What a celebration it was in winter, when Germany’s Chancellor Olaf Scholz delivered his “Zeitenwende” speech. A transformation of German foreign policy was afoot; the leader of a party addicted to détente suddenly promised $100 billion for defense. But Scholz made his pledge only three days into the Russia-Ukraine war, and no one in Germany or elsewhere, for that matter, expected the conflict to drag on.
Now, six months into Russia’s invasion, the Germans are jittery. Winter is coming. Anxiety over inflation and talk of recession are in the air. Watch for the German Chancellery to support phony peace plans and partition of Ukraine if Russian President Vladimir Putin suddenly sues for peace.
If Berlin abandons the Ukrainian cause, we have a transatlantic nightmare. The Biden administration must help stiffen its backbone.
Germany has already been dragging its feet on military aid for Kyiv. Since Scholz’s February speech, the term “Scholzing” has become a common expression in Ukraine: It means promising something repeatedly without delivering on the promise.
Photo by Carsten Koall/Getty Images
معهد الشرق الأوسط (MEI) هو منظمة تعليمية مستقلة وغير حزبية وغير ربحية. لا يشارك المعهد في أي أنشطة دعوية، وآراء الباحثين فيه تعبر عن آرائهم الشخصية. يرحب المعهد بالتبرعات المالية، لكنه يحتفظ بالسيطرة التحريرية الكاملة على أعماله، ولا تعكس منشوراته سوى آراء المؤلفين. للاطلاع على قائمة المتبرعين للمعهد، يرجى النقر هنا.
Attacked by All Sides Iraq’s New Government Faces Old Problems