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The Next Paradigm-Shattering Threat? Right-Sizing the Potential Impacts of Generative AI on Terrorism
Photo by Marijan Murat/picture alliance via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The Next Paradigm-Shattering Threat? Right-Sizing the Potential Impacts of Generative AI on Terrorism

    This Study analyzes how and to what extent terrorists and violent extremists have interacted with generative AI so far, identifies potential ways in which they could misuse generative AI in the future, and then contextualizes these threats with the likely broader impacts of generative AI. In doing so, the Study seeks to identify a likely trajectory for the abuse of this technology by terrorist actors as well as concludes with some initial recommendations for policymakers.

    March 18, 2024

    The devastating impact of Gaza’s acute and prolonged water crisis
    Photo by Majdi Fathi/NurPhoto via Getty Images
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  • The devastating impact of Gaza’s acute and prolonged water crisis

    The Gaza Strip faces a severe and worsening water crisis. With the death toll now above 31,000 and a catastrophic humanitarian crisis plaguing the strip, one of the most urgent challenges facing its residents is access to water.

    March 14, 2024

    Moving to a post-Khamenei era: Iran’s new rubber-stamp Assembly of Experts
    الصورة من مورتزا نيكوبزل/نورفوتو عبر غيتي إيمدجز
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  • Moving to a post-Khamenei era: Iran’s new rubber-stamp Assembly of Experts

    The results of the March 1 election for Iran’s Assembly of Experts hold great importance for understanding how the regime is preparing for the selection of the next supreme leader. The major responsibility of this 88-member body is to designate Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s successor, either after his death or if he becomes incapable of fulfilling his responsibilities.

    March 12, 2024

    Rebuilding Gaza: Navigating the politics of infrastructure
    MAHMUD HAMS/AFP via Getty Images
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  • Rebuilding Gaza: Navigating the politics of infrastructure

    The scale of rebuilding needed after the Gaza war, in addition to the difficult political questions involved, will require close international coordination as well as innovative, future-informed thinking.

    March 12, 2024

    The forgotten conflict
    Photo by AHMAD GHARABLI/AFP via Getty Images
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  • The forgotten conflict

    Since Oct. 7, the Israeli-Palestinian conflict has been at the center of international attention. This is in stark contrast to the situation in recent years, when the issue has been sidelined in the international discourse and the question of Israeli-Palestinian peacemaking has almost disappeared from the diplomatic agenda.

    March 11, 2024

    Amid war, resolving Lebanon-Israel territorial disputes unlikely
    Photo by JOSEPH EID/AFP via Getty Images
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  • Amid war, resolving Lebanon-Israel territorial disputes unlikely

    With Israel and Hezbollah on the brink of war, there have been ongoing diplomatic attempts to defuse tensions along the Israel-Lebanon border. Among the long-standing issues between the two countries are disagreements over their shared boundary. Asher Kaufman takes a closer look at these territorial disputes and how they came about, with a particular focus on the village of Ghajar at the center of the tension.

    March 8, 2024

    Biden's Gaza aid port plan: How did we get here and where might it lead?
    Photo by Ashraf Amra/Anadolu via Getty Images
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  • Biden's Gaza aid port plan: How did we get here and where might it lead?

    Since Oct. 7, humanitarian aid has been entering the Gaza Strip via land and air. Following US President Joe Biden’s State of the Union address on March 7, aid is also likely to enter via the sea, under an emergency US mission to establish a temporary pier on the Gaza coast that can receive large shipments of food, water, medicine, and temporary shelters.

    March 8, 2024

    Women’s rights under the Taliban: The socio-economic consequences of political exclusion
    Photo by OMER ABRAR / AFP
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  • Women’s rights under the Taliban: The socio-economic consequences of political exclusion

    One of the first things the Taliban did after capturing power in August 2021 was to abolish the Afghan Ministry of Women’s Affairs and re-establish the Ministry for the Propagation of Virtue and the Prevention of Vice. The environment within which Afghan girls and women had found avenues of employment, education, and empowerment over the previous two decades had been lost. Many families now had to deal with acute poverty, mental health issues, and even suicides.

    March 7, 2024

    A report card on women’s integration into Arab militaries
    Photo by Yassine Gaidi/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
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  • A report card on women’s integration into Arab militaries

    A look at what Arab countries have done to implement the year 2000 UN Security Council resolution on women, peace, and security, especially in terms of increasing women’s presence in the armed forces.

    March 6, 2024

    As Western options narrow, Yemen's anti-Houthi forces vie for US military support
    Photo by KHALED ZIAD/AFP via Getty Images
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  • As Western options narrow, Yemen's anti-Houthi forces vie for US military support

    In recent weeks, Yemen’s main anti-Houthi leaders have increasingly been sending the same message to the US, urging it to provide support in the fight against the Houthis on the ground. The provision of military assistance is still hypothetical but seems more and more plausible given developments in Yemen, triggered by the Houthis’ continuing attacks on maritime shipping in the Red Sea.

    March 6, 2024

    Moving to a post-Khamenei era: Cutthroat competition within the supreme leader’s office
    Photo by Iranian Leader Press Office / Handout/Anadolu via Getty Images
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  • Moving to a post-Khamenei era: Cutthroat competition within the supreme leader’s office

    In discussions on Iran’s future in a post-Khamenei era, one crucial player in the transition to a new supreme leader is often overlooked: the inner circle surrounding Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, primarily operating within the framework of the Office of the Supreme Leader.

    February 29, 2024

    Polling suggests Iran’s 2024 parliamentary election will see record low turnout
    الصورة من مورتزا نيكوبزل/نورفوتو عبر غيتي إيمدجز
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  • Polling suggests Iran’s 2024 parliamentary election will see record low turnout

    Findings from the latest survey on Iran from Stasis Consulting: Turnout in the March 1 parliamentary election is expected to be a record low of 34%, the majority of Iranians disapprove of President Raisi’s job performance as well as that of the parliament (65% and 61%, respectively), and in a hypothetical face-off between President Raisi and former FM Zarif, Mr. Raisi wins out 30% to 16%.

    February 29, 2024

    Are Iran and Turkey on a collision course over West Azerbaijan?
    الصورة من ATTA KENARE/AFP عبر Getty Images
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  • Are Iran and Turkey on a collision course over West Azerbaijan?

    Over the centuries, Iran and Turkey have engaged in an ebbing and flowing, but continual, rivalry for regional influence and supremacy. Yet such potentially escalatory dynamics have not been limited to geopolitical competition by proxy; they have also spilled over into efforts to meddle in each other’s internal affairs.

    February 27, 2024

    Maintaining the best thing the US built in Iraq: Continued support to the Iraqi Counterterrorism Service
    Photo by AHMAD AL-RUBAYE/AFP via Getty Images
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  • Maintaining the best thing the US built in Iraq: Continued support to the Iraqi Counterterrorism Service

    As the US engages in a dialogue with the Iraqi government over the future of the coalition forces combating the Islamic State, Washington must ensure a continued relationship between the US Special Operations Forces and the Iraqi Counterterrorism Service.