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Research & Commentary Results

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The Iranian government’s risky stock market bet
الصورة من ATTA KENARE/AFP عبر Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The Iranian government’s risky stock market bet

    Following the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) took a different path than the rest of the financial world. As markets around the globe plunged, the TSE soared to new heights. There has been a recent reversal, however, with the index falling sharply from its peak in early August and losing around 20 percent of its value over the course of a month. The story of the TSE is about the extreme measures a desperate government is willing to take to make ends meet. 

    The many faces of Fairuz in Iran
    ​​​​​​​Photo by ANWAR AMRO/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The many faces of Fairuz in Iran

    Love for Fairuz has proven that Iranians, despite their intense political differences, can have a common interest. After the deadly explosion in Beirut — which killed more than 190 people and displaced about 300,000 — the first thing Iranians thought of to express their sympathy was Fairuz’s famous song “Li Beirut,” which became a trending hashtag on Persian Twitter.

    September 8, 2020

    Election 2020: Challenges and Opportunities for US Policy in the Middle East
  • التحليل
  • Election 2020: Challenges and Opportunities for US Policy in the Middle East

    In a new briefing book released ahead of the U.S. elections in November, entitled Election 2020: Challenges and Opportunities for US Policy in the Middle East, MEI scholars lay out key issues across the region, highlight the U.S. interests at stake, and provide policy insights and recommendations for the path forward. 

    Taiwan should implement the “Economic Miracle” model in Somaliland to win Africa’s goodwill
    Photo by MUSTAFA SAEED/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Taiwan should implement the “Economic Miracle” model in Somaliland to win Africa’s goodwill

    Countries in the Horn of Africa can draw lessons from the Taiwanese because they are themselves attempting to make the same political transition Taiwan did, but have not yet achieved the needed reforms such as ensuring good governance, eradicating corruption, and developing economic self-reliance to reduce dependency on aid. Taiwan may not have the financial resources to win against the PRC’s checkbook-driven One-China policy in Africa, but it could overcome that disadvantage by convincing African nations that it can help them replicate the sustainable growth model of the “Taiwan Economic Miracle.” Taiwan’s recent diplomatic overtures in Somaliland seem like a step in that direction and could be a game-changer, not only for the Horn of Africa but for the continent as a whole.

    September 2, 2020

    Iran’s “#MeToo” moment
    Photo by ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Iran’s “#MeToo” moment

    The ripple effects of the 2017 “#MeToo” movement shook Iranian social media this week as rape allegations were levelled against some of the country’s most prominent figures. The movement, which has led to the arrest of at least one alleged rapist so far, has triggered a broader conversation around sexual violence and harassment — an unspoken topic in Islamic Iran.

    August 28, 2020

    Conflict in the South Caucasus
    معهد الشرق الأوسط
  • Podcast
  • Conflict in the South Caucasus

    Tom de Waal, Nicole Grajewski, and Theodore Karasik join host Alistair Taylor to discuss the recent border hostilities between Azerbaijan and Armenia and the role that Russia, Turkey, and Iran are playing in the geostrategically important South Caucasus.

    August 21, 2020

    Egypt and the Libyan conflict
    معهد الشرق الأوسط
  • Podcast
  • Egypt and the Libyan conflict

    Jonathan Winer and Mirette Mabrouk join host Alistair Taylor to discuss the latest developments in Libya and the regional dynamics in play, including the role of Egypt.

    August 20, 2020

    Reimagining the Middle East
    Regional map
  • التحليل
  • Reimagining the Middle East

    As the people of Iran and the region rise up against the regime in Tehran, it is time to prepare for what comes next and imagine what could lead to the region’s next renaissance: a Middle Eastern cooperative organization.

    August 19, 2020

    The Impact of Middle East Regional Competition on Security and Stability in the Horn of Africa
    Photo by Volkan Furuncu/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The Impact of Middle East Regional Competition on Security and Stability in the Horn of Africa

    The relationship between the Middle East and the Horn of Africa is centuries-old and complex. While the world’s attention is focused mainly on the “great power competition” in the region, primarily between the U.S. and China, the Horn of Africa has also become a central battleground for influence among competing regional players, principally Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Turkey, Qatar, Iran, and Egypt. As they pursue their interests in the region, from Ethiopia and Sudan to Somalia and Djibouti, these competing states are the main drivers of tension and instability in the Horn of Africa.

    August 18, 2020

    As Tehran looks East, can it forge stronger ties with Moscow?
  • التحليل
  • As Tehran looks East, can it forge stronger ties with Moscow?

    Iran’s high leadership has come to a consensus on an eastward shift in its foreign policy, and Russia is a salient part of that. Recent indications suggest that, at least for now, the Russians do not want to enlarge their footprint in Iran. Yet Iran wants a more proactive Russia.

    August 18, 2020

    Russia, Iran, and economic integration on the Caspian
    Photo by Iranian Presidency / Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Russia, Iran, and economic integration on the Caspian

    In recent weeks, reports of a potential 25-year, $400-billion deal between Iran and China have dominated the conversation about Tehran’s options for freeing itself from the punishing U.S.-imposed sanctions regime on the country. But China is not alone in seeing an embattled Iran as a major geopolitical and commercial opportunity — Russia too has ambitions of strengthening ties with Iran.

    US policy and the limits of diplomacy with Iran
    معهد الشرق الأوسط
  • Podcast
  • US policy and the limits of diplomacy with Iran

    MEI’s Paul Salem and Ross Harrison join host Alistair Taylor to discuss the complexity and limitations of US diplomacy with Iran, and how the upcoming US presidential election impacts the state of play. Salem and Harrison examine the issue in depth in their recent article for The National Interest, “The Layers and Limits of Diplomacy With Iran.”

    August 13, 2020

    The Dangers Presented by Russian and PRC Weapons Sales to Iran
  • التحليل
  • The Dangers Presented by Russian and PRC Weapons Sales to Iran

    In October, the United Nations embargo on arms sales to Iran is scheduled to expire.  This was a deadline specified in the 2015 Iran nuclear deal concluded by the Obama Administration.  The Trump administration stridently opposes the lifting of this restriction and is lobbying within the UN Security Council to have the embargo extended indefinitely. 

    August 4, 2020

    The GERD Dispute and the Horn of Africa
    معهد الشرق الأوسط
  • Podcast
  • The GERD Dispute and the Horn of Africa

    MEI’s Mirette Mabrouk and Guled Ahmed join host Alistair Taylor to discuss the ongoing dispute between Egypt, Sudan, and Ethiopia over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD), recent developments in Somaliland, and changing dynamics in the Horn of Africa.

    July 30, 2020