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Research & Commentary Results

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Toward a NATO Black Sea strategy
Photo by KENZO TRIBOUILLARD/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Toward a NATO Black Sea strategy

    In its 2022 Strategic Concept, NATO declared the Black Sea Region (BSR) of strategic importance for the Alliance, yet this recognition has never translated into NATO developing a proper strategy toward its critical southeastern flank. That glaring gap must be addressed right away.

    فرصة الناتو الضيقة لوضع استراتيجية جنوبية فعالة
    Photo by Jaber Abdulkhaleg/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • فرصة الناتو الضيقة لوضع استراتيجية جنوبية فعالة

    While the Washington Summit is unlikely to deliver any ground-breaking outcome, it certainly offers the opportunity to articulate the nexus between security in Europe and the Mediterranean-African region. NATO also has the opportunity to renew and streamline its partnerships with Middle Eastern and North African countries while strengthening its outreach to Africa.

    ليبيا تظل مفتاح الناتو لمواجهة الأنشطة الروسية الخبيثة في أفريقيا
    الصورة من تصوير نيكيتا شفيتسوف/وكالة الأناضول/غيتي إيمدجز
  • التحليل
  • ليبيا تظل مفتاح الناتو لمواجهة الأنشطة الروسية الخبيثة في أفريقيا

    قبل ثماني سنوات، لم يكن أحد يتوقع أن روسيا ستتوسع في أفريقيا بهذه السرعة والشمولية. واليوم، هناك إدراك واسع النطاق للتهديد الذي يشكله التوسع الروسي المزعزع للاستقرار في أفريقيا على حلف الناتو وأعضائه والمنطقة الأفريقية.

    Why they left: The causes and implications of the Russian peacekeepers’ withdrawal from Karabakh
    Photo by Aziz Karimov/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Why they left: The causes and implications of the Russian peacekeepers’ withdrawal from Karabakh

    On April 17, Russian and Azerbaijani officials confirmed that the Russian peacekeeping forces deployed in Karabakh since November 2020 had begun pulling out from the region. The reasons behind the decision remain a matter of intense debate; but it is possible to draw several important conclusions from its timing and consequences.

    May 30, 2024

    خطط قطر لتوسيع إنتاج الغاز الطبيعي المسال ومسألة فائض العرض في السوق
    Photo by VCG/VCG via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • خطط قطر لتوسيع إنتاج الغاز الطبيعي المسال ومسألة فائض العرض في السوق

    On Feb. 25, 2024, Qatar announced plans to increase its LNG production capacity by a further 16 million tons per annum (mtpa) in 2029-30, bringing the total to 142 mtpa. This would be the third such large-scale expansion of its LNG production within the next six years, but there’s one wrinkle: These new production volumes are set to come online at a time of significant oversupply in the LNG market. What accounts for Qatar’s decision?

    As Armenia gradually reorients toward the West, Azerbaijan faces its own geopolitical choice
    Photo by Nicola Landemard/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • As Armenia gradually reorients toward the West, Azerbaijan faces its own geopolitical choice

    In early April, a highly publicized trilateral meeting involving the United States, the European Union, and Armenia was widely believed to mark a turning point in Yerevan’s relationship with the West. If it comes to pass, it will present Baku with its own critical decision: whether to abandon multi-vectorism and more fully align with Russia or the West.

    May 6, 2024

    Navigating the crossroads: Actionable cooperative measures to address global development challenges
    Photo by KHALED DESOUKI/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Navigating the crossroads: Actionable cooperative measures to address global development challenges

    As the world faces unprecedented challenges, from climate crises to migration pressures, the need for concerted action to address financing for development has never been more urgent. Against a backdrop of resource constraints, geopolitical shifts, and faltering progress on the UN Sustainable Development Goals, it is imperative to chart a course of action that is both pragmatic and visionary. This piece outlines 10 actionable measures to tackle these multifaceted challenges and pave the way for a more sustainable and equitable future.

