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Research & Commentary

Read in-depth research, analysis, and commentary from MEI’s fellows and experts on the Middle East. 

Iran: What’s Next for US Policy as the Region Seeks to Move On
  • Analysis
  • Iran: What’s Next for US Policy as the Region Seeks to Move On

    As the US and Iran move to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, the war’s real lesson lies in how Gulf states rapidly adapted — building pipelines, ports, and rail to bypass the chokepoint. Washington should seize this momentum, pursuing a “long game” of regional connectivity that serves shared security and economic interests.

    Russia’s Taliban Embrace Signals a New Power Shift in Afghanistan
  • Commentary
  • Russia’s Taliban Embrace Signals a New Power Shift in Afghanistan

    Sometimes the only thing more frightening than Afghanistan’s problems is the Taliban’s solutions and the recently signed Russia-Taliban military-technical agreement may be the most alarming one yet. The partnership signals that Afghanistan’s security architecture is being rebuilt without the United States, and increasingly by America’s rivals. Washington should pay close attention because the deal hands one of the world’s most repressive regimes a pathway to becoming more capable and deeply entrenched in a regional order where Russian influence is expanding at America’s expense.

    Attacked by All Sides Iraq’s New Government Faces Old Problems
  • Podcast
  • Attacked by All Sides Iraq’s New Government Faces Old Problems

    After months of deadlock following the November 2025 elections, Iraq’s parliament approved a new government under Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi on May 14, 2026 — just as the country has become a battleground in the US-Israel-Iran war. Zaidi inherits a daunting brief: reviving a struggling economy, reining in armed factions, and steering Iraq through a perilous regional landscape. Dr. Renad Mansour, deputy director of the Middle East and North Africa Programme and director of the Iraq Initiative at Chatham House, joins host Alistair Taylor to discuss the war’s impact on Iraq — from Iran’s militia networks to the surge of attacks on the Kurdistan region — and how it’s reshaping Baghdad’s ties with Tehran and Washington.

    June 11, 2026

    Additional Research & Commentary

    Backgrounders

    The Houthis
  • Backgrounder
  • The Houthis

    The Houthis are a political-military faction and Zaydi religious movement founded in northwestern Yemen in the 1980s. A key member of Iran’s Axis of Resistance with links to other militant organizations in the Arabian Peninsula and the Horn of Africa, the group has continued to pose a threat to Western interests on a global scale.

    May 15, 2026

    The Abraham Accords
    Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images
  • Backgrounder
  • The Abraham Accords

    This backgrounder provides an overview of how the Abraham Accords came about, the US interests involved, their economic and strategic consequences, and the prospects for further enlargement going forward.

    November 17, 2025

    Turkish Foreign Policy
  • Backgrounder
  • Turkish Foreign Policy

    After a decade of post-Arab Spring isolation, Turkey’s leaders have recognized that their ambition to position the country as an agenda-setter on the world stage requires active engagement in all directions. President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s consolidation of executive authority has centralized foreign policy decision-making and tied it to his domestic political priorities, transforming the country’s revisionist approach to one shaped primarily by personal and pragmatic interests.

    April 23, 2026

    Western Sahara: Why the conflict still matters
  • Video
  • Western Sahara: Why the conflict still matters

    As the Western Sahara conflict reaches its fifth decade, the territorial dispute remains unresolved and largely unknown. MEI’s Intissar Fakir unpacks the Western Sahara’s complex history and the rival claims by Morocco and the Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic. She examines recent developments, such as President Trump’s recognition of Moroccan sovereignty over the territory and the collapse of a 30-year cease-fire, as well as the core questions that remain unanswered after half a century.

    August 7, 2025

    Podcasts

    Middle East Focus

    MEI’s flagship weekly podcast on US foreign policy and contemporary political and social issues in the Middle East.

    Taking the Edge Off the Middle East

    MEI Senior Fellow Brian Katulis engages friends, colleagues, and policy experts in casual conversations on the most important happenings in the Middle East. 

