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Trump’s South Caucasus Peacemaking Is His Most Successful, but It Remains Unfinished
  • تعليق
  • Trump’s South Caucasus Peacemaking Is His Most Successful, but It Remains Unfinished

    Of all the fronts in President Trump’s peacemaking agenda, the South Caucasus has delivered the most concrete results. The August 2025 Washington Declaration, signed between Armenia and Azerbaijan and witnessed by Trump, marked an important step toward peace in the region. The two sides initialed a peace agreement and advanced plans to unblock regional connectivity, including through the establishment of the Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity (TRIPP), which would connect Azerbaijan to its Nakhijevan exclave through southern Armenia. Implementation of TRIPP has since made notable progress, but construction has yet to start. A breakthrough on those two tracks would, in turn, unlock Armenia–Türkiye normalization, transforming a long-fractured region into an area of trade and interdependence.

    The Iran War Was Always About Regime Change
  • تعليق
  • The Iran War Was Always About Regime Change

    Wars don’t just end. They get interpreted, reinterpreted, and turned into strategic doctrine. That is what happened after the Iran-Iraq War of the 1980s, a conflict that saw the United States back Tehran’s Iraqi adversaries. The war taught Tehran three lessons it never unlearned: that Washington wants the Islamic Republic gone, that Iran stands essentially alone in the world, and that it cannot survive a direct, overt fight with the U.S. and Israel.

    Iran’s New War Cabinet Is Really an Old One
  • التحليل
  • Iran’s New War Cabinet Is Really an Old One

    Within 48 hours this week, Iran filled six of the most important posts in its battered military and security establishment. Read together with the biographies and mandates behind them, the appointments show how Tehran is drawing lessons from successive wars and preparing for a prolonged period of insecurity, without proving it has abandoned negotiation.

    تصفية حسب
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    The road to war with Iran is paved with good intentions and serious miscalculations
    الصورة من مورتزا نيكوبزل/نورفوتو عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • التحليل
  • The road to war with Iran is paved with good intentions and serious miscalculations

    Forty-five years after Iran’s February 1979 revolution, American officials continue to struggle to understand this nation of almost 90 million. Rather than trying to solve a crisis that threatens to draw the US into direct conflict with Iran, the Biden administration appears more intent to manage it.

    February 2, 2024

    Moving to a post-Khamenei era: The role of the Assembly of Experts
    Photo by IRANIAN LEADER PRESS OFFICE/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Moving to a post-Khamenei era: The role of the Assembly of Experts

    On March 1, 2024, the Islamic Republic of Iran will hold elections for the sixth term of the Assembly of Experts. The major responsibility of this 88-member body is to designate the future supreme leader after the current leader’s death or when he becomes incapable of fulfilling the position’s responsibilities. What role might the Assembly play in a future succession process?

    January 31, 2024

    The ideological underpinnings of the Houthis’ Red Sea attacks
    الصورة من تصوير محمد حمود/Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The ideological underpinnings of the Houthis’ Red Sea attacks

    The Houthis’ attacks in the Red Sea are a manifestation of their ideology, rooted in Islamic fundamentalism. Today, aligned with Iran’s “Axis of Resistance,” this ideology aims to expel the US from the Middle East, destroy Israel, and institute a worldwide Islamic Caliphate with Jerusalem at its core. The following analysis delves into the ideological framework that propels the Houthis’ actions in the Red Sea and its broader implications.

    Iranian youth and the protest movement in 2023: Drivers and limitations
    الصورة من مورتزا نيكوبزل/نورفوتو عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • تعليق
  • Iranian youth and the protest movement in 2023: Drivers and limitations

    Since the height of the protests in 2022, the government cracked down with a new degree of severity on the protesters, reducing their numbers on the street. Many leave if they can. Those who stay have adopted less visible shows of political and social dissatisfaction against the regime’s aggression.

    January 16, 2024

    The Houthis, Iran, and tensions in the Red Sea
    الصورة من محمد حوايس/وكالة فرانس برس عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • التحليل
  • The Houthis, Iran, and tensions in the Red Sea

    Ansar Allah, the Yemen-based militant group commonly referred to as the Houthis, is arguably the latest and largest addition to the Iran-led Axis of Resistance. Present tensions in the Red Sea illustrate both the utility of the Houthis for Tehran’s anti-American and anti-Israel regional agenda as well as the challenges their actions can create for the Iranians.

    Houthis see domestic and regional benefit to continued Red Sea attacks
    Photo by Houthi Movement via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Houthis see domestic and regional benefit to continued Red Sea attacks

    Since the outbreak of the Israel-Hamas conflict in October, Yemen’s Houthi rebels have sought means to capitalize on the war in Gaza to raise their profile, enhance their pan-Arab legitimacy, and burnish their credentials both domestically and in the region. In their effort to insert themselves into the Gaza conflict, the Houthis believe their actions will strengthen their support base at home while also cementing their movement more firmly into the Iranian “Axis of Resistance.”

    11 يناير 2024

    The Jews who disappeared from Iran and reappeared in Pakistan
    Photo by Scott Peterson/Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The Jews who disappeared from Iran and reappeared in Pakistan

    In the mid-1980s, during the long war between Iran and Iraq, students at Tehran’s Jewish high schools would watch their friends suddenly disappear, and then reappear six months later in Europe, the U.S., or Israel. They would get there through a sophisticated smuggling operation that spirited Iran’s Jews out of the country and into Pakistan.

    December 28, 2023

    Iran amid conflicting geopolitical dynamics in the Middle East
    Photo by ANGELA WEISS/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Iran amid conflicting geopolitical dynamics in the Middle East

    As two contradictory trends of de-escalation in the Persian Gulf and a new round of war between Palestinians and Israelis unfold at the same time, Iran is trying to play its best cards and navigate its position. Iran views the region’s geopolitical and security conflicts as a chance to uphold its position and leverage it to advance its defined national interests.

    December 27, 2023

    Soleimani birthed Iran’s Axis of Resistance, Ghaani coordinated it
    Photo by STR/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Soleimani birthed Iran’s Axis of Resistance, Ghaani coordinated it

    Iranian strategy in the Middle East has long centered on nurturing regional proxies and partners — a so-called “Axis of Resistance” — to mount an existential threat to Israel by encircling it in a ring of fire. The bloody war between Israel and Hamas sparked by the latter’s Oct. 7 massacre is the first large-scale implementation of this Axis of Resistance doctrine. Quds Force commander Esmail Ghaani’s lasting contribution will be the network’s entry into the battlefield in a comprehensive and coordinated manner.

    December 15, 2023

    اقرأ مجلة الشرق الأوسط

    أقدم مطبوعة محكمة مخصصة لدراسة الشرق الأوسط المعاصر، تغطي مجلة MEI الرائدة السياسة والمجتمع والثقافة في المنطقة.