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Research & Commentary Results

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Khamenei will maintain tight grip on Iran’s snap presidential election
Photo by Iranian Leader Press Office/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Khamenei will maintain tight grip on Iran’s snap presidential election

    The sudden death of President Ebrahim Raisi obliged Iran to hold snap presidential elections by June 28. In the first phase of this electoral process, all eyes will be on Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, since the relative competitiveness of the upcoming contest depends entirely on who the leader allows to run.

    Building a More Resilient Bahrain: An Integrated Approach to Climate Change, Socioeconomic, and Governance Challenges
    Photo by GIUSEPPE CACACE/AFP via Getty Images.
  • التحليل
  • Building a More Resilient Bahrain: An Integrated Approach to Climate Change, Socioeconomic, and Governance Challenges

    From extreme heat and drought to dust storms and rising sea levels, the Kingdom of Bahrain is facing the growing impact of climate change, with projections indicating conditions will only get worse in the future. Manama’s vulnerability to the effects of climate change directly intersects with its broader societal and governance issues, necessitating comprehensive climate-resilience strategies to address these interconnected challenges.

    May 29, 2024

    Debunking the role of cloud seeding in the April Arabian Gulf floods
    Photo by Christopher Pike/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Debunking the role of cloud seeding in the April Arabian Gulf floods

    Intense flooding across the Arabian Peninsula caused by a storm in mid-April sparked speculation about the role cloud seeding might have played in the precipitation event, giving rise to conspiracy theories on social media and warnings trumpeting the hazards of human intervention into natural processes. Cloud seeding is not the only climate change-adaptive strategy to have been targeted in this way, and the effort being expended to combat such disinformation (though nascent) is growing.

    May 29, 2024

    Rafah operation won’t help Israel escape its political doom loop
  • تعليق
  • Rafah operation won’t help Israel escape its political doom loop

    As the ongoing attempts to revive a ceasefire and hostage deal between Israel and Hamas are showing minimal signs of success, Israel is moving forward with its plan for an operation in Rafah, the most southern city in Gaza that borders Egypt. On May 6, the Israeli military issued an evacuation order for more than 200,000 Gazans in the southern-west part of the Gaza Strip. 

    May 28, 2024

    إعادة الإعمار بعد الكوارث: معالجة مشكلة أمن المياه في درنة بعد عاصفة دانيال
    الصورة من KARIM SAHIB/AFP عبر Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • إعادة الإعمار بعد الكوارث: معالجة مشكلة أمن المياه في درنة بعد عاصفة دانيال

    ضربت العاصفة دانيال ليبيا في 10 سبتمبر 2023. وكان الساحل الشمالي الشرقي للبلاد هو الأكثر تضرراً من العاصفة، وخاصة مدينة درنة. تسببت العاصفة في رياح قوية وأمطار غزيرة أدت إلى فيضانات هائلة في جميع أنحاء المدينة، مما أدى إلى جرف أحياء سكنية بأكملها. كان عدد القتلى جراء الفيضانات مذهلاً، حيث قُدر بالآلاف.

    23 مايو 2024

    Netanyahu Must Choose: Endless War in Gaza or Biden's Remarkable Deal
  • تعليق
  • Netanyahu Must Choose: Endless War in Gaza or Biden's Remarkable Deal

    The Biden administration has presented Netanyahu a plan that could potentially defeat Hamas and cinch Saudi normalization with Israel. But Washington is growing impatient with the prime minister’s inaction which threatens to undermine America’s credibility in the region — and Israel’s very future.

    This week’s visit by Jake Sullivan, U.S. President Joe Biden’s national security advisor, came at a turbulent. uncertain time both inside Israel’s domestic politics and U.S.-Israel Relations.

    Deterrence Reasserted? Debating Iran's Missile Capabilities and Willingness to Use Force
  • Podcast
  • Deterrence Reasserted? Debating Iran's Missile Capabilities and Willingness to Use Force

    On this week’s episode, David DesRoches and Abdolrasool (Farzam) Divsallar, a Non-Resident Scholar with MEI’s Iran Program, speak to MEI Managing Editor Matthew Czekaj on Iran’s April 13 missile and drone attack on Israel and what it reveals about both countries’ attack and deterrence capabilities.

