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Salam Kawakibi

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The Syrian Civil War: A New Stage, but Is It the Final One?
Syrian rebel fighters battle government forces near the village of Arafa in the central Hama province, on November 20, 2017.
  • التحليل
  • The Syrian Civil War: A New Stage, but Is It the Final One?

    Eight years on, the Syrian civil war is finally winding down. The government of Bashar al-Assad has largely won, but the cost has been steep. The economy is shattered, there are more than 5 million Syrian refugees abroad, and the government lacks the resources to rebuild. The country remains divided into three zones, each in the hands of a different group and supported by foreign forces. The Syrian government will not accept partition and is ultimately likely to reassert its control in the other two zones.

    Jordan’s King Abdullah is defiant ahead of the release of Trump’s peace plan
    Jordan's King Abdullah II speaks during the opening ceremony of the 2019 World Economic Forum on the Middle East and North Africa, at the King Hussein Convention Centre at the Dead Sea, in Jordan on April 6, 2019.
  • التحليل
  • Jordan’s King Abdullah is defiant ahead of the release of Trump’s peace plan

    Jordan’s King Abdullah is mobilizing his people ahead of the expected June unveiling of President Donald Trump’s much touted Middle East peace plan. Since returning from a working visit to Washington in March, King Abdullah has been unusually vociferous in his defense of his position on the fate of East Jerusalem and his rejection of any plan that would undermine Jordan’s stability.

    April 24, 2019

    The fall or rise of the IRGC?
    Iranian Clerics chant slogans during an anti-US rally in Tehran on April 14, 2019.
  • التحليل
  • The fall or rise of the IRGC?

    Iranian President Hassan Rouhani has faced many difficulties over the past few years, both at home and abroad. It seems likely that President Trump’s recent designation of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a foreign terrorist organization (FTO) may render Rouhani’s prospects even worse as domestic support for the organization grows.

    April 24, 2019

    Voices of Syria
  • Video
  • Voices of Syria

    The Voices of Syria project is an undertaking by the Middle East Institute, in partnership with Syrian civil society, to better inform the general public and to guide policymakers toward a more holistic view of the situation in Syria by leveraging the voices of the unheard and their hopes and aspirations.

    April 23, 2019

    South Korea’s “Yemeni Refugee Problem”
  • التحليل
  • South Korea’s “Yemeni Refugee Problem”

    South Korea’s experience with the current global refugee crisis began in 2018 with the arrival of around 550 Yemeni citizens on Jeju Island using the visa-free entry system. Before even developing a clear understanding of the asylum applicants, much of the Korean public hastily leaped to fearful conclusions about the new arrivals inspired by Europe’s experience with Islamic terrorism and populist anti-refugee rhetoric found in other countries. The impact of this discourse has brought significant attention and public concern regarding Muslim refugees in Korea. This article examines the Korean debate over accepting Yemeni refugees by detailing how the Korean public and government have responded since 2018. It traces the arrival of Yemeni refugees, how different Korean groups reacted, and concludes with a discussion of what efforts are needed to resolve the dispute.

    April 23, 2019

    Monday Briefing: US and key partners on course for conflict over Iran oil waivers
    Kharg Island Oil Terminal in Iran
  • التحليل
  • Monday Briefing: US and key partners on course for conflict over Iran oil waivers

    In this week’s Monday Briefing, MEI experts Gerald Feierstein, Marvin G. Weinbaum, Randa Slim, Emadeddin Badi, and Robert S. Ford provide analysis on recent and upcoming events including the US decision to end Iran oil waivers, the flagging Afghan peace process, Iraq’s evolving regional policy, the status of General Hifter’s offensive in Libya, and Russia’s maneuvering to control the upcoming Syria talks in Astana.

    “Two Hadramawts” emerge in a fractured Yemen
    A picture taken on August 8, 2018 during a trip in Yemen organised by the UAE's National Media Council (NMC) shows a soldier loyal to the Saudi and UAE-backed government, manning a machine gun mounted on a vehicle passing by a mural depicting the late UAE founder and president Sheikh Zayed bin Sultan al-Nahyan, along a street in the southeastern port city of Mukalla, the capital of Hadramawt province.
  • التحليل
  • “Two Hadramawts” emerge in a fractured Yemen

    Yemen’s strategic and oil-rich eastern governorate of Hadramawt stands at a critical turning point, as feuds between competing political and military groups are coming to a head. While the UAE and Saudi Arabia are likely to reach a political compromise, local political groups and militias may not so agreeable.

    April 22, 2019

    Entrepreneurship and startups in MENA
    معهد الشرق الأوسط
  • Podcast
  • Entrepreneurship and startups in MENA

    Niama El Bassunie, CEO of Ways to Cap, Rob Tashima, VP and head of innovations at Village Capital, and Faisal Hakki, managing partner of AB Ventures, join host Alistair Taylor to discuss the importance of building new businesses in the Middle East and North Africa to drive economic development and job creation.

    April 19, 2019

    US sanctions and the future of Turkish-Iranian energy ties
    Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu (R) and Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif (L) give a press conference in Ankara, Turkey, on April 17, 2019.
  • التحليل
  • US sanctions and the future of Turkish-Iranian energy ties

    Iran’s huge hydrocarbons reserves and Turkey’s growing demand for oil and gas seem to suggest great potential for energy collaboration. US sanctions and pricing disputes, however, limit and complicate the prospects of such a partnership.

    April 17, 2019

    Turkey Faces Asia
    turkish flag - red field with crescent moon and star
  • التحليل
  • Turkey Faces Asia

    Turkey, which lies at the crossroads of Europe and Asia, has emerged in recent years as an important geopolitical actor not just within the surrounding region but in the global arena as well. Turkey’s foreign and economic policy horizons today extend to the Far East. These essays explore the development of cultural, political, and economic links between Turkey and Asia.

    April 16, 2019

    What does Brexit mean for EU and UK Middle East policy?
    British Prime Minister Theresa May speaks to the during the press conference at the end of the first day of the summit of European Union leaders on March 21, 2019 in Brussels, Belgium.
  • التحليل
  • What does Brexit mean for EU and UK Middle East policy?

    While the UK’s drawn-out withdrawal from the EU poses an internal challenge for Europeans, Brexit will likely have an impact that extends well beyond Europe, affecting the bloc’s foreign policy toward other regions of the world as well, including the Middle East. When it comes to Brexit’s influence on European Middle East policy, the main question is not if, but to what extent.

    April 16, 2019

    The Rise of Eurasianism in Turkish Foreign Policy: Can Turkey Change its pro-Western Orientation?
     (Photo by Mikhail Svetlov/Getty Images)
  • التحليل
  • The Rise of Eurasianism in Turkish Foreign Policy: Can Turkey Change its pro-Western Orientation?

    The Eurasianist (Ulusalcı in Turkish) ideology, which originated from the far-left movement in Turkey, espouses an anti-Western approach in foreign policy and ultranationalist sentiment in domestic politics. They contend that Turkey’s interests lie outside the Western world and that Turkey should join the Russia- and China-led “anti-imperialist” camp. This article examines the rise, shortcomings and failures of the Eurasianist approach in Turkish foreign policy.

    April 16, 2019