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Research & Commentary Results

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The situation in the Red Sea is not getting better
الصورة من وكالة فرانس برس عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • تعليق
  • The situation in the Red Sea is not getting better

    The current situation is not only intolerable – it is unsustainable. It is time to recognize that the Houthis, with strong and persistent support from Iran, are in a position to hold not only the US but virtually the entire global system hostage.

    A Palestinian-led approach for Gaza’s day after
    MAHMUD HAMS/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • A Palestinian-led approach for Gaza’s day after

    US President Joe Biden will meet with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu during his visit to Washington this week. The meeting provides an opportunity to double down on considerations of what a “day after” might look like and how best to promote moderate Palestinian voices in the effort to rebuild Gaza.

    July 23, 2024

    CENTCOM says ISIS is reconstituting in Syria and Iraq, but the reality is even worse
    Photo by Ali Makram Ghareeb/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • CENTCOM says ISIS is reconstituting in Syria and Iraq, but the reality is even worse

    On July 16, CENTCOM announced that after six months of 2024, “ISIS is on pace to more than double” the number of attacks in Syria and Iraq it claimed in 2023. But the reality is far worse than this statement suggested because the data represents only a fraction of ISIS’s actual attacks in Syria and Iraq.

    The geopolitical causes of Georgia’s political crisis
    Photo by Mirian Meladze/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The geopolitical causes of Georgia’s political crisis

    Strengthening authoritarian rule in Georgia is not just a reflection of Georgia’s internal politics but also a symptom of the West’s broader disengagement from the wider Black Sea region. This disengagement has facilitated Russian state capture in Georgia, undermining the rule of law and democracy.

    July 17, 2024

    Key takeaways for NATO and the Middle East from the Washington Summit Declaration
    الصورة من جاكوب بورزيكي/نورفوتو عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • التحليل
  • Key takeaways for NATO and the Middle East from the Washington Summit Declaration

    At the Washington Summit, NATO member states mostly focused on efforts to counter Russia and to support Ukraine. However, the 2024 summit communiqué also addresses non-Euro-Atlantic risks and opportunities, based on the idea that “conflict, fragility and instability” elsewhere directly affects NATO security.

    July 15, 2024

    Wide gap between the Egyptian government’s rosy figures and the economic hardship suffered by millions
    Photographer: Islam Safwat/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Wide gap between the Egyptian government’s rosy figures and the economic hardship suffered by millions

    For Egyptian officials, June should have been a month to celebrate. And yet none of the seeming macroeconomic successes that the government recorded brought much reassurance to the average Egyptian, who has continued to experience currency shortages, an unreliable energy grid, and fears of a resurgent spike in inflation.

    July 12, 2024

    Is Iran an ideological state?
  • تعليق
  • Is Iran an ideological state?

    Iran’s foreign policy has generally been characterized by continuity in the postrevolutionary period, yet its motives have transformed over time. This research paper argues that Islamic fundamentalism goaded and motivated foreign policy in the first decade of the Islamic Republic of Iran. After the death of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, the country’s foreign policy maintained a fundamentalist posture, but was forcefully driven by policies to guarantee its political survival.

    July 10, 2024

    Central Asian states look to Iran as they seek to expand regional transit corridors
    Photo by Fatemeh Bahrami/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Central Asian states look to Iran as they seek to expand regional transit corridors

    When Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in late February 2022, it prompted the Central Asian states, and others, to reconsider Iran’s potential role as a transit country. In a little more than two years, Central Asia’s view of Iran has changed from international pariah to key link in lucrative trade routes.

    July 9, 2024

    What’s at stake as Iran heads to a presidential runoff?
    Photo by Fatemeh Bahrami/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • What’s at stake as Iran heads to a presidential runoff?

    On June 28, Iran held its third election in the span of just four months. A fourth contest, a presidential runoff, is scheduled for July 5. And yet the opposite of election fervor has gripped the country. The June 28 election made history by setting a new record low for turnout, with official data suggesting 39.9% of voters cast a ballot. Participation is unlikely to rise in the second round, on July 5, but where turnout will end up is the million-dollar question.

    New EU aid and investment in Egypt linked to migration control
    Photo by DIRK WAEM/BELGA MAG/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • New EU aid and investment in Egypt linked to migration control

    On June 29, at an aid and investment conference in Cairo, Egypt and the EU reached a €1 billion investment deal, and over 20 MoUs, collectively worth approximately €40 billion in private investment, were signed on the sidelines. Little mention has been made of migration in the new European agreement with Egypt, but there is little doubt that it is a pivotal factor.

    Toward a NATO Black Sea strategy
    Photo by KENZO TRIBOUILLARD/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Toward a NATO Black Sea strategy

    In its 2022 Strategic Concept, NATO declared the Black Sea Region (BSR) of strategic importance for the Alliance, yet this recognition has never translated into NATO developing a proper strategy toward its critical southeastern flank. That glaring gap must be addressed right away.

    Why Pakistan is looking to Saudi Arabia and the UAE to ramp up investment
    Photo by UAE Presidential Court / Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Why Pakistan is looking to Saudi Arabia and the UAE to ramp up investment

    Pakistan’s government is pursuing a two-track approach to stabilize the country’s long-troubled economy. It is engaged in lengthy negotiations with the IMF to secure at least $6 billion in loans to shore up its ability to service its external debt. At the same time, Islamabad is also trying to woo its Gulf allies, most notably Saudi Arabia and the UAE, in a bid to diversify its sources of external financing, address the lingering threat of insolvency, and put its economy on an upward trajectory of sustainable growth.

    June 28, 2024