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Research & Commentary Results

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Iran’s President Raisi takes over a ruined country
Photo by Fatemeh Bahrami/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Iran’s President Raisi takes over a ruined country

    On Aug. 25, Iran’s parliament voted on the cabinet of its new president, Ebrahim Raisi, approving 18 out of the 19 ministers put forward. Raisi’s government is full of revolutionaries likely to adopt a hardline approach to domestic and international affairs, leading to heightened geopolitical risk and potentially prolonging the country’s economic crisis.

    September 7, 2021

    Raisi and the Revolutionary Guards
  • تعليق
  • Raisi and the Revolutionary Guards

    Under President Ebrahim Raisi, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) is poised to exert greater control over Iran’s national security agenda and economy. Several of his ministers and advisors were members of the IRGC or have connections to it.

    After Afghanistan: What’s next for Pakistan and the US?
    الصورة من قبل AAMIR QURESHI/AFP عبر Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • After Afghanistan: What’s next for Pakistan and the US?

    The evacuation crisis precipitated by the Taliban’s swift takeover of Afghanistan following the rapid withdrawal of American troops may further widen the divide between Pakistan and the United States. The Aug. 26 terror attack at Kabul airport claimed by Islamic State-Khorasan Province (ISKP), ISIS’s local affiliate, is a clear manifestation of Washington’s epic defeat in the two-decade-long “war on terror” and a sign that President Joe Biden is losing his grip on the Afghan narrative.

    September 2, 2021

    In Afghanistan, the Gulf Arab states stepped up
    Photo by Jimmie Baker/U.S. Army via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • In Afghanistan, the Gulf Arab states stepped up

    We rarely miss an opportunity to criticize our Gulf Arab partners — sometimes rightly so — for not doing enough to safeguard collective interests. But one must acknowledge that on Afghanistan, and especially our just-completed exit from the country, most of our Gulf Arab partners absolutely shined. They deserve a ton of credit for the role they played in our large, challenging, and deadly evacuation — a role which was nothing short of indispensable.

    September 1, 2021

    The CIA Is Better Than the U.S. Military at Creating Foreign Armies
  • تعليق
  • The CIA Is Better Than the U.S. Military at Creating Foreign Armies

    The failure of the Afghan army is a reminder that Pentagon-led security cooperation programs are more expensive and less effective than those led by spies.

    September 1, 2021

    أفغانستان: جهود جبارة وتهديدات جديدة
  • تعليق
  • أفغانستان: جهود جبارة وتهديدات جديدة

    من المهم الاعتراف بالجهود الجبارة التي بذلها ضباطنا في الجيش والخدمة الخارجية والمخابرات لإخراج أكثر من 100 ألف من الأمريكيين ومن الأفغان حاملي تأشيرة الهجرة الخاصة من أفغانستان بالتنسيق مع مئات المتطوعين الذين ساعدوهم في كل من الولايات المتحدة وأفغانستان. والأهم من ذلك هو الاعتراف بالجنود من الرجال والنساء الأمريكيين الذين قدموا أقصى التضحيات لبلدهم من أجل حماية الأمريكيين.

    Afghanistan: The US decides, but will Europe pay the bill?
    Photo by JAVIER SORIANO/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Afghanistan: The US decides, but will Europe pay the bill?

    That the Taliban ended up taking over Afghanistan was not surprising, given the details of the agreement between the U.S. administration and the group’s leadership that have been known for many months. What was surprising for the international community, however, was the speed and manner of their takeover. The Taliban offensive and its consequences came as a particular shock to the institutions of the European Union (EU) and the member states that took part in the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) mission and various aid programs in the country. When it comes to assessing the consequences of the Taliban’s takeover, there is no doubt that, first and foremost, it is the Afghan people that are most badly affected. Among the members of the international community, it is the Americans that have suffered the greatest reputational and financial losses so far, but from here on out the EU may well be the party that will face the greatest consequences.

    August 27, 2021

    Sectarianism and ideology: The cases of Iran and Saudi Arabia
    Photo by Michael Gruber/Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Sectarianism and ideology: The cases of Iran and Saudi Arabia

    Many analysts oversimplify the political conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia as one driven by sectarianism or Shi’a-Sunni tensions that has shaped the two states’ outlook and actions in the Middle East. However, their political differences are actually much more complex and deeper rooted.

    August 27, 2021

    What prompted Iran to strike the Mercer Street?
    الصورة من KARIM SAHIB/AFP عبر Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • What prompted Iran to strike the Mercer Street?

    The July 29 suicide drone attack on the Israeli oil tanker Mercer Street, which left two British and Romanian crewmembers dead in the Arabian Sea, was carried out by Iran and was intended to cause human casualties and physical damage, according to the investigative report from U.S. Central Command(CENTCOM). While Tehran denied any hand in the strike, the G7 directly blamed Iran and U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken promised a “collective response.”

    26 أغسطس 2021

    A Way Out Of Biden’s Afghan Trap
  • تعليق
  • A Way Out Of Biden’s Afghan Trap

    The U.N. Security Council could authorize the U.S. and allies to enforce a safe zone for evacuations.

    26 أغسطس 2021

    Iranian women campaign to stop the rise in “honor killings”
  • التحليل
  • Iranian women campaign to stop the rise in “honor killings”

    Every year 400-500 women are killed brutally in Iran to protect men’s “honor.” The killers are usually close relatives — often the victim’s father, husband, or brother. According to a report published in The Lancet in October 2020, at least 8,000 such killings were reported in Iran between 2010 and 2014. “The number of honor killing victims is greater than reported as in some cases women were driven to suicide or the cause of the death was not reported as murder but as illness,” according to Dr. Rezvan Moghadam, founder of the Iranian organization Stop Honor Killings. Dr. Moghadam has documented more than 1,200 cases of honor killings in the country. According to research, which will soon be published as a book and made available to the public, these kinds of violent killings of women and girls have been increasing for the last 20 years in different cities and villages in Iran.

    26 أغسطس 2021

    حلقة 23: آراء من واشنطن – تبعات الانسحاب من أفغانستان
  • Video
  • حلقة 23: آراء من واشنطن – تبعات الانسحاب من أفغانستان

    ما هي تبعات الانسحاب الأميريكي من أفغانستان على مكافحة الإرهاب وعلى الاستراتيجية الأميريكية وصورتها في الشرق الأوسط؟ يستعرض إبراهيم الأصيل رأياً لبول سالم، رئيس معهد الشرق الأوسط.

    26 أغسطس 2021

    Al Qaeda and lessons from the past 20 years of counterterrorism
    معهد الشرق الأوسط
  • Podcast
  • Al Qaeda and lessons from the past 20 years of counterterrorism

    Peter Bergen and Colin Clarke join guest host Charles Lister to discuss Bergen’s new book, The Rise and Fall of Osama Bin Laden, as well as the Biden administration’s handling of the US withdrawal from Afghanistan and concerns about the country once again becoming a safe haven for Al Qaeda under the Taliban.

    August 25, 2021

    The Taliban and the formation of a new Afghan government
    Photo by MARCUS YAM/LOS ANGELES TIMES
  • التحليل
  • The Taliban and the formation of a new Afghan government

    A week and a half after the fall of Kabul, the world has yet to fully recover from the shock of how quickly the Ghani regime collapsed. As U.S. and international forces continue their evacuations and many Afghans struggle to leave for Western countries, the formation of a new government in Kabul has picked up pace. The Taliban have been consulting all stakeholders to form a government that has broad support from a variety of Afghan populations — one they say will be “inclusive” and “Islamic” — but what that will actually mean or look like in practice is as yet unclear.

    August 24, 2021