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Shana Cohen

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An Emboldened Horn of Africa Axis and an Unfolding Humanitarian Crisis Await the Biden Administration
  • التحليل
  • An Emboldened Horn of Africa Axis and an Unfolding Humanitarian Crisis Await the Biden Administration

    As Joe Biden prepares to take office on January 20th of 2021, the U.S. and the world are facing multiple crises. Now is one of the worst times in American history as the country struggles through a major economic recession and a pandemic that has taken more than 300,000 American lives.In the Horn of Africa, his upcoming administration will grapple with longstanding challenges. However, this time, he will have to deal with the emboldened and unchecked leaders of the Horn of Africa — Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed of Ethiopia, President Mohamed Abdullahi (Farmaajo) of Somalia, and President Isaias Afwerki of Eritrea. Recently, the three leaders have formed an axis through the Horn of Africa Cooperation (HoAC) deal to consolidate security, stability, and economic integration.

    December 23, 2020

    China’s Libya Policy and the BRI: Sights Set on the Future
    China-Libya
  • التحليل
  • China’s Libya Policy and the BRI: Sights Set on the Future

    The political turmoil that has plagued the region since the Arab Spring uprisings in 2011, most notably the ongoing conflict in Libya, has made it difficult for China to realize its aim of incorporating the Maghreb into the BRI framework. This article discusses China’s efforts to protect and promote its economic interests in Libya, thereby advancing its prospects for extending the BRI to the region.

    December 22, 2020

    Political support, not terrorist designation, is key to moving forward in Yemen
    الصورة من محمد حوايس/وكالة فرانس برس عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • تعليق
  • Political support, not terrorist designation, is key to moving forward in Yemen

    Now is the time for a political reset in Yemen — and the United States must play an important role. This role must include encouraging all sides toward a more inclusive political process that reduces violence and raises Yemeni and international voices, and moves toward specific and achievable objectives over time. Solutions that purport to be either speedy or simple are, in fact, quite dangerous. To that point, the current administration’s consideration of designating Ansar Allah (the Houthi movement) as a foreign terrorist organization (FTO) will not help advance the United States or the other various participants in this conflict toward a durable strategic settlement.

    The US-Morocco quid pro quo
    الصورة من وكالة فرانس برس عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • التحليل
  • The US-Morocco quid pro quo

    The recent exchange of quid pro quos between the U.S. and Morocco has been handled well by both sides, despite the ritual carping to be expected from opponents of the quid and the quo.

    December 21, 2020

    How can China mediate between Israel and Pakistan?
  • التحليل
  • How can China mediate between Israel and Pakistan?

    Pakistan’s Prime Minister Imran Khan recently revealed that several countries are pressuring Islamabad to follow in the footsteps of the Gulf states by recognizing the state of Israel. Khan, however, expressed opposition to this idea, at least until there is a political settlement that meets Palestinian demands. While full normalization between Israel and Pakistan may still be out of reach, China could mediate between these two countries which have never established a diplomatic relationship.

    December 18, 2020

    The Fakhrizadeh assassination: A major failure for Iranian intelligence
    A funeral ceremony of Iranian Top nuclear scientist, Mohsen Fakhrizadeh Mahabadi, held at Defense Ministry of Iran in Tehran, Iran on November 30, 2020. Fakhrizadeh, who headed research and innovation at the defense ministry, was attacked Friday in Damavand county near Tehran.
  • التحليل
  • The Fakhrizadeh assassination: A major failure for Iranian intelligence

    The assassination of Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, the most important figure in Iran’s nuclear program, in late November 2020 is a major failure for Iran’s intelligence services. Despite all the secrecy and the emphasis on protecting Fakhrizadeh, however, he was still assassinated in the Absard area, about 70 km from Tehran, on Nov. 27. Why was he killed despite such a high level of protection, and what effect will his death have on the Iranian regime’s intelligence and security structures?

    December 18, 2020

    The Black Sea: How America Can Avoid a Great-Power Conflict
  • التحليل
  • The Black Sea: How America Can Avoid a Great-Power Conflict

    Many Americans find the whole swath of territory in eastern Europe, near Russia, very far away and hard to conceptualize. This part of the world involves a number of countries, small and large, that are generally not the most frequently discussed in American news nor frequented by American tourists. To make sense of much of this remote region, it can be helpful to take a perspective that centers on the Black Sea and views that body of water as the key point of reference for much of the region. Doing so not only helps clarify what Russia is up to in its near-abroad, but also shines a spotlight on Chinese activity, and what is required of America in response.

    December 16, 2020

    Year in review: The Middle East in 2020
    معهد الشرق الأوسط
  • Podcast
  • Year in review: The Middle East in 2020

    In our final episode of the year, host Alistair Taylor interviews several MEI scholars on the key events that transpired across the Middle East in 2020 including in Iraq, Iran, and Afghanistan, and they discuss US defense and diplomatic strategy in region as the as the transition to the Biden administration gets underway. Guests include Paul Salem, Bilal Saab, Randa Slim, and Marvin Weinbaum.

    December 16, 2020

    Putting up a fight: Tunisia’s counterterrorism successes and failures
    A suicide attack targeted police on the main street of Tunisia's capital morning, wounding a civilian and several police personnel, a police officer at the scene told AFP. (Photo by Fethi Belaid / AFP) (Photo credit should read FETHI BELAID/AFP via Getty Images)
  • التحليل
  • Putting up a fight: Tunisia’s counterterrorism successes and failures

    Alongside a stalled economy and a messy political transition, the decade since the 2011 revolution has left Tunisia with an intermittent yet ferocious terrorism problem. The frequency of terrorist attacks highlights the dangers posed by an uncertain political environment, widespread economic problems, and regional instability. But the fact that they have become less deadly over time also seems to underline the improvements that successive governments have made to Tunisia’s security apparatus.

    December 16, 2020

    Palestinian refugees can no longer be sidelined
    A man cleans in a street near destroyed buildings in the Palestinian camp of Yarmuk southern Damascus on November 1, 2018. - Former residents of the Palestinian camp of Yarmuk are desperately counting on help from abroad to help raise the once-bustling neighbourhood back out of the rubble.
  • تعليق
  • Palestinian refugees can no longer be sidelined

    On Dec. 3, MEI’s Program on Palestine and Palestinian-Israeli Affairs convened a webinar on the future of Palestinian refugees and their place in the policy discourse following the election of President-elect Joe Biden and the departure of the Trump administration. Below is a summary of the major takeaways from the event, organized by topic.

    December 16, 2020

    Weighing the scales of violence in northwest Syria
    Photo by MOHAMMED AL-RIFAI/AFP via Getty Images)
  • التحليل
  • Weighing the scales of violence in northwest Syria

    When looking at a map of all artillery and airstrikes in the period from November 2019 through November 2020, first, it is quite clear that the majority of attack are carried out by either Syrian, Russia, or pro-government forces across the northwest of the country, save for northern Aleppo, where the Turkish military is more active.

    December 16, 2020

    Up for Debate: US Yemen policy
    الصورة من تصوير محمد حمود/Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Up for Debate: US Yemen policy

    Now in its sixth year, the war in Yemen shows no signs of abating. The country faces what is widely considered the world’s worst humanitarian crisis — a situation that has only been exacerbated by the global coronavirus pandemic. As a new administration prepares to take over in Washington, it is a natural time to assess U.S. policy toward the country. We asked 9 experts to provide their perspective and answer the following question: How should the Biden administration approach Yemen?