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Guita Hourani

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Alliance: Lebanon needs “Change” and “Opposition” to work together
Photo by Houssam Shbaro/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Alliance: Lebanon needs “Change” and “Opposition” to work together

    “Change” is an economics-driven pursuit for local accountability and social justice, and “Opposition” is a politically focused mission with geopolitics at its heart. “Change” cannot reform the system on its own, and “Opposition” cannot challenge regional considerations alone. Together, however, they potentially hold a narrow majority — 65 seats, combined — against the 63 belonging to a Hezbollah-led coalition. And there is an opportunity, today, to bring these two movements together through a parliamentary alliance.

    November 28, 2022

    Eight billion and counting, for now
    Photo by Gehad Hamdy/picture alliance via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Eight billion and counting, for now

    The starkness of reaching 8 billion in global population, as the U.N.’s report announced last week, makes it easy to think the numerical increase is the only story, but no trend can be considered in isolation. Three factors, none of which are MENA demographic trends, will be significant determinants of whether the region will be able to realize a hoped-for “demographic dividend.”

    November 21, 2022

    Iranians need more than condemnation in Geneva; they want recognition of their right to democracy
    Photo by Mykhaylo Palinchak/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Iranians need more than condemnation in Geneva; they want recognition of their right to democracy

    As the U.N. Human Rights Council convenes in Geneva this week, it may be tempting to just focus on the rights of women and girls and make demands of the regime that Tehran will inevitably ignore. But instead, the HRC members should focus on how the international community can give the protesters a much-needed psychological and political boost.

    November 21, 2022

    US priorities in Sudan: Stability or democracy?
    Photo by ASHRAF SHAZLY/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • US priorities in Sudan: Stability or democracy?

    Sudan is geostrategically important to U.S. interests in both Africa and the Middle East. The country’s military rulers, Lt.-Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and his deputy Lt.-Gen. Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo (also known as “Hemedti”), are banking on that fact as they seek to press the Biden administration to focus its Sudan policy on stability, rather than supporting calls for democracy.

    November 21, 2022

    The Israeli election results are not a seismic shift — it’s worse than that
    Photographer: Kobi Wolf/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Israeli election results are not a seismic shift — it’s worse than that

    Over the years, recognition of clear, long-term, and structural developments in how the Jewish Israeli electorate votes has been neglected, glossed over, or lost behind reactions to electoral cycles. And the pro/anti-Netanyahu paradigm — which routinely serves as a crude substitute for “right” versus “left” — has helped delay a reckoning and a fork in the road for a host of constituencies.

    November 17, 2022

    Up for debate again: Politics and the headscarf in Turkey
    Erhan Demirtas/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Up for debate again: Politics and the headscarf in Turkey

    On Sept. 30, 2013, then Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdoğan announced what he termed a “democratization package,” which lifted the decades-old ban on women wearing headscarves in many state institutions. A month later, when four female MPs wearing headscarves walked into the Turkish parliament, many thought the long-running controversy on the issue was finally over. But the headscarf recently returned to the center of the Turkish political debate when the leader of the main secularist opposition party, Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu, announced that he would introduce legislation to protect that right.

    فهم المنطق خلف عنف النظام السوري
    Photo by LOUAI BESHARA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • فهم المنطق خلف عنف النظام السوري

    على الرغم من التوثيق الجيد لاضطهاد الدولة السورية وعنفها ضد السكان من خلال الكم الهائل من شهادات الضحايا طوال النزاع المسلح الذي استمر أكثر من ١١ عامًا في عموم البلد، يبقى المنطق خلف هذا العنف مفهوماً بشكل أقل – من هم المستهدفين من قبل النظام وما هي الأضرار الناتجة هذا الاستهداف؟ ولماذا يستمر العنف والاضطهاد ضد بعض الجماعات حتى بعد انخفاض الأعمال العدائية المباشرة، أو حتى بعد لجوء هذه الجماعات خارج البلاد؟

    Understanding the logic behind the Syrian regime’s violence
    LOUAI BESHARA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Understanding the logic behind the Syrian regime’s violence

    The Syrian state’s persecution of the population has been well documented throughout the country’s more than 11-year conflict. Less well understood is the logic behind the violence — who the regime targets and why they inflict such harm. Why do violence and persecution continue against some groups, even after a reduction in immediate conflict hostilities or when they now live as refugees outside of the country?