Mohammad Hossein Ziya is a strategic consultant and researcher who is actively involved in political and social research, election analysis, and social media campaigns. He is originally from Iran and has served as the chief editor at Saham News (Iranian opposition leader Mehdi Karroubi’s news website) since 2010. He has previously advised many U.S. organizations on their policy and strategy towards Iran. Prior to moving to the United States, Mohammad managed and advised political campaigns for reformer candidates who succeeded and elected with large margins in the parliamentarian, municipality, and city council elections.
Istikharah or divination, according to Islamic definitions, means to seek goodness and to consult God in various affairs. Istikharah is very common among Shiites, including bibliomancy, which involves randomly opening the Qur’an and reading the first verse on the page, or rosary divination. The use of istikharah has a long history in Iran, not only among the common people, but also among its rulers, who have used it to make decisions on the governance of the country, and this continues to the present day.
Ebrahim Raisi, the eighth president of Iran, has taken over at a time when the Islamic Republic is facing a series of major potential crises. Over the next several decades, these crises could have consequences that will not only affect Iran itself, but may reverberate across the region as well. This article will address the 13 crises facing Raisi’s government and Iranian society more broadly.
Ayatollah Khamenei’s gamble and a green light for negotiations
As the U.S. prepares to head to the polls to choose its next president, Iran finds itself at a dead end. Hit hard by American sanctions and its own mismanagement of the economy, Tehran needs to negotiate with Washington to get out of its current economic crisis and shore up its waning popular legitimacy. With an eye to addressing these issues and mindful of the steady erosion of support for the government, President Hassan Rouhani has obtained permission from Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei to negotiate with the U.S. While the news has not yet been made public, Rouhani has told Ayatollah Khamenei that he will begin talks to reach an agreement with the winner of the upcoming election — regardless of who it is — and the Iranian leader has given his initial consent.
Following the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) took a different path than the rest of the financial world. As markets around the globe plunged, the TSE soared to new heights. There has been a recent reversal, however, with the index falling sharply from its peak in early August and losing around 20 percent of its value over the course of a month. The story of the TSE is about the extreme measures a desperate government is willing to take to make ends meet.
Iranian President Hassan Rouhani has faced many difficulties over the past few years, both at home and abroad. It seems likely that President Trump’s recent designation of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a foreign terrorist organization (FTO) may render Rouhani’s prospects even worse as domestic support for the organization grows.
