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Research & Commentary Results

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3013 Results
The IRGC’s enmity toward Israel is an aberration in Iranian history
الصورة من مورتزا نيكوبزل/نورفوتو عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • التحليل
  • The IRGC’s enmity toward Israel is an aberration in Iranian history

    Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) is at its core an ideological army, not a national one, and its notorious enmity toward Israel is an aberration in Iranian history. But many Israelis to this day think Iran could be a natural partner as long as the country gave up its pursuit of ideologically driven regional dominance, disavow calls for the destruction of Israel, and were instead to again allow the regular army, the Artesh, to pursue Iranian national interests.

    May 3, 2023

    Russia and Iran Have High Hopes for Each Other
  • تعليق
  • Russia and Iran Have High Hopes for Each Other

    One of Russian President Vladimir Putin’s special envoys keeps visiting Iran. Igor Levitin, Putin’s advisor, has visited Tehran twice in 2023, totaling five visits in the last six months. During his latest visit, Levitin met with top Iranian figures, including Mohammad Mokhber, first vice president and top economic coordinator, and Ali Shamkhani, secretary of the Supreme National Security Council.

    السياسة الكمومية في الشرق الأوسط
    الصورة من جاك جيز/وكالة فرانس برس عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • التحليل
  • السياسة الكمومية في الشرق الأوسط

    تركزت جميع النزاعات التاريخية والحديثة في الشرق الأوسط حول الاعتبارات الإقليمية الكلاسيكية المتعلقة بفقدان الأراضي أو استعادتها. وللخروج من هذه الدوامة، كان من الضروري الابتعاد عن أحد الأسباب الجذرية الرئيسية للنزاع: الجغرافيا. وقد تكون التغيرات الحالية في المنطقة، التي تتميز بتوجه كبير نحو تخفيف حدة التوتر واستعداد متزايد للانفصال بشكل دوري عن الحلفاء التقليديين، مؤشرات على حدوث تحول جذري عميق نحو "السياسة الكمومية".

    1 مايو 2023

    Monday Briefing: People power — the Israeli version
  • تعليق
  • Monday Briefing: People power — the Israeli version

    اقرأ تقرير MEI الأسبوعي الذي يتضمن تحليلات الخبراء للتطورات الإقليمية الرئيسية للأسبوع المقبل.

    1 مايو 2023

    A Reassessment of American Policy Toward Taliban Afghanistan
    الصورة من قبل WAKIL KOHSAR/AFP عبر Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • A Reassessment of American Policy Toward Taliban Afghanistan

    It has been long enough since the Taliban seized power in Afghanistan in August 2021 for us to reach some conclusions about how the regime intends to govern and the policy options this presents. For a variety of reasons the U.S. now finds itself drawn into several areas of policy in Afghanistan and trying to decide what form and degree of engagement with the Taliban government can best advance American interests.

    US-Japan relations and the Persian Gulf
    Photo by Toru Hanai/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • US-Japan relations and the Persian Gulf

    When Saudi Arabia suddenly announced in early April that it would reduce its oil production by 500,000 bpd, followed shortly thereafter by several other OPEC+ members, bringing the total cut to 1.1 million bpd, Japan was greatly concerned. In spite of Japan’s serious efforts to work toward a carbon-neutral society, the country is still heavily dependent on oil, the overwhelming majority of which comes from the Persian Gulf.

    April 25, 2023

    Monday Briefing: Military power struggle explodes in Sudan
  • تعليق
  • Monday Briefing: Military power struggle explodes in Sudan

    اقرأ تقرير MEI الأسبوعي الذي يتضمن تحليلات الخبراء للتطورات الإقليمية الرئيسية للأسبوع المقبل.

    April 17, 2023

    We need a new “Big Stick” policy for Iran
    الصورة من مورتزا نيكوبزل/نورفوتو عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • التحليل
  • We need a new “Big Stick” policy for Iran

    President Theodore Roosevelt said, “Speak softly and carry a big stick; you will go far.”1 Roosevelt used the image of the big stick to popularize his philosophy, but he offered a subtler interpretation in other venues. It represented a quiet threat that would only rarely need to be used if accompanied by steady diplomacy.

    Iran-Iraq competition in regional maritime and overland transit corridors
    Photo by Iraqi Prime Ministry Press Office / Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Iran-Iraq competition in regional maritime and overland transit corridors

    In recent years, Iraq has become one of the leading destinations for Chinese investments in the Middle East and a crucial link in Beijing’s Belt and Road Initiative. To capitalize on its geostrategic location and central position within the Chinese BRI, Iraq is seeking to develop a sprawling new 54-square-kilometer port project, known as al-Faw Grand Port, which will reduce the country’s reliance on Arab Gulf ports and overland transit from Iran and Turkey. The project also underscores Iraq’s growing economic rivalry with neighboring Iran, as both countries seek to carve out a similar niche in handling regional transit traffic.

    April 11, 2023

    إحاطة يوم الاثنين: انطلاق محادثات السعودية والحوثيين في صنعاء في ظل سعي الرياض لإنهاء الحرب في اليمن
  • تعليق
  • إحاطة يوم الاثنين: انطلاق محادثات السعودية والحوثيين في صنعاء في ظل سعي الرياض لإنهاء الحرب في اليمن

    اقرأ تقرير MEI الأسبوعي الذي يتضمن تحليلات الخبراء للتطورات الإقليمية الرئيسية للأسبوع المقبل.

    10 أبريل 2023

    Pakistan tilts back to the West in multipolar era
    Photo by EDUARDO MUNOZ/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Pakistan tilts back to the West in multipolar era

    The multipolar moment has arrived in Pakistan’s backyard. Like China and India, Pakistan too is attempting its own geopolitical rebalancing. It seeks to revive ties with the United States and other Western countries. This pivot to the West comes after an earlier one to the East that began more than a decade ago. But, like the previous pivot, Pakistan’s efforts to rekindle ties with the West are unlikely to succeed unless it embraces the imperatives of economic reform and political stability.

    April 6, 2023

    Iranian-Saudi detente and "Asianization" of the Persian Gulf: China fills the gap
    الصورة من ATTA KENARE/AFP عبر Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Iranian-Saudi detente and "Asianization" of the Persian Gulf: China fills the gap

    After an intense round of secret negotiations between Iranian and Saudi representatives, facilitated by Chinese mediation, Tehran and Riyadh announced in mid-March that they would resume diplomatic relations. It is unclear if the Saudi-Iranian détente will last, but at least for now, China’s role in resolving this diplomatic stalemate seems to indicate the beginning of a multi-faceted de-Westernization process in the region.

    April 5, 2023