    May 22, 2024

    خطط قطر لتوسيع إنتاج الغاز الطبيعي المسال ومسألة فائض العرض في السوق
    Photo by VCG/VCG via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • خطط قطر لتوسيع إنتاج الغاز الطبيعي المسال ومسألة فائض العرض في السوق

    On Feb. 25, 2024, Qatar announced plans to increase its LNG production capacity by a further 16 million tons per annum (mtpa) in 2029-30, bringing the total to 142 mtpa. This would be the third such large-scale expansion of its LNG production within the next six years, but there’s one wrinkle: These new production volumes are set to come online at a time of significant oversupply in the LNG market. What accounts for Qatar’s decision?

    China, the US, and the battle for Middle Eastern technology
    Photo by Waleed Zein/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • China, the US, and the battle for Middle Eastern technology

    The US is changing its approach to dealing with China’s technology statecraft in the Middle East. The recent Microsoft-G42 deal offers a new model for technology competition that helps to secure American technologies while accommodating its partners’ aspirations.

    Monday Briefing – Death of a president: Short-term stability in Iran could give way to a politically unpredictable intra-hardline feud
  • تعليق
  • Monday Briefing – Death of a president: Short-term stability in Iran could give way to a politically unpredictable intra-hardline feud

    اقرأ تقرير MEI الأسبوعي الذي يتضمن تحليلات الخبراء للتطورات الإقليمية الرئيسية للأسبوع المقبل.

    As the Knesset reconvenes, Israel’s newly elected municipal leaders can help foster change in national politics
    Photo by Amir Levy/Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • As the Knesset reconvenes, Israel’s newly elected municipal leaders can help foster change in national politics

    Following a year of protests and as the war with Hamas and Hezbollah enters its eighth month, the domestic scene in Israel looks poised for a political transition. Pro-democracy mayors and city councils across the country have grown increasingly influential when it comes to safeguarding and advancing liberal values. They are now better positioned and more motivated to make an impact on Israeli national politics, particularly as early elections look ever more likely.

    16 مايو 2024

    Riyadh and Tehran use OIC to mend ties, but its sway is limited
    Photo by AMER HILABI/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Riyadh and Tehran use OIC to mend ties, but its sway is limited

    A year after the restoration of diplomatic relations between Saudi Arabia and Iran, the two countries are working to ease regional tensions in the Middle East in exchange for promises of improved bilateral cooperation. But strains persist in the relationship between Riyadh and Tehran, and the two capitals are using the Saudi-based Organization of Islamic Cooperation, which includes members from 57 Muslim countries, to try to bridge their differences.

    16 مايو 2024

    ليبيا وتونس والنيجر كحالات دراسية لسياسات مكافحة الهجرة ذات النتائج العكسية: استمرار الانتهاكات والإجرام
    الصورة من تصوير أليساندرو سيرانو/AFP عبر Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • ليبيا وتونس والنيجر كحالات دراسية لسياسات مكافحة الهجرة ذات النتائج العكسية: استمرار الانتهاكات والإجرام

    كان للسياسات المناهضة للهجرة في ليبيا وتونس والنيجر عواقب وخيمة، كما يتضح من وفاة أكثر من 25,000 مهاجر في البحر الأبيض المتوسط منذ عام 2014، وهو رقم لا يعكس حجم المأساة بالكامل. وسيتطلب معالجة هذه الإخفاقات تغييرات جوهرية في السياسات وتطوراً في النهج المتبع في التعامل مع قضية الهجرة.

    16 مايو 2024

    “Gwadar is the future”: China and Pakistan’s troubled strategic port on the Arabian Sea
    الصورة من قبل AAMIR QURESHI/AFP عبر Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • “Gwadar is the future”: China and Pakistan’s troubled strategic port on the Arabian Sea

    Strategically located at the mouth of the Strait of Hormuz on the Arabian Sea, Gwadar, once a derelict port, was revitalized as part of the broader development of China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) and declared fully operational in 2021. Can a renewed focus on the Gwadar port and the socio-economic and security situation of the surrounding region help Islamabad and Beijing rescue CPEC from failure?