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Great Powers in the Middle East

China: From Access to Exposure
  • Analysis
  • China: From Access to Exposure

    The conventional framing of China’s role in the Middle East in policy discourse centers on a familiar question: what challenge does Beijing pose to US primacy? The answer is often framed as a largely linear story in which expanding economic influence gradually translates into geopolitical leverage.  Yet this view captures only part of the reality.

    The War That Followed Europe Home
  • Analysis
  • The War That Followed Europe Home

    Europe did not choose the war with Iran, and most European governments still resist describing themselves as participants in it. But six months of military basing, missile-defense drawdowns, energy shocks, sanctions pressure and planning for possible migration crisis have made that distance harder to sustain.

    Xi Jinping’s Cultural Diplomacy in Cairo
  • Commentary
  • Xi Jinping’s Cultural Diplomacy in Cairo

    When President Xi Jinping arrived in Cairo this week for his first state visit to Egypt in a decade, trade, investment and geopolitics were inevitably high on the agenda. But Xi also made something else unusually prominent: culture.

    September 9, 2026

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    Iran, Turkey, and the future of the South Caucasus
    Photo by Fatih Aktas/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran, Turkey, and the future of the South Caucasus

    Since late September 2021, Tehran and Baku have engaged in a process of de-escalation, largely focused on economic cooperation and regional transportation links. Such efforts should be welcomed, but underlying geopolitical tensions, especially the Iranian-Turkish competition for influence in the South Caucasus, can still derail them at any moment.

    How can Putin save face in Russia?
    Photo by YEVGENY BIYATOV/Sputnik/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • How can Putin save face in Russia?

    As the conventional war in Ukraine continues and military operations intensify, Russian President Vladimir Putin is wrestling with the need to maintain his fight in Ukraine while demonstrating to the Russian people that he is winning in the following three key areas: land, security, and identity.

    May 3, 2022

    The digital Middle East: Another front in Russia’s information war
  • Analysis
  • The digital Middle East: Another front in Russia’s information war

    The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, long a target of the Kremlin’s information operations, is being flooded with disinformation from Moscow amid the invasion of Ukraine launched on February 24. Prior to the war, Russia’s President Vladimir Putin gave a lengthy history lesson in his televised speech, claiming that Ukraine was created by Bolshevik Russia, and that it should not exist as an autonomous nation. This conflict has already taken an immense human toll and triggered the largest intra-European refugee crisis since the Second World War. And yet the human impact of the war, the full implications of which remain to be seen, extends beyond the physical world into the virtual realm. As missiles strike Ukrainian cities, a parallel war is being fought online — not only in Russia and Ukraine, but around the world, as the Russian state strives to disseminate its messaging. On the home front, Putin has successfully quarantined his people within an information vacuum through unprecedented crackdowns. In addition to Twitter, Facebook and Instagram, the Kremlin has blocked access to the most popular independent media outlets, forcing hundreds of journalists to flee the country. In response, EU officials have banned content from the Russian-state-owned media outlets Russia Today (RT) and Sputnik across the European Union.

    April 19, 2022

    The Parallels of Ukraine and Syria
  • Podcast
  • The Parallels of Ukraine and Syria

    Iulia-Sabina Joja and Charles Lister discuss the parallels between the wars in Ukraine and Syria, the similarities of Russia’s tactics in both conflicts, and what the recent history in Syria may signal for Ukraine in the months ahead.

    April 1, 2022

    Ways forward for the war in Ukraine
    Ethan Swope/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Ways forward for the war in Ukraine

    Fearing war fatigue in Ukraine or an escalation of tensions with the potential to spill over beyond region, the West is keen to act. But what can the EU and NATO do to help resolve the war in Ukraine?

    March 24, 2022

    Iran Needs a Cushion, and Europe Needs Gas
  • Commentary
  • Iran Needs a Cushion, and Europe Needs Gas

    The Russian invasion of Ukraine has been a watershed moment on so many levels for so many countries. Existing political, economic, energy, and transportation channels are being affected across western Eurasia. Countries are maneuvering to minimize the war’s detrimental impact while new trade synergies are being formed at a rapid pace. Most recently, Germany and Qatar signed a long-term energy partnership for the delivery of Qatari natural gas as the Germans look to reduce dependence on Russian supplies. Qatar’s reserves are located in the world’s largest gas field, which it shares with its northern neighbor, Iran.

    Sanctions won’t move Putin — we must bolster Ukraine’s air defenses
  • Commentary
  • Sanctions won’t move Putin — we must bolster Ukraine’s air defenses

    Attempts at deterrence by sanctions have failed. The question now is: Does the West expect sanctions to change Russian President Vladimir Putin’s actions? We think not — and the world should have given up years ago on expecting them to dissuade him.

    March 7, 2022

    Connecting Beijing’s global infrastructure: The PEACE Cable in the Middle East and North Africa
     Photo by AMELIE HERENSTEIN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Connecting Beijing’s global infrastructure: The PEACE Cable in the Middle East and North Africa

    One of the most ambitious elements of China’s Digital Silk Road is the Pakistan & East Africa Connecting Europe (PEACE) fiber-optic cable. China has long expressed its ambition to connect the greater Middle East, Africa, and Europe with Chinese fiber optics in order to expand its presence in the region, and Beijing now boasts strategic infrastructure assets in geopolitical hotspots, such as the Pakistani port of Gwadar.

    March 7, 2022

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