Turkey challenges Russia with new drone doctrine

    In retaliation for an airstrike that killed 33 Turkish soldiers at the end of February, Ankara launched “Operation Spring Shield” (OSS) against the Syrian regime and the pro-Iranian militias supporting it. Despite being unable to rely on its fleet of F-16s due to Russia’s control of the Syrian airspace over Idlib, Turkey managed to successfully wipe out a large portion of Assad’s army in the area within just a couple of days by making innovative use of drones.

    March 26, 2020

    Could coronavirus lead to an Arab Spring 2.0?
    Xinhua/via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Could coronavirus lead to an Arab Spring 2.0?

    No part of the world will emerge unscathed from the fallout of the coronavirus pandemic of 2020. Just because China and Italy were the first to be severely hit, does not imply, that when all is said and done, that they will have sustained the brunt of the damage. North Africa is a region dependent on global commodities prices, tourism, and political and monetary support from Europe and the Gulf, where regime brittleness, youth unemployment, and Islamic radicalism all intersect.

    March 25, 2020

    Europe has a vested interest in a safe, secure, and prosperous Black Sea
    Photo by Kayhan Ozer/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Europe has a vested interest in a safe, secure, and prosperous Black Sea

    The European Union’s interest in the Black Sea is based mainly on the fact that two of its members, Romania and Bulgaria, are littoral states. However, the organization is also closely linked with other non-EU Black Sea states, be it economically or politically. Ukraine and Georgia aspire to be EU members while Russia and Turkey both have their own unique and difficult relationships with the EU. 

    March 24, 2020

    How the Democrats can reclaim Syria policy
    American soldiers patrol on the M4 highway in the town of Tal Tamr in the northeastern Syrian Hasakeh province on the border with Turkey on January 24, 2020.
  • التحليل
  • How the Democrats can reclaim Syria policy

    Democrats ought to build a moral firewall around Syria policy, establishing a framework for understanding the Syrian conflict and debating policy options.

    March 18, 2020

    The puzzling outcome of the Moscow Summit
    Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan (L) and Russia's President Vladimir Putin at a press conference following their meeting at the Moscow Kremlin.
  • التحليل
  • The puzzling outcome of the Moscow Summit

    In changing the balance of power on the ground and forcing hostilities to a stalemate, Turkey’s military intervention in Idlib had produced its desired effect. On March 5, Vladimir Putin and Erdogan sat together for six hours and announced to the world a comprehensive cease-fire and the establishment of a secure corridor spanning six kilometers on the north and south sides of the M4 highway.