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Regional International Politics

The Multiple Costs of the US–Iran War – From Hormuz to Europe and South Asia: The Widening Economic and Political Geography of the Conflict
  • Analysis
  • The Multiple Costs of the US–Iran War – From Hormuz to Europe and South Asia: The Widening Economic and Political Geography of the Conflict

    Wars are decided by those who hold military power, but their costs are increasingly borne by those who have little or no voice in the decisions that start them. The US–Iran war shows this imbalance very clearly. Its economic consequences have gone far beyond the battlefield and have disrupted energy markets, trade routes, food supplies, public finances and investment in the Gulf, Europe, Africa and Asia. The most striking feature of the conflict, however, is not only the size of the damage but its very unequal distribution.

    Benjamin Netanyahu Is Damaged Goods in the West
  • Analysis
  • Benjamin Netanyahu Is Damaged Goods in the West

    One striking thing about US President Donald Trump’s endorsement of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu this past week is how isolated he was in making this call. The Israeli Prime Minister has become a widely detested figure worldwide following Israel’s war in Gaza—where Israel committed war crimes. This disdain was clearly on display in New York in September when dozens of diplomats streamed out of the hall during Netanyahu’s speech.

    Iran’s New Defense Minister Is a Missile Man, Not a Military Man
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s New Defense Minister Is a Missile Man, Not a Military Man

    Mehrdad Akhlaghi was appointed defense minister in October 2026 by Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian. He is an unusual choice, as, unlike most of his predecessors, he does not come from a uniformed military background. And his appointment comes arguably at the most sensitive time in the history of the Islamic Republic.

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    MEI @ COP28

    MEI @ COP28

    December 9 – December 10, 2023, December 9 - 11:30 AM – 5:30 PM
    December 10 - 11:30 AM – 5:30 PM

    Expo City, Dubai,

    Managing US-China relations in the Middle East among common and conflicting interests
    Photo by JASON LEE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Managing US-China relations in the Middle East among common and conflicting interests

    The Biden administration has been trying to diplomatically reengage with China, although so far with little response from Beijing. Any broad reengagement would necessarily include reengagement in the Middle East and North Africa. Both sides have a long list of common interests in the Middle East; the areas where their interests diverge relate mainly to suspicions of the other side’s long-term strategy and global ambitions. How can Washington and Beijing build on common interests in the region while addressing their long-term concerns, reducing some of them and accommodating robust competition or even sharp adversarial attitudes in other areas?

    June 8, 2023

    The Western Mediterranean: Energy and Geopolitics
  • Commentary
  • The Western Mediterranean: Energy and Geopolitics

    Over the last two decades, the Mediterranean has become an important region. Many scholars, policymakers and analysts have mostly referred to this region from a nexus of security, geopolitics and traditional energy politics. With the war in Ukraine, the relevance of this whole region has increased along the same line. The Mediterranean today is home to some of the most enduring conflicts in the world. New energy resources are being discovered in disputed areas in an environment of intense geopolitical competition over regional leadership and energy routes within and beyond the region.

    Decarbonization and Political Transformation in Iraq: The Impact on Politics, Society and Regional Relations
  • Commentary
  • Decarbonization and Political Transformation in Iraq: The Impact on Politics, Society and Regional Relations

    What happens when a petrostate loses its oil rents? While the oil market continues to go through boom-and-bust cycles, cases such as Iraq provide evidence of how the rapid loss of oil revenues—traumatic decarbonization—may affect the politics and stability of these petrostates. In Iraq, multiple shocks to oil revenues from 2014 through 2020 fundamentally altered the organization and concentration of political power in Iraq with destabilizing and democratic consequences.

    May 4, 2023

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