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Research & Commentary Results

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Qatar and global LNG: Potential pivot from Asia to Europe?
Photo by VCG/VCG via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Qatar and global LNG: Potential pivot from Asia to Europe?

    The global LNG landscape is changing, and while Qatar will continue to be a major LNG exporter, it will briefly drop to third in the global rankings until planned expansion projects come on stream in the middle part of the decade. Strategically, Qatari suppliers may opt to change their market supply profile, which will have a knock-on effect on the global market, both LNG suppliers and buyers.

    February 22, 2022

    A Peace-Maker's Case For Designating The Houthis
    Photo: Hani Al-Ansi/dpa (Photo by Hani Al-Ansi/picture alliance via Getty Images)
  • تعليق
  • A Peace-Maker's Case For Designating The Houthis

    The civil war in Yemen is well into its eighth year with no end in sight. It is imperative that the United Nations, with the United States and other key powers in support, do more to end the suffering and begin the long process of rebuilding and reconstructing Yemen. But that work cannot begin until there is a common understanding of what the obstacles are to achieving a peaceful resolution. In particular, what tools can and should the United States use to pressure the Houthis and overcome their resistance to negotiations?

    February 16, 2022

    Thanks to Iran, Israel emerges stronger as the US shifts its focus away from the Middle East
    Photo by MC2 Class Dawson Roth. The appearance of U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) visual information does not imply or constitute DoD endorsement
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  • Thanks to Iran, Israel emerges stronger as the US shifts its focus away from the Middle East

    The U.S. is disengaging from the Middle East as it shifts its focus elsewhere, a move widely perceived within the region as a sign of a coming American departure. Many in Israel were concerned that this would strengthen Iran and its influence in the region. Instead, it is Israel that has emerged stronger.

    February 10, 2022

    Saudi Arabia’s natural gas aspirations: The domestic outlook
    Simon Dawson/Bloomberg via Getty Images
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  • Saudi Arabia’s natural gas aspirations: The domestic outlook

    With the recent announcement of the Jafurah Field, a massive unconventional, non-associated gas play, Saudi Arabia is looking to enter the global gas sector. The field’s estimated reserves, while substantial, are insufficient to meet current domestic needs and, in the future, displace dirty heavy fuel oil used in power generation and satisfy international export goals. The kingdom thus faces difficult decisions regarding the allocation of the Jafurah gas — to either domestic or international markets — and both options have significant challenges.

    February 9, 2022

    Renewable power policies in the Arab Gulf states
    Photo by MARWAN NAAMANI/AFP via Getty Images
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  • Renewable power policies in the Arab Gulf states

    The Arab Gulf states appear to be following a common template in responding to the global transition toward an energy system in which renewables play an increasingly central role. They are publicizing renewable energy targets, decarbonizing upstream and downstream oil and gas operations, commissioning renewable energy projects, and improving energy efficiency, among other strategies. A closer look, however, reveals differences in how they have deployed solar and wind power capacity.

    Qatar is no short-term savior, but it may still play a role in strengthening EU energy security
    Photo by Sean Gallup/Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Qatar is no short-term savior, but it may still play a role in strengthening EU energy security

    The U.S. request for Qatari assistance in ensuring the EU’s energy security in case of a Russian supply disruption should be perceived as a political gesture of support addressed to Western allies and a warning to Russia. In reality, however, the American request is just one factor in Qatar’s calculations as it considers increasing its energy exports to Europe, and Doha’s final decision will be determined by an intricate combination of long-term economic and political considerations. In this equation political reasons may not be dominant and economic drivers will not always be in the West’s favor.

    أمير قطر الشيخ تميم يصبح أول زعيم خليجي يزور البيت الأبيض في عهد بايدن
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  • أمير قطر الشيخ تميم يصبح أول زعيم خليجي يزور البيت الأبيض في عهد بايدن

    عندما يزور أمير قطر الشيخ تميم بن حمد آل ثاني الرئيس جو بايدن في 31 يناير/كانون الثاني، وعلى عكس العديد من القادة الآخرين الذين تلقوا دعوات إلى المكتب البيضاوي، هناك جدول أعمال جاد وحافل بالقضايا العالمية المُلحِّة للمناقشة بين الزعيمين. فعلى المدى القريب والعاجل، سيُطلب من الشيخ تميم التزام قطر بمساندة الجهود المبذولة لمعالجة احتمال انقطاع إمدادات الطاقة الروسية إلى أوروبا الغربية، وخاصة ألمانيا، في حالة إذا واصل الرئيس الروسي فلاديمير بوتين التهديدات بمهاجمة أوكرانيا.

    February 2, 2022

    For Gulf producers, decarbonization does not mean zero oil production
    Maya Siddiqui/Bloomberg via Getty Images
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  • For Gulf producers, decarbonization does not mean zero oil production

    Gulf oil producers do not envisage a post-2050 world devoid of hydrocarbons, even though two of the region’s biggest producers, the UAE and Saudi Arabia, have committed to net-zero carbon emissions by 2050 and 2060, respectively. Reconciling their future environmental commitments with their current reliance on hydrocarbons is going to be an arduous and expensive journey that starts with decarbonizing their oil and gas production to reduce their carbon footprint and increasing their domestic green energy production. With demand for oil and gas forecast to continue post-2050 — albeit at lower levels than now — their net-zero target does not equate to zero oil and gas production. Instead, their transition will differ from that of other countries and will happen at a different pace.

    January 31, 2022

    The UAE paves way for Syria’s return to the Arab fold, but plenty of hurdles remain
    Photo by UAE Ministry of Foreign Affairs/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
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  • The UAE paves way for Syria’s return to the Arab fold, but plenty of hurdles remain

    The UAE has made bold strides to normalize relations with embattled Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, opening itself up to criticism as many countries remain reluctant to reconcile with Damascus. Despite this measured reintegration of Assad into the Arab fold, many serious complications and challenges lie ahead. The most important of these is the lack of support from a hesitant Saudi Arabia, which would impede the crucial next step of Syria’s restoration to full membership in the Arab League before its upcoming summit.

    How Oman’s history inspires its novelists
    Young Omani author Ammar Alnaaimi. Image by Muhanna Al Siyabi.
  • التحليل
  • How Oman’s history inspires its novelists

    Why have authors revisited it over the decades through literary works, and what makes it appealing to international readers?

    January 31, 2022

    US response options to growing Houthi attacks
    Photo by GIUSEPPE CACACE/AFP via Getty Images
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  • US response options to growing Houthi attacks

    What these attacks and many others in the region have in common is Iran’s irrefutable involvement. They may have different local contexts and their perpetrators, all loyal to Iran, may have different motivations, but every single one of those attacks was possible only because Iran provided either the weapons or the know-how to assemble and use them.

    How involved was Iran in the Houthi attack on the UAE?
    الصورة من مورتزا نيكوبزل/نورفوتو عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • التحليل
  • How involved was Iran in the Houthi attack on the UAE?

    Three days have passed since the Houthi attack on the UAE, yet there’s still a lot we don’t know about what really happened. Here’s what we do know: The Houthis officially stated that they were the ones who struck Abu Dhabi, and unlike in September 2019 when they made the same claim, this time they might not be lying. Yet this is not enough to help us answer what in my opinion is the ultimate question: to what extent were the Iranians involved in this attack?

    January 20, 2022