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Research & Commentary

Read in-depth research, analysis, and commentary from MEI’s fellows and experts on the Middle East. 

The Other MoU: Launching a Europe-Gulf Resilience Initiative After the US-Iran Deal
  • Analysis
  • The Other MoU: Launching a Europe-Gulf Resilience Initiative After the US-Iran Deal

    The Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) between the United States and Iran may have ended one of the most consequential Middle Eastern crises in decades, but it has not resolved the strategic problem it exposed. Whether the 60-day talks it set in motion will produce a final agreement remains far from certain.Yet the central lessons are already clear: Iran has preserved significant leverage, Washington has had to scale back its ambitions, and Europe and the Gulf face the prospect of protracted regional tension. Europe and the Gulf should therefore use the aftermath of the US-Iran deal to articulate their own “other MoU”: a Europe-Gulf Resilience initiative.

    Lebanon Back on Track
  • Commentary
  • Lebanon Back on Track

    Much work lies ahead, but the June 26 agreement is a rare act of constructive statesmanship in the Middle East.

    A Post-War Model for Verifying Iran’s Missile Arsenal
  • Report
  • A Post-War Model for Verifying Iran’s Missile Arsenal

    This study proposes a model for constraining and verifying Iran’s ballistic missile arsenal by employing a layered Strategic Verification Model with seven components: comprehensive baseline declarations; missile test and launch monitoring; intrusive inspections; quantitative and qualitative limits on missile capabilities; production controls, especially on solid-fuel manufacturing; a robust enforcement and compliance architecture; and regional confidence building measures.

    Additional Research & Commentary

    Backgrounders

    The Houthis
  • Backgrounder
  • The Houthis

    The Houthis are a political-military faction and Zaydi religious movement founded in northwestern Yemen in the 1980s. A key member of Iran’s Axis of Resistance with links to other militant organizations in the Arabian Peninsula and the Horn of Africa, the group has continued to pose a threat to Western interests on a global scale.

    May 15, 2026

    The Abraham Accords
    Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images
  • Backgrounder
  • The Abraham Accords

    This backgrounder provides an overview of how the Abraham Accords came about, the US interests involved, their economic and strategic consequences, and the prospects for further enlargement going forward.

    November 17, 2025

    Turkish Foreign Policy
  • Backgrounder
  • Turkish Foreign Policy

    After a decade of post-Arab Spring isolation, Turkey’s leaders have recognized that their ambition to position the country as an agenda-setter on the world stage requires active engagement in all directions. President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s consolidation of executive authority has centralized foreign policy decision-making and tied it to his domestic political priorities, transforming the country’s revisionist approach to one shaped primarily by personal and pragmatic interests.

    April 23, 2026

    Western Sahara: Why the conflict still matters
  • Video
  • Western Sahara: Why the conflict still matters

    As the Western Sahara conflict reaches its fifth decade, the territorial dispute remains unresolved and largely unknown. MEI’s Intissar Fakir unpacks the Western Sahara’s complex history and the rival claims by Morocco and the Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic. She examines recent developments, such as President Trump’s recognition of Moroccan sovereignty over the territory and the collapse of a 30-year cease-fire, as well as the core questions that remain unanswered after half a century.

    August 7, 2025

    Podcasts

    Middle East Focus

    MEI’s flagship weekly podcast on US foreign policy and contemporary political and social issues in the Middle East.

    Taking the Edge Off the Middle East

    MEI Senior Fellow Brian Katulis engages friends, colleagues, and policy experts in casual conversations on the most important happenings in the Middle East. 

    Rethinking Democracy

    MEI Senior Fellow Gonul Tol hosts leading scholars and thought leaders on global democracy trends and the state of the liberal international order. 

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    Iranian Parliament Seeks to Increase Budget for Missile Program, I.R.G.C. Quds Force
  • Analysis
  • Iranian Parliament Seeks to Increase Budget for Missile Program, I.R.G.C. Quds Force

    The Iranian parliament is finalizing a bill to increase the annual budget for the Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (I.R.G.C.), the Iranian media reported. The estimated surplus budget of more than half a billion dollars is specifically designed to help the I.R.G.C. to further enhance the country’s missile program and military activities in the region. The move came as a response to the latest U.S. Senate legislation that would impose new sanctions against Iran’s missile program.

    June 30, 2017

    Adam Henein: Egypt’s Sculptor Icon
  • Analysis
  • Adam Henein: Egypt’s Sculptor Icon

    The road to Haraniyya, a formerly rural area just beyond the Giza pyramids, is now an eight-lane highway flanked by red-brick buildings packed and stacked as if designed by some demented cubist. But take the exit, cross a canal and tucked behind a wall of residential towers, the Museum of Adam Henein exists in magical contrast, a verdant stronghold of living art, and one of Cairo’s hidden treasures.

    June 29, 2017

    Al-Qaeda Affiliate and Ahrar al-Sham Compete for Control in Idlib
  • Analysis
  • Al-Qaeda Affiliate and Ahrar al-Sham Compete for Control in Idlib

    Idlib is currently the site of increasing competition between the two most dominant armed coalitions, the al-Qaeda-linked Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (H.T.S.) and Ahrar al-Sham. The province has witnessed limited airstrikes since a de-escalation agreement, which came into effect on May 5, was brokered by Russia, Turkey, and Iran at the Astana talks. Idlib was one of four areas labeled as a de-escalation zone.

