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Research & Commentary Results

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Turkey is not “lost,” but it is time for other NATO allies to more strongly reengage
معهد الشرق الأوسط
  • التحليل
  • Turkey is not “lost,” but it is time for other NATO allies to more strongly reengage

    Turkey’s loyalty to the Alliance is frequently questioned, including accusations of fence-sitting, especially when it comes to Russia. To ask, “Who lost Turkey?” is to misread the situation. Turkey is increasingly, albeit carefully, moving away from the Kremlin.

    July 23, 2024

    The situation in the Red Sea is not getting better
    الصورة من وكالة فرانس برس عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • تعليق
  • The situation in the Red Sea is not getting better

    The current situation is not only intolerable – it is unsustainable. It is time to recognize that the Houthis, with strong and persistent support from Iran, are in a position to hold not only the US but virtually the entire global system hostage.

    CENTCOM says ISIS is reconstituting in Syria and Iraq, but the reality is even worse
    Photo by Ali Makram Ghareeb/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • CENTCOM says ISIS is reconstituting in Syria and Iraq, but the reality is even worse

    On July 16, CENTCOM announced that after six months of 2024, “ISIS is on pace to more than double” the number of attacks in Syria and Iraq it claimed in 2023. But the reality is far worse than this statement suggested because the data represents only a fraction of ISIS’s actual attacks in Syria and Iraq.

    The Houthi-UAE collision course in the Red Sea
    الصورة من قناة الجمهورية عبر Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The Houthi-UAE collision course in the Red Sea

    The Houthis’ latest political and military moves are setting them on a collision course with the United Arab Emirates in the broader Red Sea region.

    July 16, 2024

    Key takeaways for NATO and the Middle East from the Washington Summit Declaration
    الصورة من جاكوب بورزيكي/نورفوتو عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • التحليل
  • Key takeaways for NATO and the Middle East from the Washington Summit Declaration

    At the Washington Summit, NATO member states mostly focused on efforts to counter Russia and to support Ukraine. However, the 2024 summit communiqué also addresses non-Euro-Atlantic risks and opportunities, based on the idea that “conflict, fragility and instability” elsewhere directly affects NATO security.

    July 15, 2024

    الناتو وشمال أفريقيا والساحل: تسوية مثلث انعدام الأمن
    الصورة من فاضل سينا/وكالة فرانس برس عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • التحليل
  • الناتو وشمال أفريقيا والساحل: تسوية مثلث انعدام الأمن

    مع احتفال حلف الناتو بمرور 75 عامًا على تأسيسه، سيجتمع أعضاء الحلف في واشنطن العاصمة في الفترة من 9 إلى 11 يوليو لعقد قمة تاريخية. ومن بين القضايا الرئيسية على جدول الأعمال معالجة التهديدات الحادة الناشئة عن منطقة البحر الأسود واعتماد نهج استراتيجي تجاه الشرق الأوسط وأفريقيا.

    Toward a NATO Black Sea strategy
    Photo by KENZO TRIBOUILLARD/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Toward a NATO Black Sea strategy

    In its 2022 Strategic Concept, NATO declared the Black Sea Region (BSR) of strategic importance for the Alliance, yet this recognition has never translated into NATO developing a proper strategy toward its critical southeastern flank. That glaring gap must be addressed right away.

    فرصة الناتو الضيقة لوضع استراتيجية جنوبية فعالة
    Photo by Jaber Abdulkhaleg/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • فرصة الناتو الضيقة لوضع استراتيجية جنوبية فعالة

    While the Washington Summit is unlikely to deliver any ground-breaking outcome, it certainly offers the opportunity to articulate the nexus between security in Europe and the Mediterranean-African region. NATO also has the opportunity to renew and streamline its partnerships with Middle Eastern and North African countries while strengthening its outreach to Africa.

    ليبيا تظل مفتاح الناتو لمواجهة الأنشطة الروسية الخبيثة في أفريقيا
    الصورة من تصوير نيكيتا شفيتسوف/وكالة الأناضول/غيتي إيمدجز
  • التحليل
  • ليبيا تظل مفتاح الناتو لمواجهة الأنشطة الروسية الخبيثة في أفريقيا

    قبل ثماني سنوات، لم يكن أحد يتوقع أن روسيا ستتوسع في أفريقيا بهذه السرعة والشمولية. واليوم، هناك إدراك واسع النطاق للتهديد الذي يشكله التوسع الروسي المزعزع للاستقرار في أفريقيا على حلف الناتو وأعضائه والمنطقة الأفريقية.

    From “fierce entanglement” to a viable path toward Palestinian statehood: A pragmatic proposal
    Photo by ABBAS MOMANI/AFP via Getty Images
  • تعليق
  • From “fierce entanglement” to a viable path toward Palestinian statehood: A pragmatic proposal

    The Israelis and Palestinians are stuck with each other in a situation of “fierce entanglement.” Things never got “bad enough” for Israel to work toward a better and lasting solution with the Palestinians until Oct. 7 abruptly changed the status quo. After the visceral anger subsides and Hamas is replaced in Gaza, Israel and the Palestinian Authority must work together for something other than “waiting for the next round of violence.”

    June 8, 2024

    Climate-smart cities in the MENA region: Promise and pitfalls
    Photo by Christopher Pike/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Climate-smart cities in the MENA region: Promise and pitfalls

    Around two-thirds of the population in the Middle East and North Africa lives in urban settlements and the region’s population is projected to double by 2050, exposing a growing number of people to intensifying natural and climate hazards. As a result, cities will need to take additional steps to boost climate resilience and advance decarbonization efforts, including through climate-informed urban planning measures like compact, transit-oriented development, urban greening initiatives, and a focus on green buildings. With this in mind, regional governments have recently adopted the concept of “smart cities,” aiming to utilize technology and sustainable practices to address the challenges of urbanization and climate change.

    June 4, 2024

    Netanyahu’s war with the generals
    Photo by GIL COHEN-MAGEN/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Netanyahu’s war with the generals

    Netanyahu has sought to direct the blame for the debacle of Oct. 7, as well as the subsequent failures in the management of the war, squarely on the Israeli security establishment, while avoiding taking personal responsibility that would cost him his job.

    May 31, 2024

    Why they left: The causes and implications of the Russian peacekeepers’ withdrawal from Karabakh
    Photo by Aziz Karimov/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Why they left: The causes and implications of the Russian peacekeepers’ withdrawal from Karabakh

    On April 17, Russian and Azerbaijani officials confirmed that the Russian peacekeeping forces deployed in Karabakh since November 2020 had begun pulling out from the region. The reasons behind the decision remain a matter of intense debate; but it is possible to draw several important conclusions from its timing and consequences.

    May 30, 2024