    Rethinking Democracy

    MEI Senior Fellow Gonul Tol hosts leading scholars and thought leaders on global democracy trends and the state of the liberal international order. 

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    What do hardliner women make of Iran’s new government?
    Photo by Meghdad Madadi/ATPImages/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • What do hardliner women make of Iran’s new government?

    Women in higher positions within the Iranian state who are loyal to the system of the Islamic Republic and Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s leadership are dissatisfied with the new government under President Ebrahim Raisi, and especially with its composition. They had expressed their hopes that with women accounting for half of Iran’s population, they could be responsible for at least one of the ministries in the cabinet. Instead, Raisi’s government, approved by parliament at the end of August, is made up of conservatives and includes not a single woman. What impact is that likely to have on support among women who back the system? Will these women fight for greater political participation within the government or become disillusioned with it? And what consequences might that have for the Iranian state in the longer run?

    October 18, 2021

    The perils of personalizing power: Erdoğan’s one-man rule has made him increasingly vulnerable
    Photo by ADEM ALTAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The perils of personalizing power: Erdoğan’s one-man rule has made him increasingly vulnerable

    Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan long believed that establishing one-man rule would end all his headaches. Instead, the system he created has only caused him more trouble. So great is Erdoğan’s remorse that he is now said to be thinking of amending the executive presidency to strengthen the role of parliament.

    Making sense of the Beirut clashes
    Photo by Marwan Tahtah/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Making sense of the Beirut clashes

    Memories of the Lebanese civil war resurfaced this week as images appeared of children hiding in hallways and behind cars while deadly sectarian clashes unfolded outside their schools in Beirut’s Tayouneh neighborhood. Protests organized by Hezbollah and the Amal Movement to demand the removal of the judge investigating the August 2020 Beirut port blast quickly went south when as yet unidentified snipers opened fire on the crowds, eventually killing seven and wounding dozens. The “peaceful” protesters seemingly retaliated with gunfire and rocket-propelled grenades. The two sides turned Tayouneh and its surrounding areas into a war zone, terrorizing citizens and destroying property at a time of unprecedented socio-economic hardship.

    October 15, 2021

    حلقة 26: آراء من واشنطن – تشرين وانتخابات العراق
  • Video
  • حلقة 26: آراء من واشنطن – تشرين وانتخابات العراق

    أرسل الشباب العراقي رسالة حازمة في الانتخابات، وأعطت المقاعد العشرة جرعة من الأمل لحركة تشرين رغم تركيز عناوين الأخبار على المالكي والصدر. يستعرض إبراهيم الأصيل رأياً لحفصة حلاوة حول الانتخابات العراقية ونتائجها.

    October 15, 2021

    في جميع أنحاء المنطقة المغاربية، لا يزال الدعم منخفضًا لجميع الجهات الفاعلة الخارجية، بما في ذلك الصين وروسيا
  • Commentary
  • في جميع أنحاء المنطقة المغاربية، لا يزال الدعم منخفضًا لجميع الجهات الفاعلة الخارجية، بما في ذلك الصين وروسيا

    هذا المقال يأتي ضمن سلسلة من أربعة أجزاء نشرها معهد الشرق الأوسط بالتعاون مع الباروميتر العربي لتحليل نتائج الدورة السادسة من استطلاعات الباروميتر العربي.

    توقّف شبكة الكهرباء في لبنان
  • Commentary
  • توقّف شبكة الكهرباء في لبنان

    توقّفت شبكة الكهرباء اللبنانية عن العمل نهاية الأسبوع الماضي مع نفاذ الوقود في محطتي الطاقة الرئيسيتين في البلاد. توفر هاتان المحطتان، الزهراني ودير عمار، 45٪ من كهرباء لبنان من مؤسسة كهرباء لبنان المملوكة للدولة. التوقُّف هو الأحدث في سلسلة من الانقطاعات المتزايدة للشبكة واستخدام الحكومة للضغط العام لتقديم مزيد من المدفوعات المُسبَقة أو السُلف للمرفق المفلس ليتمكن من دفع ثمن واردات الوقود، وبالتالي الإبقاء على الوضع الراهن المستمر منذ 30 عامًا.

