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Can Turkey’s Opposition Fight Back?
  • Podcast
  • Can Turkey’s Opposition Fight Back?

    A Turkish court has taken a dramatic step that could reshape the country’s political landscape. It annulled the results of the CHP’s 2023 party congress, effectively overturning the election of Özgür Özel as leader of Turkey’s main opposition party and potentially paving the way for former chairman Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu to return.

    The Collapse of ISIS in Syria
  • Analysis
  • The Collapse of ISIS in Syria

    ISIS appears to have collapsed in Syria in the wake of the SDF’s military defeat and subsequent integration, followed by the withdrawal of US troops. To the extent that the US prioritizes the group’s enduring defeat in the country, a relationship centered in Damascus is the best way to achieve it.

    Pause, Not Peace: The Iran Ceasefire Framework
  • Commentary
  • Pause, Not Peace: The Iran Ceasefire Framework

    A tentative U.S.–Iran memorandum of understanding appeared close to completion in late May, but Iran’s decision to suspend indirect talks over Israel’s expanding operations in Lebanon has thrown the process into uncertainty. What had looked like an emerging framework now appears less a pathway to settlement than a reminder of how fragile the ceasefire remains.

    Russia’s Wartime Support for Iran
    Photo by ANONYMOUS/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images
  • Policy Memo
  • Russia’s Wartime Support for Iran

    Although Russia has not directly intervened in the US-Israeli war with Iran, the conflict has underscored the nature and extent of its strategic partnership with the Islamic Republic. The Russia-Iran axis poses a real threat to the US and its allies; it demands a coherent and resolute response. 

    The Impact of the Iran War on the Gulf’s Grand AI Plans
    Photo by Ryan Lim / AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Impact of the Iran War on the Gulf’s Grand AI Plans

    When Iranian drone strikes hit two of Amazon’s data centers in the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain in early March, amid the ongoing US-Israeli war with Iran, much of the media’s reflex was to declare it the end of the Gulf’s artificial intelligence (AI) ambitions. That read is misguided, and it misses why what Iran was trying to accomplish failed.

    Syria’s New Investment Law and the Return of State-Mediated Market Access
  • Analysis
  • Syria’s New Investment Law and the Return of State-Mediated Market Access

    As Syria moves toward reconstruction, the country’s new authorities have already made a consequential decision about who will control the postwar economy. Last June, President Ahmed al-Sharaa enacted Investment Law 114 by presidential decree, granting sweeping and permanent concessions to investors. Yet rather than make those incentives broadly accessible, the law preserves the country’s longstanding model of state-mediated market access.

    May 21, 2026

    Beyond the Strait of Hormuz: How War Is Redrawing Trade Routes—and Elevating Pakistan
  • Commentary
  • Beyond the Strait of Hormuz: How War Is Redrawing Trade Routes—and Elevating Pakistan

    Pakistan is not merely reacting to the current phase of the 2026 Iran war; it is functioning as a system-adjusting intermediary within a rapidly reordering regional landscape. As established channels of diplomacy, trade, and financial coordination have fractured under wartime pressure, Islamabad has emerged as a critical node through which regional and extra-regional actors are progressively rerouting engagement, commerce, and influence.

    How Israel-Backed Sweida Became Syria’s Narcotics Capital
  • Commentary
  • How Israel-Backed Sweida Became Syria’s Narcotics Capital

    In the early hours of Sunday, May 3, Jordanian F-16 fighter jets crossed into Syrian airspace and launched strikes on at least six locations in the southern province of Sweida. In a statement issued hours later, Jordan’s military said that “Operation Jordanian Deterrence” had targeted “factories, facilities and warehouses used by trafficking groups as launch points for smuggling operations into Jordan.”

    The Houthis
  • Backgrounder
  • The Houthis

    The Houthis are a political-military faction and Zaydi religious movement founded in northwestern Yemen in the 1980s. A key member of Iran’s Axis of Resistance with links to other militant organizations in the Arabian Peninsula and the Horn of Africa, the group has continued to pose a threat to Western interests on a global scale.

    May 15, 2026

    Agile Power: The UAE’s External Policy in an Era of Fragmentation
  • Research & Commentary
  • Agile Power: The UAE’s External Policy in an Era of Fragmentation

    The external policy of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) is increasingly shaped by systemic fragmentation, regional insecurity, and shifting patterns of great-power engagement. In response, Abu Dhabi has moved away from reliance on fixed alignments toward a strategy of strategic diversification across security, economic, and technological domains.

    The Far Reach of the Iran War: Food Insecurity from North Africa to the Sahel
  • Policy Memo
  • The Far Reach of the Iran War: Food Insecurity from North Africa to the Sahel

    Within weeks of the Strait of Hormuz closure, fertilizer prices began to rise sharply. Tanker traffic through the strait, which handles one-third of the global fertilizer trade, fell by 90%. Across North Africa the impacts are multiplying, and this is having ripple effects for the Sahel in the south, adding to food price inflation, migration pressures, and the erosion of state legitimacy. The situation underscores how food security is a governance issue compounded by geopolitical crisis.