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Research & Commentary

Read in-depth research, analysis, and commentary from MEI’s fellows and experts on the Middle East. 

Iran: What’s Next for US Policy as the Region Seeks to Move On
  • Analysis
  • Iran: What’s Next for US Policy as the Region Seeks to Move On

    As the US and Iran move to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, the war’s real lesson lies in how Gulf states rapidly adapted — building pipelines, ports, and rail to bypass the chokepoint. Washington should seize this momentum, pursuing a “long game” of regional connectivity that serves shared security and economic interests.

    Russia’s Taliban Embrace Signals a New Power Shift in Afghanistan
  • Commentary
  • Russia’s Taliban Embrace Signals a New Power Shift in Afghanistan

    Sometimes the only thing more frightening than Afghanistan’s problems is the Taliban’s solutions and the recently signed Russia-Taliban military-technical agreement may be the most alarming one yet. The partnership signals that Afghanistan’s security architecture is being rebuilt without the United States, and increasingly by America’s rivals. Washington should pay close attention because the deal hands one of the world’s most repressive regimes a pathway to becoming more capable and deeply entrenched in a regional order where Russian influence is expanding at America’s expense.

    Attacked by All Sides Iraq’s New Government Faces Old Problems
  • Podcast
  • Attacked by All Sides Iraq’s New Government Faces Old Problems

    After months of deadlock following the November 2025 elections, Iraq’s parliament approved a new government under Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi on May 14, 2026 — just as the country has become a battleground in the US-Israel-Iran war. Zaidi inherits a daunting brief: reviving a struggling economy, reining in armed factions, and steering Iraq through a perilous regional landscape. Dr. Renad Mansour, deputy director of the Middle East and North Africa Programme and director of the Iraq Initiative at Chatham House, joins host Alistair Taylor to discuss the war’s impact on Iraq — from Iran’s militia networks to the surge of attacks on the Kurdistan region — and how it’s reshaping Baghdad’s ties with Tehran and Washington.

    June 11, 2026

    Additional Research & Commentary

    Backgrounders

    The Houthis
  • Backgrounder
  • The Houthis

    The Houthis are a political-military faction and Zaydi religious movement founded in northwestern Yemen in the 1980s. A key member of Iran’s Axis of Resistance with links to other militant organizations in the Arabian Peninsula and the Horn of Africa, the group has continued to pose a threat to Western interests on a global scale.

    May 15, 2026

    The Abraham Accords
    Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images
  • Backgrounder
  • The Abraham Accords

    This backgrounder provides an overview of how the Abraham Accords came about, the US interests involved, their economic and strategic consequences, and the prospects for further enlargement going forward.

    November 17, 2025

    Turkish Foreign Policy
  • Backgrounder
  • Turkish Foreign Policy

    After a decade of post-Arab Spring isolation, Turkey’s leaders have recognized that their ambition to position the country as an agenda-setter on the world stage requires active engagement in all directions. President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s consolidation of executive authority has centralized foreign policy decision-making and tied it to his domestic political priorities, transforming the country’s revisionist approach to one shaped primarily by personal and pragmatic interests.

    April 23, 2026

    Western Sahara: Why the conflict still matters
  • Video
  • Western Sahara: Why the conflict still matters

    As the Western Sahara conflict reaches its fifth decade, the territorial dispute remains unresolved and largely unknown. MEI’s Intissar Fakir unpacks the Western Sahara’s complex history and the rival claims by Morocco and the Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic. She examines recent developments, such as President Trump’s recognition of Moroccan sovereignty over the territory and the collapse of a 30-year cease-fire, as well as the core questions that remain unanswered after half a century.

    August 7, 2025

    Podcasts

    Middle East Focus

    MEI’s flagship weekly podcast on US foreign policy and contemporary political and social issues in the Middle East.

    Taking the Edge Off the Middle East

    MEI Senior Fellow Brian Katulis engages friends, colleagues, and policy experts in casual conversations on the most important happenings in the Middle East. 

    Rethinking Democracy

    MEI Senior Fellow Gonul Tol hosts leading scholars and thought leaders on global democracy trends and the state of the liberal international order. 

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    Baghdad, Beirut, and the politics of Lebanon’s power crisis
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Baghdad, Beirut, and the politics of Lebanon’s power crisis

    On July 24, Beirut and Baghdad signed a governmental framework agreement under which Iraq pledged 1 million tons of heavy fuel oil to Lebanon over a full year.

    September 7, 2021

    Russia and the digital Middle East: An old game made new?
    Photo by Alexei DruzhininTASS via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Russia and the digital Middle East: An old game made new?

    For over a decade, Russia’s immediate neighborhood has been subject to the vagaries of the Kremlin’s cyber operations. Russia has effectively used cyberspace to advance its adversarial goals, be it through combining cyberattacks with military action during its war with Georgia, or targeting essential power grids in Ukraine. Advancing its cyber capabilities has enabled Russia to reassert its status as a superpower and hit targets anywhere in the world. In recent years, as the use of social media grew, the information war in cyberspace became the Kremlin’s primary tool for discrediting its perceived archenemy: “The West.” The Middle East, with its increasing dependence on social media for news, has also fallen prey to Moscow’s disinformation campaigns. Russia’s main disinformation narratives in the region stem from its Soviet-inherited superpower complex and its broader strategic imperatives on the international stage. 

