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Research & Commentary Results

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Juniper Oak 2023 reinforces US commitment to Middle East, sets standard for future regional exercises
Photo source: Pentagon
  • التحليل
  • Juniper Oak 2023 reinforces US commitment to Middle East, sets standard for future regional exercises

    This week, the United States Central Command (CENTCOM) concluded what it called on social media, “the largest ever U.S.-Israel combined exercise.” The drills reasserted U.S. support for partnerships, deterrence, and integration, despite posture reductions and continued concern among partners about Washington’s commitment to the Middle East.

    January 26, 2023

    From the streets to the border: Iran’s growing paranoia toward Azerbaijan
    Photo courtesy of Tabnak via Wikimedia Commons
  • التحليل
  • From the streets to the border: Iran’s growing paranoia toward Azerbaijan

    Azerbaijani-Iranian relations have been strained since Azerbaijan’s victory in the 2020 war with Armenia. However, the situation dramatically worsened in the last few months, with Iran holding two large-scale drills near the border with Azerbaijan and accusing Baku of colluding with its enemies and interfering in its internal affairs.

    January 26, 2023

    Mahsa Amini and the future of internet repression in Iran
    Photo by Jonas Walzberg/picture alliance via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Mahsa Amini and the future of internet repression in Iran

    The death of Mahsa Amini in September 2022 has remained the catalyst and central rallying cry of almost half a year of escalating protests in Iran — protests that have, like many before, and like many will in the future, lived as much online as they have on the ground. What is clearer than ever is that the Iranian state’s relationship to dissent will continue to be predominantly mediated by its practices and attitude toward freedom of information, which, today, largely remains a question of internet access.

    January 24, 2023

    The French cultural center shuttered: What does cultural isolation mean for Iranians?
    Photo by Omer Messinger/Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The French cultural center shuttered: What does cultural isolation mean for Iranians?

    The general policy of the Islamic Republic is to constrain, as much as possible, its citizens’ exposure to foreign cultures and prevent their engagement with the outside world, which explains why cultural ties, even with neighboring or friendly countries, are so limited.

    January 20, 2023

    Israelis’ evolving pushback to democratic erosion under Netanyahu
    الصورة من جاك جيز/وكالة فرانس برس عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • التحليل
  • Israelis’ evolving pushback to democratic erosion under Netanyahu

    A movement of Israelis who resist the new Netanyahu government is crystallizing and taking initial steps to push back against democratic erosion. It will need to evolve quickly and effectively to make an impact and could benefit from some international helping hands along the way.

    January 19, 2023

    The Iran protests and US policy on Tehran’s nuclear program
    الصورة من ATTA KENARE/AFP عبر Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The Iran protests and US policy on Tehran’s nuclear program

    When the Iranian government faces intense Western criticism, such as over its brutal suppression of the protest movement and its recent executions, it frequently resorts to specific actions, one of which is hostage-taking. Nevertheless, perhaps the most important “hostage” Tehran counts on to influence the positions of Western powers is not their imprisoned citizens, but rather Iran’s nuclear program.

    January 19, 2023

    What the UN vote tells us about international sentiments and Israeli diplomacy
    Photo by Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images
  • تعليق
  • What the UN vote tells us about international sentiments and Israeli diplomacy

    The Dec. 30 vote at the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) regarding Israel reflected once again that the international community does not generally accept the Israeli narrative regarding the Palestinian issue. It also highlights that the Palestinian issue, while not a top priority on the global agenda, is still one of concern around the world.

    January 4, 2023

    Iran and cryptocurrency: Opportunities and obstacles for the regime
    Photo by Mehmet Ali Ozcan/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Iran and cryptocurrency: Opportunities and obstacles for the regime

    While cryptocurrency may offer Iran the opportunity to bypass sanctions and boost trade, it is by no means a panacea for such outcomes and comes with a host of obstacles, such as price volatility, economic uncertainty, energy consumption, and evolving regulation.

    December 27, 2022

    Iran’s Balkan front: The roots and consequences of Iranian cyberattacks against Albania
    Photo by YUKI IWAMURA/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Iran’s Balkan front: The roots and consequences of Iranian cyberattacks against Albania

    A series of damaging Iranian hacks of Albania’s critical digital infrastructure over the summer pushed Tirana to break off bilateral diplomatic relations. Iran has regularly responded to sanctions or perceived provocations through cyberattack campaigns, as was visible in the case of Albania, guilty in the Iranian authorities’ eyes for the accommodations it has given to the anti-regime group MEK .

    December 22, 2022

    Iran’s Protests 3 Months On
  • Podcast
  • Iran’s Protests 3 Months On

    Now entering their fourth month of defiance, the people of Iran continue to protest the regime of Ali Khamenei. Since protests began in September, the crackdown by security forces has become increasingly severe and the government has now begun executing protesters. According to figures from the Human Rights Activists News Agency, as of Dec. 15, nearly 500 protesters have been killed and almost 20,000 people have been arrested.

    December 19, 2022

    Keeping up appearances: The Ukraine war’s effect on Russian deployments in Syria
    Photo by DELIL SOULEIMAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Keeping up appearances: The Ukraine war’s effect on Russian deployments in Syria

    As Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine turned into protracted positional and attrition warfare, often speculative reports emerged about the imminent reduction of the Russian military presence in Syria. Several factors may explain the changes in the Russian military presence in Syria and its future.

    The Houthis' embargo on Yemen's oil exports
    الصورة من تصوير محمد حمود/Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The Houthis' embargo on Yemen's oil exports

    On Nov. 21, the Iranian-backed Houthi militia launched a drone attack against the Dhabba Oil Terminal in Yemen’s Hadramawt Governorate. The threat of further attacks on oil ports and military targets remains high as the militant group tests the tolerance and response of Yemen’s government and the international community while increasing its demands.

    December 9, 2022