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Salam Kawakibi

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Iran and Africa: Why Tehran will boost its ties with the continent under the Raisi administration
Photo by Meghdad Madadi/ATPImages/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran and Africa: Why Tehran will boost its ties with the continent under the Raisi administration

    The inauguration of President Ebrahim Raisi has been heralded as the advent of a “New Iran” by the ultra-conservative camp. Although the Iranian authorities are still interested in the revival of the JCPOA, Raisi represents a resistance discourse that believes Iran has to focus on thwarting the sanctions instead of trying to lift them by means of political negotiations. The focal point of this worldview is the expansion of relations with non-Western countries, and Africa plays a central role in this effort.

    August 11, 2021

    هل تقضم بغداد أكثر مما تستطيع مضغه؟
    Photo by Murtadha Al-Sudani/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • هل تقضم بغداد أكثر مما تستطيع مضغه؟

    في 8 أغسطس/آب، سلَّم وزير الخارجية العراقي فؤاد حسين، عبر نظيره السعودي، دعوة من رئيس الوزراء مصطفى الكاظمي إلى العاهل السعودي الملك سلمان بن عبد العزيز آل سعود لحضور “قمة” لدول جوار العراق على مستوى القادة، والتي ستُعقد في نهاية هذا الشهر. في اليوم نفسه، وجَّه دعوة أخرى إلى الرئيس التركي رجب طيب أردوغان. لا شك أن الفكرة طموحة والصورة الأولى التي تتبادر إلى الذهن هي الاحتمال غير المرجح أن يجلس الملك سلمان والرئيس الإيراني الجديد المتشدد إبراهيم رئيسي، على جانبي الطاولة نفسها في بغداد.

    August 10, 2021

    After 18 years, Palestinian families can finally live together: The end of Israel’s 2003 citizenship law
    Photo by MENAHEM KAHANA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • After 18 years, Palestinian families can finally live together: The end of Israel’s 2003 citizenship law

    The expiration of Israel’s 2003 citizenship law early last month has finally ended the suffering of roughly 30,000 Palestinian families and paved the way for their reunification. Despite the efforts of the Zionist political parties to renew the law, the abstention from voting of the two Arab Palestinian Knesset members from the United Arab List — which, for the first time, is represented in Israel’s new coalition government — blocked the majority needed to extend the long-standing “temporary” law, which subsequently expired on July 6. While this is welcome news for many Palestinian families, the defeat of this notorious law is by no means a panacea. Until there is real change in Israel, Palestinians, both those who are citizens of Israel as well as those in the occupied territories, will continue to face legal obstacles when it comes to obtaining their basic rights.

    August 10, 2021

    The Tunisian president’s political capital is finite
    Photo by Tunisian Presidential Image/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Tunisian president’s political capital is finite

    President Kais Saied’s July 25 decisions to suspend parliament and the government appear to have been largely popular, despite sharp criticism from those denouncing them as a coup, unconstitutional, or a dangerous overstep of his authority. The mass celebrations in the streets that broke out immediately after his televised announcement — in spite of a nighttime curfew — are evidence of the popularity of his moves. Some polling since then, which although unclear in their methodology, also seem to indicate that large majorities approve of Saied’s measures — for now.

    August 10, 2021

    The Pro-Al Qaeda Indonesian Connection with HTS in Syria: Security Implications
    Indonesian Terrorism Links
  • Analysis
  • The Pro-Al Qaeda Indonesian Connection with HTS in Syria: Security Implications

    Despite being largely low-key and limited in nature, ties between pro-Al Qaeda jihadists operating in Indonesia and Syria respectively continue to exist. Recent activity involving Jemaah Islamiyah (JI) and other militant Indonesian groups illustrates the potential security risks from this nexus, which should not be overlooked.