    October 14, 2021

    Century-old grievances continue to fester in Yemen’s Tihama region
    Photo by NABIL HASAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Century-old grievances continue to fester in Yemen’s Tihama region

    Grievances have been piling up unaddressed in Tihama, Yemen’s Red Sea coastal plain, for almost a hundred years. Since the revolt of al-Zaraniq against Imam Yahya Hameed al-Din of the Mutawakkilite Kingdom (then North Yemen) in 1925-26, consecutive Imams and the republican elite have pursued policies that have systematically marginalized the Tihamis. They have been deprived of a fair share of their region’s wealth, as well as opportunities for equitable power-sharing and economic empowerment.

    October 14, 2021

    Iran’s key demands for the revival of the JCPOA
    Photo by JOE KLAMAR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s key demands for the revival of the JCPOA

    Iran’s new conservative government under President Ebrahim Raisi has based its approach to the nuclear talks for the revival of the 2015 JCPOA on three key documents that lay out clear directives.

    October 14, 2021

    Cost of Conflict: An Analysis of the Costs of Russia’s Ongoing Hostilities in the Black Sea Region
    Photo by Oleksandr Rupeta/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Cost of Conflict: An Analysis of the Costs of Russia’s Ongoing Hostilities in the Black Sea Region

    Conflicts are enormously destructive. They destroy lives and property, uproot communities, and reduce the economic potential for all involved. This devastation often has an unaccounted cost, both in terms of the obvious direct destruction of lives and assets, as well as the indirect costs that weigh on economies, often for years to come. This is true of all conflicts, and has certainly been true, and visible, during Russia’s unjustified and illegal invasions of its neighbors, Georgia and Ukraine.

    The Schism of Jihadism in the Sahel: How Al-Qaeda and the Islamic State are Battling for Legitimacy in the Sahelian Context
    Photo by THOMAS SAMSON/AFP via Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • The Schism of Jihadism in the Sahel: How Al-Qaeda and the Islamic State are Battling for Legitimacy in the Sahelian Context

    This paper examines the prospects of jihadist expansion in the Sahel region and its implications for security actors and civilian populations alike. It investigates the role of propaganda and public discourse narratives in bolstering jihadist group legitimacy and advancing attempts by groups seeking to generate local embeddedness and mass support. It offers a nuanced perspective of inter-jihadist contestation, one that goes beyond mere focusing on security operations and clashes and delves more deeply into group framing and identity.

    October 13, 2021

    A view from the Hill: Congressional action targeting the MENA region, July-September 2021
    Photographer: Samuel Corum/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A view from the Hill: Congressional action targeting the MENA region, July-September 2021

    This article chronicles select congressional action concerning the MENA region during the third quarter of 2021. Congress introduced less legislation targeting the MENA region during the third quarter than in previous quarters this year. Yet, it made incremental progress on must-pass legislation and expressed strong interest in Afghanistan during this period.

    October 13, 2021

    Overcoming unemployment in Jordan: The need for evidence-based policies
    Photo by KHALIL MAZRAAWI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Overcoming unemployment in Jordan: The need for evidence-based policies

    In the last few years, it has become conventional wisdom that unemployment is Jordan’s most pressing challenge. While King Abdullah himself has stressed on many occasions that reducing unemployment is a top priority, the number of unemployed is still on the rise. This problem can be overcome with evidence-based active labor market policies, which are lacking in Jordan.

    October 13, 2021

    The humanitarian and human security crises in Afghanistan
    Photo by MARCUS YAM/LOS ANGELES TIMES/via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The humanitarian and human security crises in Afghanistan

    The concept of human security encompasses people-centric policies to protect individuals from insecurity that could pose threats to their survival and dignity. Traditional security systems support that protection and state institutions are responsible for enabling conditions for growth and development in a society. This article discusses the emerging characteristics of Taliban governance, the current state of human security in Afghanistan, and how these new conditions affect the protection of human security.

    October 12, 2021

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