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Saudi Arabia struggles to confront mounting challenges
Photo by FAYEZ NURELDINE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Saudi Arabia struggles to confront mounting challenges

    A perceived lessening of the U.S. security umbrella would leave the Saudis far more vulnerable regionally and could force additional policy adjustments.

    May 11, 2020

    Washington needs to find a new way of dealing with Lebanon
    Photo by PATRICK BAZ/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Washington needs to find a new way of dealing with Lebanon

    For too long, Washington has been an accomplice of the rampant corruption in Lebanon, choosing to look the other way as it deals with officials known to be implicated in various corrupt schemes.

    May 7, 2020

    Russia signals growing dissatisfaction with Syria’s Assad regime
    Photo by ALEXEY NIKOLSKY/SPUTNIK/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Russia signals growing dissatisfaction with Syria’s Assad regime

    In recent weeks, a flurry of commentary from prominent voices and publications in Russia has seen a wave of criticism directed at Syria’s Assad regime. Accusations have been leveled against the regime of corruption, warlordism, and incompetence, as well as an obsession with achieving unrealistic military objectives at the expense of dwindling resources, reconstruction, and political and economic reforms.

    The Rami Makhlouf saga poses a dangerous challenge for Assad
    Photo from screenshot.
  • Analysis
  • The Rami Makhlouf saga poses a dangerous challenge for Assad

    In a series of videos posted on Facebook this week, Rami Makhlouf called out the upper echelons of Syria’s political establishment, of which he had been an integral part for over two decades. By making his feud public Makhlouf has created an unprecedented rift within loyalist ranks, transforming his dispute with Syria’s ruling elite from one that was tightly controlled and behind closed doors to an out in the open, nationwide row the likes of which haven’t been seen since Hafez al-Assad’s standoff with his brother Rifaat in 1984.

    Lebanon’s war of plans
    Photo by IBRAHIM CHALHOUB/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Lebanon’s war of plans

    It is not yet clear who will emerge as the winners and the losers from this latest crisis in a country that has experienced so many.

    May 4, 2020

    Is Idlib set for internal strife?
    Photo by OMAR HAJ KADOUR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Is Idlib set for internal strife?

    With its territory under increasing pressure, its finances dwindling, and manpower more challenged than ever, HTS’s ability to balance its extremism with controlled uses of pragmatism is under strain. Internally, its leadership is bitterly divided over decisions of the past, present, and future and externally, its rivals and enemies all appear to be conspiring against it. In an attempt to protect internal cohesion, HTS has become determinedly self-assertive in recent weeks, pursuing unpopular policies such as trading with the regime and lashing out at those brave enough to express their dissatisfaction. In response to HTS aggressions, a wider array of opposition voices — both moderate and Islamist — are declaring loudly that HTS now represents a threat to their revolution.

    Waiting for the bad to get worse: Lebanon in the time of corona
    Photo by PATRICK BAZ/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Waiting for the bad to get worse: Lebanon in the time of corona

    In a country already beset by economic and financial crises, COVID-19-related lockdown measures, without accompanying government assistance, are increasingly pushing impoverished residents to the brink. Lockdown measures will gradually start to lift this week. But the lockdown only accelerated the inevitable economic freefall and lifting the measures will not solve the country’s economic woes. “There is a predicament coming that is much bigger than corona … the economy is the bigger crisis,” a political activist in Dahiyeh says.

    April 30, 2020

    Russia Needs an OPEC+ 2.0 Accord to Avoid a Crisis
  • Analysis
  • Russia Needs an OPEC+ 2.0 Accord to Avoid a Crisis

    President Vladimir Putin’s plans to change Russia’s Constitution and stay in power beyond 2024 have been hampered by COVID-19 and the oil price crash.

    April 21, 2020