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Research & Commentary Results

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Is Russia prepared for an open-ended conflict in Syria?
Photo by Alexei NikolskyTASS via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Is Russia prepared for an open-ended conflict in Syria?

    Russia’s key foreign policy dilemma is the tension between its aspirations of retaining its Soviet-era geopolitical clout and its lack of ideological and economic tools to achieve that goal. From a strategic standpoint, Russia’s campaign in Syria seems like an open-ended story that bears some resemblance to the situation in Ukraine. These similarities in Russia’s methods are not accidental. The Kremlin lacks the ability to impose its foreign policy blueprint on the West and can only leverage its power to stir up trouble in unstable regions.

    How Facebook’s Oversight Board Can Do More for Syria
    Photo by Muhammed Abdullah/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • How Facebook’s Oversight Board Can Do More for Syria

    Around the world, there is ongoing debate over the extent to which speech should be regulated for the common good. Facebook has been a key battleground in this debate. Indeed, since nearly its founding day, the company has struggled with the degree to which it bears responsibility for the content that its users post on the platform, including but not limited to, the glorification of violence, incitement to terrorism, and false and misleading political content. In 2020, the company officially launched the Facebook Oversight Board, a trust-based body composed of 40 members and tasked with passing final, binding rulings upon Facebook’s content moderation decisions.

    May 11, 2021

    كيف ساهمت سياسات الإدارة الذاتية في عودة نشاط "داعش"؟
  • التحليل
  • كيف ساهمت سياسات الإدارة الذاتية في عودة نشاط "داعش"؟

    الرغم من مرور أكثر من عامين على تحرير مخيم الباغوز في محافظة ديرالزور، والذي كان آخر معاقل تنظيم “داعش” في سورية، ومحاولات التحالف الدولي وحليفته الإدارة الذاتية ارساء الاستقرار في مناطق شرق الفرات ومنع عودة التنظيم إلى واجهة الأحداث، إلا أن التنظيم لازال يمارس نشاطه وعملياته الأمنية في المنطقة، والتي تشهد تزايداً ملحوظاً مع مرور الزمن خاصة في العامين الأخيرين.

    How have the AANES’s policies contributed to the resurgence of ISIS?
  • التحليل
  • How have the AANES’s policies contributed to the resurgence of ISIS?

    Over two years have passed since the liberation of Baghouz camp in Syria’s Deir ez-Zor Governorate, which was ISIS’s last stronghold in the country. The international coalition and its ally, the Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria (AANES), have been attempting to stabilize areas east of the Euphrates to prevent ISIS from making a comeback. The group, however, is still active and carrying out security operations in the region, a trend that has increased dramatically over time, especially in the last two years.

    “Death by a thousand cuts”: Syrian refugees face dire conditions as Lebanon unravels
    Photo by Marwan Naamani/picture alliance via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • “Death by a thousand cuts”: Syrian refugees face dire conditions as Lebanon unravels

    Syrian refugees in Lebanon are now in a state of legal limbo and have been pushed further to the margins of society and into the arms of smugglers and profiteers as they, along with most Lebanese, desperately try to survive in a country described by one of its own political leaders as a sinking ship.

    May 3, 2021

    Expert Views: The Biden administration and the Middle East: Reflecting on the first 100 days
    الصورة من تصوير تشيب سوموديفيلا/Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Expert Views: The Biden administration and the Middle East: Reflecting on the first 100 days

    At the end of Joe Biden’s first 100 days as president of the United States, where do things stand when it comes to U.S. policy toward the Middle East and North Africa? We asked experts and scholars from across MEI to weigh in with their thoughts on the changes we’ve seen so far, the new challenges that have emerged, and what we know about the administration’s key priorities for the region. 

    Monday Briefing: Iraq’s ongoing cycle of successes and disasters
  • تعليق
  • Monday Briefing: Iraq’s ongoing cycle of successes and disasters

    اقرأ تقرير MEI الأسبوعي الذي يتضمن تحليلات الخبراء للتطورات الإقليمية الرئيسية للأسبوع المقبل.

    April 26, 2021

    Making sense of the Iran-China strategic agreement
    Photo by Pool/Iranian Presidency/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Making sense of the Iran-China strategic agreement

    The 25-year agreement between Iran and China that made headlines this past month is far from new. It was first announced in 2016 during a state visit by President Xi Jinping to Tehran, at a time when sanctions on Iran were being lifted as part of the 2015 nuclear deal. Chinese and Iranian officials have been working out the details of the deal ever since as part of a slow process of consultation and negotiations. The timing of the latest announcement about the agreement is, therefore, less about developments in relations between Beijing and Tehran and more about the fast-deteriorating relations between Beijing and Washington. China is looking to identify areas where it can cultivate leverage, and Iran is a prime opportunity.

    The U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan
    معهد الشرق الأوسط
  • Podcast
  • The U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan

    Marvin Weinbaum and David Sedney join host Alistair Taylor to discuss the recently announced U.S. military withdrawal from Afghanistan and what it means for the country, the U.S., and the region as a whole.

    April 23, 2021

    Failing to learn from past mistakes, Pakistan caves to the TLP
  • التحليل
  • Failing to learn from past mistakes, Pakistan caves to the TLP

    The Tehreek-e-Labbaik Pakistan (TLP) has exposed the Pakistani state’s vulnerability to ultra-conservative Islamist groups that have been mainstreamed for narrow political and strategic purposes by the country’s security establishment and self-serving politicians. Only a week after declaring the TLP a terrorist group and banning it, the Imran Khan-led Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) government gave in to the group’s demands in the face of violent protests by its supporters

    April 22, 2021

    A new general and a fragile peace in Deir ez-Zor
    Maj. Gen. Khader (center) tours regime positions near Shoula alongside Feras Jeham (pointing) commander of the Deir ez-Zor NDF and Republican Guard officers.
  • التحليل
  • A new general and a fragile peace in Deir ez-Zor

    Five months into his job as commander of regime forces in Deir ez-Zor, Maj. Gen. Nizar Khader appears to have skillfully gained control over the diverse tapestry of loyalist forces in the region. Khader’s return to power in the east quickly put an end to the deadly disputes that had plagued the governorate’s security forces for years. He then launched a nearly three-month campaign, coordinated between Syrian, Iranian, and Russian forces, to push ISIS cells back into the province’s hinterlands, securing the crucial highway connecting Deir ez-Zor with Palmyra and Damascus to the west. His success, while impressive, will face its second major test soon as ISIS prepares for a potential Ramadan offensive.

    April 19, 2021