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Salam Kawakibi

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Turkey back at the barricades
Photo by KENZO TRIBOUILLARD/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Turkey back at the barricades

    In recent months, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has been on a charm offensive. But that spring in Turkey’s diplomacy may now be reverting to winter as Ankara has blocked Swedish and Finnish accession to NATO even as a key arms deal is pending with Washington and U.S. relations with Greece are at a high.

    “Half of us were left behind while one of our colleagues back home was shot dead”
    Photo courtesy of the author
  • Commentary
  • “Half of us were left behind while one of our colleagues back home was shot dead”

    There are certain events that are so impactful that you remember exactly where you were and what you were doing when you heard about them. The killing of Shireen Abu Akleh, the veteran Al Jazeera journalist, last Wednesday in the occupied West Bank was for me just such an event — both because of who she was and what I was doing at the time. 

    May 19, 2022

    Will France's MENA policy change in Macron's second term?
  • Analysis
  • Will France's MENA policy change in Macron's second term?

    When Emmanuel Macron was elected president five years ago, many analysts wondered how it might affect France’s policy toward the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). At the time, France found itself at a crossroads, having to contend with the shift in U.S. policy toward the region during the presidency of Donald Trump, growing dissension within the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), increasingly deteriorating relations with Iran, tensions with Turkey after the failed 2016 coup, and ongoing bloodshed in Syria, Libya, and Yemen, all while conducting a military campaign against ISIS. Following Macron’s recent reelection to a second term, the key question now is whether he will maintain or change his current policy toward the region.

    May 18, 2022

    Russia is violating the spirit of Montreux by using civilian ships for war
    Photo by Yörük Işık: Russian Ministry of Defense-owned Oboronlogistika’s cargo vessel Pizhma.
  • Analysis
  • Russia is violating the spirit of Montreux by using civilian ships for war

    On Feb. 28, Turkey triggered the Montreux Convention, not used since World War II, and closed the Turkish Straits to military ships. This one move interrupted Russia’s maritime logistical supply line to Syria, interfered with its ability to rotate naval assets in the Mediterranean, and prevented Moscow from bringing additional warships to the Black Sea. Russia can no longer supply its Syria operation or deliver defense exports to its customers using navy ships. However, close observation of traffic through the Turkish Straits reveals that Russia is continuing its naval operations in the Mediterranean and Black seas.

    May 18, 2022

    Could Ukraine Offer a Template for Better US-Gulf Security Relations?
  • Commentary
  • Could Ukraine Offer a Template for Better US-Gulf Security Relations?

    Relations between Washington and some of its traditional Gulf Arab partners, particularly Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, are at their lowest point in history, which is why the Biden administration on Monday sent a high-level delegation to Abu Dhabi: specifically to pay respects upon the death of former UAE President Sheikh Khalifa bin Zayed Al Nahyan and to congratulate his successor, Mohamed bin Zayed, but more generally to try to heal those ties.

    May 17, 2022

    Pakistan's Political Crisis
  • Podcast
  • Pakistan's Political Crisis

    Marvin Weinbaum, Madiha Afzal, and Syed Mohammad Ali discuss the recent political upheaval in Pakistan, which comes against the backdrop of mounting economic problems.

    May 17, 2022

    The Other Saudi Transformation
  • Commentary
  • The Other Saudi Transformation

    This article describes Saudi Arabia’s historic and arduous journey to national-defense transformation, launched around 2015. It analyzes the challenges and opportunities of defense reform in the kingdom while highlighting the role of the United States in this process. Last, the article discusses the future of US-Saudi defense relations.

    May 17, 2022

    The Security Dimension of the Abraham Accords
    Ships from partner nations of Combined Task Force North participate in a photo exercise during International Maritime Exercise/Cutlass Express (IMX/CE) 2022 in the Arabian Gulf.
  • Commentary
  • The Security Dimension of the Abraham Accords

    In September 2021, a year after the Abraham Accords were signed by Israel, Bahrain, and the United Arab Emirates (Morocco and Sudan joined a few weeks later), U.S. Secretary of State Tony Blinken spoke enthusiastically of Arab-Israeli collaborations already under way in various domains including energy, health care, technology, medicine, and tourism.

    May 17, 2022

    Monday Briefing: Lebanese elections bring change
  • Commentary
  • Monday Briefing: Lebanese elections bring change

    Read MEI’s weekly briefing featuring expert analysis of key regional developments for the week ahead.

    May 16, 2022

    From rivalry to partnership: Managing climate risks through regional collaboration
    Photo by Bestami Bodruk/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • From rivalry to partnership: Managing climate risks through regional collaboration

    Countries across the region face similar climate risks and impacts, but tensions and socio-economic challenges have hampered regional collaboration and collective efforts to tackle climate change. One way to address this problem and to circumvent poor policy coordination is through technical research and knowledge-sharing.

    Not “business as usual”: The Chinese military’s visit to Iran
    Photo by Li Xiaowei, Chinese Ministry of Defense
  • Analysis
  • Not “business as usual”: The Chinese military’s visit to Iran

    A senior Chinese military delegation landed in Iran for a visit in late April. The readouts from Tehran were rather dull, but there is more to this visit than meets the eye. While a new “axis” may not necessarily be forming, there are troubling trendlines that Western policymakers need to counter.

    May 16, 2022

    The Dorra Field: Global gas market impact or bellwether for regional relations?
    Photo by Simon Dawson/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Dorra Field: Global gas market impact or bellwether for regional relations?

    The Dorra Gas Field, located in shallow waters offshore in the northern Arabian Gulf, lies at the junction of competing territorial claims by Kuwait, Iran, and Saudi Arabia. With the growing gas demand in these countries, any production will be absorbed into the domestic network and the impact of production on the global gas and LNG market will be insignificant. However, the development of the field, if it occurs, may serve as a bellwether for regional relations.

    May 13, 2022