    August 10, 2021

    The tyranny of low expectations
    Photo by Majid Saeedi/Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • The tyranny of low expectations

    Incoming Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi may break the mold of his predecessor by exceeding expectations in his first 100 days, but make no mistake—less horrific is still horrific; no one should be fooled.

    August 10, 2021

    Now more than ever, the US needs to reaffirm its commitment to Georgia
    Photo by VANO SHLAMOV/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Now more than ever, the US needs to reaffirm its commitment to Georgia

    As we near the 13th anniversary of the end of the Russia-Georgia war, we reflect on the continuing tragedy of Russia’s invasion and occupation of Georgia. The consequences of this Russian aggression continue to place a heavy burden on Georgia today. Since 2008, we have witnessed the country’s tremendous commitment to overcoming Russia’s malign influence. Georgians’ overwhelming and bipartisan support for the country’s path toward EU and NATO integration has not been diminished — despite continuous Russian pressure.

    August 9, 2021

    Move the US-Iraq relationship out of crisis mode
    Photo by Tom Brenner-Pool/Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Move the US-Iraq relationship out of crisis mode

    There were two parts to the Iraqi prime minister’s request to President Biden on July 26 in their meeting at the White House: end Washington’s combat mission in Iraq but maintain U.S. military assistance there. The first part was aimed mostly at Mustafa al-Kadhimi’s domestic audience; the roughly 2,500 U.S. troops in Iraq are there primarily to advise and assist the Iraqi army. But the second part deserves a bit of thought.  

    August 9, 2021

    Ebrahim Raisi and the future of Iran
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Ebrahim Raisi and the future of Iran

    Ebrahim Raisi was sworn in as Iran’s new president on August 5. Ali Alfoneh and Henry Rome join guest host Alex Vatanka, director of MEI’s Iran Program, to discuss the political and economic challenges the new president will contend with, his relationship to Ayatollah Khamenei, and the future of Iran and the country’s leadership.

    August 6, 2021

    A Comprehensive Review of the Effectiveness of US and EU Sanctions on Syria
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • A Comprehensive Review of the Effectiveness of US and EU Sanctions on Syria

    The subject of Western sanctions on Syria is a divisive one among analysts and policymakers interested in ending the misery of the country’s citizens. The division comes at a time when, more than ever, the country needs a comprehensive policy that ends the agony of most Syrians. This study assesses the effectiveness of the sanctions imposed on the regime of Bashar al-Assad by conducting a comprehensive review of their history, evaluating shortcomings in the current setup, and recommending ways to move forward.

    August 6, 2021

    Iran’s decision-makers must shoulder the blame for its water crisis
  • Commentary
  • Iran’s decision-makers must shoulder the blame for its water crisis

    Iran’s water bankruptcy has been in the news lately, prompting deadly protests in Khuzestan province that also garnered the attention of global media. But this kind of problem is neither new or unique in the country. Drying rivers, vanishing lakes, shrinking wetlands, declining groundwater levels, land subsidence, sinkholes, desertification, soil erosion, dust storms, air, water and waste pollution, biodiversity loss, deforestation and wildfires are among the other familiar signs of Iran’s environmental devastation.

    August 5, 2021

    A coup or not? What happened in Tunisia and what comes next?
  • Analysis
  • A coup or not? What happened in Tunisia and what comes next?

    The debate over what Saied did, while important because of the legal and political implications, obscures the way in which his actions are themselves an indication of how Tunisian democracy has not been working for Tunisians. And what Saied did is, in the short term, unlikely to yield the results Tunisia needs.

    Enabling US Security Cooperation
  • Commentary
  • Enabling US Security Cooperation

    One of US President Joe Biden’s top foreign-policy priorities is to rebuild America’s alliances and partnerships, which are vital to US strategic interests and international security. Yet to ‘pick up the pieces of Donald Trump’s broken foreign policy’, as Biden tweeted in January 2020, will require a great deal of effort given the harm that his predecessor inflicted on the country’s reputation as a partner of choice.

    August 4, 2021