    May 2, 2024

    Despite new sanctions measures, targeting Iranian oil sales is a lose-lose proposition for the US
    Photo by Ali Mohammadi/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Despite new sanctions measures, targeting Iranian oil sales is a lose-lose proposition for the US

    On April 21, the US House of Representatives passed the long-awaited aid package for Israel, Ukraine, and Taiwan. The legislation contained another long-sought-after measure: authority for the US government to tighten restrictions on Iran’s oil exports. But in truth, aggressive US action remains unlikely and there are powerful operational, strategic, and political barriers preventing the US from shutting down Iran’s oil trade or hindering it in a material way.

    April 24, 2024

    Circus of Parties: The COP is broken but it is the only show in town
    Photo credit KARIM JAAFAR/AFP via Getty Images
  • تعليق
  • Circus of Parties: The COP is broken but it is the only show in town

    COP28 was billed as our last best chance to get the world’s act together and save our chances of limiting warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius. However, the final outcome fell far short of the commitments so desperately needed to keep the target alive. The future of COP lies in refocusing on its fundamental objective: ensuring that countries are held accountable to science-based targets that prioritize the needs of vulnerable communities most affected by climate change.

    The great financing gap: The state of climate funding in MENA
    الصورة من فاضل سينا/وكالة فرانس برس عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • التحليل
  • The great financing gap: The state of climate funding in MENA

    The Middle East and North Africa region is one of the lowest recipients of climate finance compared to other areas of the globe, such as East Asia and the Pacific Islands, despite MENA’s exposure to extreme climate risks. The MENA region’s share of climate financing from the big three global climate funds — the Green Climate Fund (GCF), the Climate Investment Funds (CIF), and the Global Environment Facility (GEF) — and their sub-funds made up only 6.6% of their cumulative global financing through 2023.

    March 22, 2024

    Sweeping the minefield: The case for a NATO Black Sea Fleet
    Photo by YASIN AKGUL / AFP) (Photo by YASIN AKGUL/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Sweeping the minefield: The case for a NATO Black Sea Fleet

    Since the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the threat of sea mines to maritime traffic in the region has become exponentially more acute. The Turkish-Romanian-Bulgarian trilateral minesweeping mission is a welcome sign of regional willingness to cooperate in this space and could, with the right incentives and sufficient political will, open the door to the establishment of a NATO Black Sea Fleet.

    March 19, 2024

    Africa-to-Europe value chains: How nearshoring can mitigate Europe’s migration crisis and aid energy transition
  • تعليق
  • Africa-to-Europe value chains: How nearshoring can mitigate Europe’s migration crisis and aid energy transition

    Africa-to-Europe value chains in manufacturing and agri-food production can mitigate factors driving current migration patterns by employing Africans in local value-added production and boosting African GDP growth, reorienting Africa-Europe relations towards mutual economic benefit and dignity.

    The implications of Red Sea instability on the global LNG market
    Photo by Dana Smillie/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The implications of Red Sea instability on the global LNG market

    Well over 30 attacks against commercial shipping in the Red Sea have been reported since mid-November 2023, although none have targeted crude oil or liquefied natural gas (LNG) carriers to date. But that is not to say that global energy flows through this critical maritime chokepoint are invulnerable; any harm that came to hydrocarbon carriers traveling into or out of the Red Sea via the Bab el-Mandeb would have far-reaching consequences for international markets.

    February 7, 2024

    Azerbaijan and COP29: An opportunity or a challenge?
    Photo by Gary Hershorn/Corbis via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Azerbaijan and COP29: An opportunity or a challenge?

    Azerbaijan will host COP29 at the end of this year. Being selected to host the most important international climate event is a major achievement for the South Caucasus country, though the spotlight it brings will come with its own challenges due to Azerbaijan’s poor human rights record and worsening relations with the West.

    February 7, 2024