This text has been translated by AI and may contain errors.
Skip to Content

Analysis

Filter by
5993 Results
The Houthis: Iran’s Bargaining Chip With Washington
  • Analysis
  • The Houthis: Iran’s Bargaining Chip With Washington

    As Washington scrambled to contain the consequences of the Houthis’ dramatic advance along Yemen’s Red Sea coast last week, US Vice President JD Vance confirmed US media reports that the Trump administration was “engaged in direct conversations with the Houthis.”

    The Legacy of Morocco’s Gen Z Protests: Development as the New Political Language
  • Analysis
  • The Legacy of Morocco’s Gen Z Protests: Development as the New Political Language

    Moroccans head to the polls on September 23 in a parliamentary election that is meant to formally close the chapter opened during last year’s Gen Z 212 protests. The demonstrations, which erupted almost exactly a year ago, drew attention to the mismatch that exists between Morocco’s economic and geopolitical ambitions, and the stark reality of its lagging domestic development.

    Turkey’s Nuclear Ambitions in the Post-Iran War Environment
  • Analysis
  • Turkey’s Nuclear Ambitions in the Post-Iran War Environment

    Turkish ambitions to develop nuclear weapons are not new, but the changing security environment is strengthening Ankara’s motivations and rationale for moving away from its longstanding role as a champion of nonproliferation and toward a strategy of preserving the option to build nuclear weapons without actually pursuing them. The challenge for Washington is to manage the nuclear trajectory of regional powers such as Turkey and Saudi Arabia rather than preventing them from acquiring greater nuclear capabilities altogether.

    North Africa: Connectivity Without Resilience
  • Analysis
  • North Africa: Connectivity Without Resilience

    North African governments have sought to remain outside the US-Iran conflict, regardless of their differing alignments and preferences. Geography insulates them from the fighting, but not from the consequences. That duality is the region’s predicament: what makes North Africa useful to others is what leaves it exposed.

    Iran’s New War Cabinet Is Really an Old One
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s New War Cabinet Is Really an Old One

    Within 48 hours this week, Iran filled six of the most important posts in its battered military and security establishment. Read together with the biographies and mandates behind them, the appointments show how Tehran is drawing lessons from successive wars and preparing for a prolonged period of insecurity, without proving it has abandoned negotiation.

    Washington’s War, Tehran’s Waiting Game
  • Analysis
  • Washington’s War, Tehran’s Waiting Game

    In an August 9 interview with Axios, when asked about the endless swings of the Iran standoff, he shrugged it off as familiar territory. “It’ll work out in the end. It always does. It’s like a chess game.”

    Behind the rhetoric sat a harder fact.

    A Credit Strategy for Syria’s Reconstruction
  • Analysis
  • A Credit Strategy for Syria’s Reconstruction

    With sanctions repealed, Syrian policymakers must ensure that growing volumes of credit reach beyond the narrow political and commercial networks that have generally dominated Syrian finance. That will require a credit strategy aimed at sectors and regions historically excluded from formal finance. Syria’s specialized state banks offer an imperfect but ready-made mechanism to do so.

    August 13, 2026

    The “Anti-Strategic President” Needs to Revive a Policy Process to Resolve Iran
  • Analysis
  • The “Anti-Strategic President” Needs to Revive a Policy Process to Resolve Iran

    President Donald Trump’s disdain for strategy extends to process: mass National Security Council firings and reliance on a tiny circle of advisors have left the interagency policy process dormant amid the Iran war. The result is improvised, damaging moves like the Strait of Hormuz toll scheme. Reviving a professional, deliberative policy process is essential.

    Beyond Ports: China’s Digital Networks of Influence in the Middle East and Africa
  • Analysis
  • Beyond Ports: China’s Digital Networks of Influence in the Middle East and Africa

    For more than a decade, assessments of Chinese strategy in the Middle East and Africa have focused on assets, including the ports Chinese firms own, the pipelines they finance, and the networks they build. This lens has produced familiar maps of Chinese “footholds” and debates over future military bases, but ownership alone reveals less about influence.

    The more useful question is not what China owns, but how Chinese firms become embedded in the operational and digital systems that keep trade corridors moving. Influence derives not from controlling infrastructure outright but from participating in the governance of the networks that move goods, data, finance, and information across them.

    Iran’s New Grand Design: The Next Evolution of the Axis of Resistance
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s New Grand Design: The Next Evolution of the Axis of Resistance

    Iran is transforming its Axis of Resistance into a decentralized, Yemen-centered network that leverages the Houthis to threaten both the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb, extending Tehran’s coercive reach over the world’s key maritime chokepoints and reshaping the post-war balance in the Middle East and Red Sea.

    The Gulf’s New Information Battlefield: War, Technology, and the Reconfiguration of Security
  • Analysis
  • The Gulf’s New Information Battlefield: War, Technology, and the Reconfiguration of Security

    During the opening days of the 2025–2026 U.S.–Israel war with Iran, Kuwait’s military briefings highlighted intercepted Iranian missiles and drones while revealing little about strike locations or damage. The approach reflected a familiar wartime dilemma in which governments must reassure populations while limiting information that could aid adversaries or fuel uncertainty. Yet Kuwait’s response revealed a broader shift across the Gulf. Information was no longer simply a messaging tool; it had become part of the battlefield.

    Achieving a Permanent End to the Israel-Lebanon Conflict
  • Analysis
  • Achieving a Permanent End to the Israel-Lebanon Conflict

    As part of a report outlining an actionable US roadmap to win in Lebanon, this article posits a successful outcome will require more than just negotiations: sustained pressure on Hizballah and Iran, internal reforms in Lebanon, Arab state help, and more proactive American support — not just money, but advice — for the Lebanese army.

    Lebanon-Israel Border Disputes: A Guide for American Mediation
  • Analysis
  • Lebanon-Israel Border Disputes: A Guide for American Mediation

    As part of a report outlining an actionable US roadmap to win in Lebanon, this paper examines how the United States might mediate the settlement of Israel-Lebanon differences over the line that divides them into separate jurisdictions.

    July 15, 2026

    Setting the Lebanese Armed Forces Up for Success
  • Analysis
  • Setting the Lebanese Armed Forces Up for Success

    As part of a report outlining an actionable US roadmap to win in Lebanon, the author discusses options for American military assistance to the Lebanese Army in the effort to disarm Hizballah and regain Lebanese sovereignty.