    June 29, 2017

    Iran Warns White House against “Playing with Fire” in Syria
  • Analysis
  • Iran Warns White House against “Playing with Fire” in Syria

    A senior Iranian official called on the Trump administration to avoid taking any further military action against the Syrian government and its allies and threatened that any such move would not go unanswered.

    June 29, 2017

    Iran’s Mixed Track Record of Fighting Drugs Trafficking
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s Mixed Track Record of Fighting Drugs Trafficking

    Iran’s anti-narcotics police forces have seized more than 16 tons of illicit drugs in the southern province of Hormozgan, the Iranian media reported. According to Hormozgan’s Police Chief Brigadier General Azizollah Maleki, the security forces confiscated the drugs from 219 vehicles over the past three months.

    June 29, 2017

    Europe Seeks Peaceful End to Gulf Crisis
  • Analysis
  • Europe Seeks Peaceful End to Gulf Crisis

    The ongoing Saudi-led blockade of Qatar came as a surprise to the international community, including the European Union. When Saudi Arabia, the U.A.E., Egypt, and Bahrain cut ties with the Qatari monarchy, the E.U. found itself in a new and complex political reality. Though the intra-Gulf crisis had been simmering for quite a long time, it seems that the Europeans were not prepared for such a scenario. Ultimately, Europe must consider the severity of the current crisis’ potential diplomatic and economic consequences.

    June 28, 2017

    Iran Steps up Efforts to Oust U.S. Military from Middle East
  • Analysis
  • Iran Steps up Efforts to Oust U.S. Military from Middle East

    With the Islamic State collapsing in Iraq and losing ground in Syria, Iran and its regional proxies see the United States as the primary threat to their influence and ambitions and have stepped up efforts to oust the U.S. military from the region. Through diplomatic outreach – and at times veiled threats – Iranian leaders have been urging the Afghan and Iraqi governments to expel American forces from their countries. Tehran has also deepened its ties with the Taliban and has reportedly teamed up with Moscow to undermine U.S.-led stabilization efforts in war-torn Afghanistan.

    June 28, 2017

    The Influence of North African Militaries in Foreign Policy-Making
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • The Influence of North African Militaries in Foreign Policy-Making

    This essay looks at five North African states, arguing that the armed forces — for a variety of often case-specific reasons — are actually not as politically powerful and thus influential in foreign policy-making as one might expect. It first discusses the political strength of the military establishments of five North African states — Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia, Libya, and Egypt — and then investigates the difference, if any, that the recent Arab upheavals have made in their involvement in foreign policy-making.

    June 28, 2017

    The Durand Line: A British Legacy Plaguing Afghan-Pakistani Relations
  • Analysis
  • The Durand Line: A British Legacy Plaguing Afghan-Pakistani Relations

    The Durand Line issue has continued to complicate the unpredictable nature of the Afghan-Pakistani relationship since the birth of Pakistan. Constant tension haunts their neighborly relations, as apprehensions and suspicions co-exist with some affable gestures. No Afghan government, including the present one headed by President Ashraf Ghani, has ever recognized the legitimacy of the Durand Line, which runs through mountainous terrain and remains largely unpoliced.

    June 27, 2017

    Tehran Seeks International Support to Mitigate Impact of U.S. Sanctions
  • Analysis
  • Tehran Seeks International Support to Mitigate Impact of U.S. Sanctions

    Iran’s Parliament Speaker Ali Larijani said the latest U.S. Senate legislation that would impose new sanctions on Iran was a violation of international law and U.N. conventions, the Iranian media reported. He made the remarks in a speech at the meeting of the Eurasia’s parliament speakers in South Korea on Tuesday.

    June 27, 2017

    Iran’s Parliament Finalizing Bill to Counter U.S. Actions in Middle East
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s Parliament Finalizing Bill to Counter U.S. Actions in Middle East

    A top Iranian lawmaker said that the parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Commission has finalized a legislation that would counter the U.S. “adventurous and terrorist” actions in the region, state-run Islamic Republic News Agency reported today. “This bill has set some obligations for the government and the government is obliged to implement them,” Alaeddin Boroujerdi emphasized. He further noted that the bill is a reaction to the latest U.S.

    June 27, 2017

    I.R.G.C. Outlet Accuses U.S. Military of Aiding Islamic State in Iraq and Syria
  • Analysis
  • I.R.G.C. Outlet Accuses U.S. Military of Aiding Islamic State in Iraq and Syria

    The U.S. military is taking measures in the Iraqi province of al-Anbar close to the Syrian border to counter the growing influence of the Popular Mobilization Forces (P.M.F.), reports Fars News Agency, which is affiliated with the Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (I.R.G.C.). According to the Iranian outlet, the U.S. military seeks to push back against the P.M.F.’s territorial gains because Washington and its allies see the Iraqi paramilitary forces as “Iran’s operational arm” in Iraq and Syria. According to Fars, the U.S.

    June 27, 2017

    Monday Briefing: ISIS losing territory, President Erdogan visits Sudan
  • Analysis
  • Monday Briefing: ISIS losing territory, President Erdogan visits Sudan

    In this week’s Monday Briefing, MEI experts Charles Lister, W. Robert Pearson, and Yousef Munayyer provide analysis on ISIS’ continued threat to security despite losing territory, President Erdogan’s upcoming visit to Sudan as a political calculation, and Mohammed Dahlan’s effort to return to Palestinian politics.

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