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The Middle East Beyond the Iran War
  • Report
  • The Middle East Beyond the Iran War

    This article is part of a collection of short essays written by the Fellows of the Middle East Institute to explore aspects of the ongoing war with Iran. The intent of the collection is to help readers see new and unexpected elements of the dynamics and impact of the ongoing hostilities and to think harder, deeper, and broader about the implications of the conflict.

    September 28, 2026

    Turkey: Ankara’s Nuclear Ambitions in the Post-Iran War Environment
  • Analysis
  • Turkey: Ankara’s Nuclear Ambitions in the Post-Iran War Environment

    In February 2026, Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan suggested that shifting international dynamics could push Turkey to acquire nuclear weapons. That rhetoric, combined with Turkey’s civilian nuclear energy and research programs and its indigenous surface-to-surface missile development projects, has fueled concerns that these capabilities could eventually form the backbone of a Turkish nuclear weapons program.

    Syria: Opportunity Amid Regional Adversity
  • Analysis
  • Syria: Opportunity Amid Regional Adversity

    When the US and Israel launched military action against Iran on February 28, 2026, it set in motion a chain of events that saw violence spread across the Middle East. Yet as the region found itself engulfed in conflict, Syria has experienced its most peaceful months in 15 years, and the government in Damascus appears determined to stay its course toward recovery.

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    Supporting refugee communities during the pandemic
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Supporting refugee communities during the pandemic

    Basma El Husseiny (Action for Hope) and Samar El Yassir (Anera) join guest host Lyne Sneige to discuss the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on refugee communities and the NGOs that work with them.

    April 24, 2020

    Gantz leaves the door open for Arab states to counter annexation
    Photo by AHMAD GHARABLI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Gantz leaves the door open for Arab states to counter annexation

    The April 20 Netanyahu-Gantz agreement legitimized the possibility of an Israeli law that will act as a unilateral annexation of parts of the West Bank to start as early as July 1, based on the controversial Trump Middle East plan. Articles 28 and 29 of the deal condition such annexation on the “consent of the Trump administration” and note that such a move would only be possible if the annexation preserves “the security and strategic interests of the state of Israel including the need to keep regional stability, keep existing peace agreements, and pursue future peace agreements.”

    April 24, 2020

    Ravaged by war, Syria’s health care system is utterly unprepared for a pandemic
    Photo by AAREF WATAD/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Ravaged by war, Syria’s health care system is utterly unprepared for a pandemic

    Officially, Syria has just 42 COVID-19 cases, all but one of them in regime-held areas, as testing capacity is almost non-existent elsewhere. The actual number is certainly higher, but there appear to be few severe cases at the moment. Yet, interviews with doctors and NGO workers conducted over the phone and via messaging apps across all areas of control in Syria — from regime-held areas and the northeast to Idlib and the Turkish-controlled region — paint a grim picture of a health care sector utterly unprepared for a pandemic.

    April 23, 2020

    Turkey’s Dangerous New Exports: Pan-Islamist, Neo-Ottoman Visions and Regional Instability
    Ozan Kose/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Turkey’s Dangerous New Exports: Pan-Islamist, Neo-Ottoman Visions and Regional Instability

    There is certainly no shortage of writings on Turkey today regarding that country’s “drift” away from its Western orientation. Some who espouse this argument frame the consequences in terms of Turkey’s increased ties to China. While Turkey itself has launched an “Asia Anew” policy, the outsized focus on this and other alleged signs of Turkey’s “drift from the West” distracts from the very palpable effects of its adventurism in the Middle East, North Africa, and Eastern Mediterranean. Turkey’s increasingly reckless foreign policy is on full display — from weaponizing refugees to extort the European Union to exporting mercenary Jihadist fighters to Libya. These are hardly the actions of a responsible regional power, much less a key member of the NATO alliance. 

    April 21, 2020

    The growing threat of ISIS in Syria’s Badia
    Photo by: GEORGE OURFALIAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The growing threat of ISIS in Syria’s Badia

    When the American-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) captured the village of al-Baghouz in late
    March 2019, ISIS’s self-proclaimed “caliphate” came to an end. The largest multinational military
    coalition in modern history spent four-and-a-half years methodically rolling back ISIS’s control of an
    expanse of territory the size of Britain, stretching across Syria and Iraq.

    Checkmate or stalemate: Israel’s Game of Thrones
    Photo by AHMAD GHARABLI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Checkmate or stalemate: Israel’s Game of Thrones

    With the coronavirus sucking almost all of the oxygen out of the world’s news, it’s no wonder that Israel’s ongoing political crisis hasn’t received more coverage. But while the outside world is otherwise occupied, Israel, besides battling corona itself, is serving as a poster child for dysfunctional (yet democratic) government.

    April 17, 2020

    The times have changed, but the need for a US-led MFO hasn’t
    Photo by Bettmann/Contributor via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The times have changed, but the need for a US-led MFO hasn’t

    This is not the time to hang out the “Mission Accomplished” banner for the MFO. At a nominal cost to the U.S. in money and manpower, for nearly 40 years, the mission has been a phenomenal success. At a time when the U.S. commitment to the region is being viewed with increasing skepticism, the MFO is a prime example of U.S. capacity to organize and lead a multinational effort to support regional security and stability.

    April 16, 2020

    Diversify and expand: Turkey’s drive towards natural gas security
  • Analysis
  • Diversify and expand: Turkey’s drive towards natural gas security

    President Recip Tayyip Erdogan has sought to dramatically reorient Turkey’s role and relationships in the region. Gradually at first but then abruptly, he has pivoted from the Republic’s historical status as a key member of the transatlantic alliance towards new partnerships – including Russia. Erdogan has consistently aimed for freedom in executing his foreign policy agenda, of which energy concerns are pivotal. It remains to be seen whether this hard-sought autonomy will be limited or expanded by Turkey’s domestic energy needs and its prime position as a hydrocarbon transit state.

    April 16, 2020

    “A Force They Haven’t Seen Before”: Insurgent ISIS in Central Syria
    Photo by STRINGER/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • “A Force They Haven’t Seen Before”: Insurgent ISIS in Central Syria

    Immediately after the Syrian regime and its allies captured central Syria in late 2017, ISIS began waging an effective and deadly insurgency in the area. It first targeted urban centers along the western Euphrates before shifting focus in spring 2018 to the transport lines and mountains running along the M20 from Khunayfis to Shoula. These wide-ranging operations have killed a minimum of 860 pro-regime fighters of all ranks, units, and types. This report tracks self-reported regime losses in the region, as indicated on loyalist Facebook pages, community pages, and unit pages, from Nov. 10, 2017 through March 31, 2020.

    April 15, 2020

    US engagement in the Black Sea and Middle East. What more can be done?
  • Analysis
  • US engagement in the Black Sea and Middle East. What more can be done?

    US support for the Black Sea and the Middle East has been through several phases in recent years, with President Donald Trump’s generals having the biggest impact on policy change. While there has been increased engagement in the region, much more is needed from the US – as well as NATO and the EU – to ensure Black Sea security.

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    The oldest peer-reviewed publication dedicated to the study of the modern Middle East, MEI’s flagship journal covers politics, society, and culture in the region.