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Georgia through a Middle East lens
This aerial photograph taken on September 22, 2018, shows The River Kura (Mtkvari) in the Georgian capital Tbilisi.
  • Analysis
  • Georgia through a Middle East lens

    Given their territorial proximity, the regional actors of the Middle East have always had an interest in Georgia and the South Caucasus as a window to Europe. The collapse of the Soviet Union brought an end to Georgia’s isolation, and in the years since the country has gradually started reclaiming its historical role as a cultural and economic crossroads between Asia, the Middle East, and Europe.

    December 16, 2019

    Azerbaijani gas is now ready to flow all the way to Europe
    Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan (3rd L) and Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev (2nd L) attend the opening ceremony of the TANAP-Europe connection in Ipsala district of Edirne, Turkey on November 30, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Azerbaijani gas is now ready to flow all the way to Europe

    Turkey has completed the next-to-last piece of the 2,000-mile Southern Gas Corridor, a three-pipeline network that will send gas from Azerbaijan’s huge Shah Deniz field via Georgia and Turkey to Western Europe.

    It was such a big deal that Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev, and Georgian Prime Minister Giorgi Gakharia presided at the ribbon-cutting on Nov. 30. They were celebrating the completion of the pipeline that is the middle link in the Southern Gas Corridor: the Trans-Anatolian Natural Gas Pipeline (TANAP), which traverses Turkey.

    December 11, 2019

    Turkey doubles down on Libya
    President of Turkey, Recep Tayyip Erdogan (R) meets chairman of the Presidential Council of Libya, Fayez Al-Sarraj (L) at Dolmabahce Office in Istanbul, Turkey on November 27, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Turkey doubles down on Libya

    On Nov. 27 the GNA signed an MoU with Turkey seeking to create a shared maritime boundary in the Mediterranean Sea between southwestern Turkey and northeastern Libya. In an overt quid pro quo, this maritime agreement was signed along with a separate MoU to expand security and military cooperation. Thus, it seems clear that Turkey was only able to persuade the GNA to agree to the maritime deal in exchange for increased security support for the GNA-aligned forces fighting the self-styled LNA in Tripoli.

    December 10, 2019

    Upgrading Iran’s Military Doctrine: An Offensive “Forward Defense”
    (Photo by Pool / Press Office of Iranian Supreme Leader/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Upgrading Iran’s Military Doctrine: An Offensive “Forward Defense”

    Since the 2011 “Arab Spring” uprisings, there have been several indications that Iran is shifting to an offensive military doctrine through the adoption of hybrid warfare. This essay will demonstrate that Iran’s “forward defense” doctrine emphasis on the offensive is influenced not simply by the “window of opportunity” created by regional upheaval but by a dispute about the domestic politics of the Islamic Republic between the radical Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) and the reform camp within the regime currently represented by President Hassan Rouhani. This development represents a marked setback for the “civilianization” of the Iranian state.

    December 10, 2019

    Blockchain adoption in the Gulf states
  • Analysis
  • Blockchain adoption in the Gulf states

    The subject of extensive international interest and attention over the past few years, blockchain technology is regarded as a key component of the fourth industrial revolution. This article seeks to shed light on the use of blockchain technology in the Gulf states by analyzing current trends of blockchain adoption in the region compared to those internationally. In so doing, it will determine Gulf institutions’ capacity for keeping pace with the changes and developments blockchain adoption has introduced.

    December 10, 2019

    Lebanon and Iraq continue in painful standoff
    Iraqi demonstrators wave national flags as they take part in an anti-government demonstration in the capital Baghdad's Tahrir Square, on December 6, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • Lebanon and Iraq continue in painful standoff

    Two months into the popular uprisings in Iraq and Lebanon, both countries are mired in a painful standoff.

    December 9, 2019

    An Israel-US defense treaty will ruin relations with Arab states
    Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (R) shakes the hand of US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo following their meeting in Jerusalem on October 18, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • An Israel-US defense treaty will ruin relations with Arab states

    Attempts by the indicted Israeli leader to railroad through a joint U.S.-Israel defense treaty in opposition to the Palestinians and other Arabs will be disastrous for America’s national interest.

    December 9, 2019

    Pakistan’s Gen. Bajwa gets an extension amid political drama
    Pakistan Army Chief General Qamar Javed Bajwa arrives to attend the Pakistan Day parade in Islamabad on March 23, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Pakistan’s Gen. Bajwa gets an extension amid political drama

    Understanding a state and its society involves understanding how the state treats its military, its record of governance, and the relationship between the military and civilian politicians. By all accounts, Pakistan, a state founded in 1947 as a homeland for the Muslim population of British India, is a unique case where the military dominates all other institutions in both state and society. This was on clear display in the recent court battle over the extension of Army Chief of Staff Gen. Qamar Javed Bajwa’s tenure.

    December 6, 2019

    Could a gas cartel become as powerful as OPEC?
  • Analysis
  • Could a gas cartel become as powerful as OPEC?

    The 12-country Gas Exporting Countries Forum (GECF), which held its latest meeting in Equatorial Guinea on Nov. 28, has never had OPEC’s ability to control energy prices, but that is likely to change as liquefied natural gas (LNG) transforms the gas market from a regional to a global one.  

    December 6, 2019

    Rouhani vs. the pump: Ignoring better policy alternatives, again?
    Iranians fill their vehicles at a petrol station in Tehran, on November 15, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Rouhani vs. the pump: Ignoring better policy alternatives, again?

    Faced with rapidly deteriorating public finances, Iranian policymakers had no choice but to reduce gasoline subsidies through a combination of rationing and price hikes. However, the way in which they did so was problematic, especially when they had other, better policy options that would have ensured a more equitable, effective, and efficient outcome.

    December 5, 2019