    September 7, 2021

    The state of Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • The state of Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula

    Elisabeth Kendall and Nadwa al-Dawsari join Charles Lister to discuss Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) and its place in Yemen’s persistent internal conflict.

    September 7, 2021

    Iran’s President Raisi takes over a ruined country
    Photo by Fatemeh Bahrami/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s President Raisi takes over a ruined country

    On Aug. 25, Iran’s parliament voted on the cabinet of its new president, Ebrahim Raisi, approving 18 out of the 19 ministers put forward. Raisi’s government is full of revolutionaries likely to adopt a hardline approach to domestic and international affairs, leading to heightened geopolitical risk and potentially prolonging the country’s economic crisis.

    September 7, 2021

    Morocco's “first in North Africa” electric car production is a European manufacturing gain over China
    Photo by FADEL SENNA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Morocco's “first in North Africa” electric car production is a European manufacturing gain over China

    In an automotive first for North Africa, German automaker Opel will soon begin producing electric cars in Morocco. Opel’s electric car manufacturing in Kénitra leapfrogs China’s plan to build electric cars in Egypt, giving Morocco’s automotive industry an important first-mover advantage. The move also represents a strategic gain for European automotive manufacturing over China. As a gateway to West Africa, Morocco provides Opel and its parent company Stellantis a nearby production base for the eventual cost-effective export of electric vehicles to rapidly expanding markets in Sub-Saharan Africa.

    Raisi and the Revolutionary Guards
  • Commentary
  • Raisi and the Revolutionary Guards

    Under President Ebrahim Raisi, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) is poised to exert greater control over Iran’s national security agenda and economy. Several of his ministers and advisors were members of the IRGC or have connections to it.

    After Afghanistan: What’s next for Pakistan and the US?
    Photo by AAMIR QURESHI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • After Afghanistan: What’s next for Pakistan and the US?

    The evacuation crisis precipitated by the Taliban’s swift takeover of Afghanistan following the rapid withdrawal of American troops may further widen the divide between Pakistan and the United States. The Aug. 26 terror attack at Kabul airport claimed by Islamic State-Khorasan Province (ISKP), ISIS’s local affiliate, is a clear manifestation of Washington’s epic defeat in the two-decade-long “war on terror” and a sign that President Joe Biden is losing his grip on the Afghan narrative.

    September 2, 2021

    Islamic State Under-Reporting in Central Syria: Misdirection, Misinformation, or Miscommunication?
  • Analysis
  • Islamic State Under-Reporting in Central Syria: Misdirection, Misinformation, or Miscommunication?

    The central media apparatus of the Islamic State group is mis-reporting on the activities of its cells in central Syria. Rather than exaggerating their capabilities, something that it is conventionally assumed to be doing all the time, its Central Media Diwan appears either to be deliberately under-playing them, or, less likely, to be unaware of their full extent, possibly due to communication issues.

    September 2, 2021

    Jihadi Recruitment and Return: Asian Threat and Response
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • Jihadi Recruitment and Return: Asian Threat and Response

    The large number of foreign fighters joining ISIS is reminiscent of the flow of volunteers who joined the Afghan jihad against the Soviet occupation in the 1980s. At that time, many young Muslims from Southeast Asia traveled to Pakistan to support the Afghan mujahideen. Some of them returned to their countries of origin to establish extremist groups, most notably Jemaah Islamiyah.

    September 2, 2021

    What’s driving the escalating tensions between Algeria and Morocco?
    Photo by RYAD KRAMDI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • What’s driving the escalating tensions between Algeria and Morocco?

    On Aug. 24 Algeria broke off its already minimal bilateral relations with Morocco, declaring this was due to the kingdom’s “hostile actions” and accusing it of involvement in the wildfires that struck the Kabylia region earlier that month. The heightened tension between the two countries brings into focus regional uncertainty and may spell the end of their limited collaboration in the energy sector.

    In Afghanistan, the Gulf Arab states stepped up
    Photo by Jimmie Baker/U.S. Army via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • In Afghanistan, the Gulf Arab states stepped up

    We rarely miss an opportunity to criticize our Gulf Arab partners — sometimes rightly so — for not doing enough to safeguard collective interests. But one must acknowledge that on Afghanistan, and especially our just-completed exit from the country, most of our Gulf Arab partners absolutely shined. They deserve a ton of credit for the role they played in our large, challenging, and deadly evacuation — a role which was nothing short of indispensable.

    September 1, 2021

    A Case Study in Irregular Warfare
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • A Case Study in Irregular Warfare

    Mick Mulroy and Ken Tovo join host Alistair Taylor to discuss their recent paper on how US intelligence and military operatives effectively collaborated with local Kurdish partners in Northern Iraq in the early 2000s, why it was a successful partnership, and what lessons it may provide for future operations. The paper, “Irregular Warfare: A Case Study in CIA and US Army Special Forces Operations in Northern Iraq, 2002-03,” is available now on MEI’s website.

    September 1, 2021

    The CIA Is Better Than the U.S. Military at Creating Foreign Armies
  • Commentary
  • The CIA Is Better Than the U.S. Military at Creating Foreign Armies

    The failure of the Afghan army is a reminder that Pentagon-led security cooperation programs are more expensive and less effective than those led by spies.

    September 1, 2021

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